Match Analysis: Akron Zips vs Iona Gaels – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-21
- Time: 10:30 PM UTC
- Location: UVI Sports & Fitness Center, St. Thomas
Game Overview
The Akron Zips (3-1) host the undefeated Iona Gaels (4-0) in a college basketball matchup. Akron is favored strongly on the moneyline and points spread, with odds reflecting a strong home advantage and recent form. Both teams have displayed solid defensive capabilities, with Akron having a balanced attack and Iona boasting high shooting efficiency, particularly from distance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Akron averages 94.3 points per game with 46.4% field goal shooting and excels in assists (22.0 per game). However, they lost in their recent matchup against Purdue (79-97). Iona is undefeated at 4-0, averaging 87.8 points per game with a 50.6% field goal percentage and strong three-point shooting at 40.2%. Iona won their last game decisively (89-69 over Princeton). Akron dominates boards with 44.5 rebounds per game versus Iona's 35.3.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited in the available sources, but Akron has historically had success covering the spread against Iona in last meetings and exhibits a slight edge playing at home.
- No significant injuries reported for either team in the sources consulted, suggesting lineups should be at full strength.
- The game is at a neutralish venue (UVI Sports & Fitness Center in St. Thomas) which might reduce traditional home advantage. Both teams travel in good form, with Akron adjusting from their loss and Iona coming off a strong win. Public betting is heavily concentrated on Akron, indicating market confidence.
- Iona, undefeated and eager to maintain momentum, seeks to prove itself against a favored Akron. Akron aims to leverage home setting and rebound from recent loss, with high confidence shown by public bettors.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Akron: -520, Iona: 390 | Akron moneyline win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Akron: -10.5 at -108, Iona: +10.5 at -112 | Akron covers -10.5 spread | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 171.5: -110, Under 171.5: -110 | Under 171.5 total points | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Akron Zips 302% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 171.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Akron Zips at 302% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 77.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Akron is expected to win the game by covering the -10.5 spread, given its balanced offense, rebounding superiority, and better assist-to-turnover ratio. The pace of the game is likely to be controlled, projecting a total score below the 171.5 over/under line.
Predicted Score: Akron 88 – Iona 76