Match Analysis: Tulane Green Wave vs Utah State Aggies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-21
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: TD Arena, Charleston, SC
Game Overview
The Utah State Aggies (4-0) face the Tulane Green Wave (3-1) in the Shriners Children’s Charleston Classic. Utah State enters as strong favorites, riding a four-game win streak and coming off a dominant 75-51 victory over UTEP. Tulane, despite a solid start, suffered a recent 85-63 loss to New Orleans, exposing defensive vulnerabilities. The matchup features a double-digit spread and a total hovering around 153.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Utah State has shown consistent offensive efficiency (48.4% FG) and solid defense (44.1% FG allowed), ranking 20th and 192nd nationally, respectively. Tulane averages 73.3 points per game (45% FG) but allowed 85 points in their lone loss. Utah State’s turnover margin (10.4 per game) is slightly better than Tulane’s (10.2). Utah State’s recent form and superior shooting efficiency suggest a clear edge.
- No recent head-to-head meetings are available for this matchup. Both teams have not faced each other in the last five seasons.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is played at a neutral site (TD Arena, Charleston, SC) as part of the Shriners Children’s Charleston Classic. Utah State is undefeated and highly motivated to maintain momentum, while Tulane seeks to bounce back from a disappointing loss.
- Utah State is motivated to extend their undefeated record and prove themselves in a high-profile tournament. Tulane is motivated to rebound from their recent loss and compete against a top-tier opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tulane Green Wave: +470, Utah State Aggies: -650 | Utah State Aggies | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Tulane Green Wave: +10.5 (-105), Utah State Aggies: -10.5 (-115) | Utah State Aggies -10.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 153.5 (-108), Under: 153.5 (-112) | Under 153.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Utah State Aggies -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 153.5 2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 153.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Utah State is expected to dominate both offensively and defensively, leveraging their superior shooting efficiency and turnover control. Tulane may struggle to keep pace, especially given their recent defensive lapses. The Aggies are likely to cover the spread and keep the game under the total.
Predicted Score: Utah State Aggies 83, Tulane Green Wave 63