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Oleg Popov vs. Karl Williams Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Oleg Popov vs Karl Williams – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Not Available

Game Overview

This MMA bout between Oleg Popov and Karl Williams is part of the PFL 2025 World Tournament. Oleg Popov, known for his previous success with a streak of 17 consecutive wins, recently suffered a loss to Denis Goltsov. Karl Williams replaces Linton Vassell in this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Oleg Popov's recent loss may have a psychological impact, but he has shown resilience with a strong record. Karl Williams stepping in as a replacement might have less preparation time, potentially affecting his performance.
  • There is no prior head-to-head between these fighters, which makes predicting based on past matchups challenging.
  • No reported injuries are available for this matchup.
  • The PFL tournament structure could add pressure on both fighters to perform well for advancement.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to win in a tournament setting.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Oleg Popov: -245, Karl Williams: 195 Oleg Popov Not available
Over/under over: -210, under: 170 Under 2.5 rounds Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oleg Popov 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 82%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 82% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 48.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oleg Popov is favored to win due to his overall experience and past success in the PFL.

Predicted Score: Oleg Popov wins by decision or early stoppage, potentially in round 2.


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Oleg Popov vs. Linton Vassell Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Oleg Popov vs Linton Vassell – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-01
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Professional Fighters League (Location unspecified in available data)

Game Overview

Heavyweight tournament matchup where Oleg Popov holds a prior unanimous decision victory over Linton Vassell in August 2024. Recent developments show Vassell withdrew and was replaced by Karl Williams according to an April 2025 announcement, but the listed odds still reflect a Popov vs. Vassell matchup, suggesting potential data discrepancies or late reinstatement.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Popov demonstrates consistency with a recent decision win against Vassell. Historical data shows Popov's grappling control and cardio advantage in their first meeting.
  • Popov leads 1-0 (Unanimous Decision – PFL 7, August 2024).
  • Vassell's withdrawal/replacement status creates uncertainty; no injury details available for Popov.
  • Conflicting data between withdrawal reports (April 28) and May 1 scheduled fight might indicate late changes or reporting errors.
  • Popov likely seeks tournament advancement; Vassell's status remains unclear. If substitution occurred, Karl Williams becomes X-factor.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Popov -400 / Vassell +250 Popov win ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 Rounds -150 / Under 1.5 +120 (Hypothetical based on previous 3-round decision) Over 1.5 Rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oleg Popov 163%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Oleg Popov at 163% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 65% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Results conflicting – if fight occurs as listed: Popov by decision (70% confidence). If substitute Williams enters: Limited data for prediction.

Predicted Score: If fight occurs: Popov by Unanimous Decision (29-28 across all cards)


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Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – May 1, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – May 1, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Oleg Popov vs. Linton Vassell Prediction Oleg Popov -400 163%
Oleg Popov vs. Karl Williams Prediction Under 2.5 170 82%
Alex Polizzi vs. Rafael Xavier Prediction Alex Polizzi -185 55%

Combined Odds: +420 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $103.99

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3 Pick Parlay for MMA/Boxing – May 1, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Simeon Powell vs. Karl Albrektsson Prediction Simeon Powell Win -190 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Oleg Popov vs. Karl Williams Prediction Oleg Popov Win -245 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Alexander Romanov vs. Timothy Johnson Prediction Alexander Romanov Win -500 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +158

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $51.58

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