Match Analysis: East Tennessee St Buccaneers vs Northern Kentucky Norse – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-13
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Freedom Hall Civic Center, Johnson City

Game Overview

East Tennessee State hosts Northern Kentucky in a non-conference matchup. Both teams enter 1-1, with ETSU showing strong home form and defensive rebounding, while NKU boasts high offensive output but defensive vulnerabilities on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

• ETSU is averaging 83 PPG and 35 RPG, shooting 46.7% from the field but only 25.9% from three. NKU is averaging 91 PPG on 50.7% shooting but allowing 82 PPG and struggling defensively away from home. ETSU’s rebounding and defensive discipline are clear advantages.
• Recent trends favor ETSU at home, with the Buccaneers winning 7 of their last 7 night games at Freedom Hall against non-AP opponents. NKU has lost 8 of its last 9 night games against non-conference foes.
• No injuries reported for either team.
• ETSU’s home-court advantage is significant, with a strong record in night games at Freedom Hall. NKU’s road defense has been a liability, and the pace of play favors ETSU’s ability to control tempo.
• Both teams are motivated to build momentum early in the season. ETSU seeks to rebound from a recent road loss, while NKU looks to prove itself against a tough home opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-290	East Tennessee St Buccaneers	★★★★☆ 74%
Spread	-7.5 -108	East Tennessee St Buccaneers -7.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	143.5 -110	Under	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	East Tennessee St Buccaneers -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 143.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 143.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

East Tennessee State will win and cover the spread, with the game finishing under the total points line.

Predicted Score: East Tennessee State 78, Northern Kentucky 68

Match Analysis: Tennessee Volunteers vs Northern Kentucky Norse – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Thompson-Boling Arena, Knoxville, TN

Game Overview

Tennessee Volunteers host Northern Kentucky Norse in a non-conference matchup. Tennessee enters as overwhelming favorites, with both teams coming off strong opening wins. The game features a massive point spread and a moderate total, reflecting the perceived gap in talent and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

• Tennessee dominated Mercer 76-61, showing strong defense and balanced scoring. Northern Kentucky crushed Cincinnati Clermont 126-69, but the opponent was significantly weaker. Tennessee ranks 10th in points allowed (63.1) and 167th in points scored (74.0), while Northern Kentucky is 239th in scoring (71.8) and 182nd in points allowed (72.0). Tennessee is elite defensively, while Northern Kentucky struggles against quality competition.
• No recent H2H data is available for this matchup. Both teams are 1-0 on the season, but their opponents were vastly different in quality.
• No injuries reported for either team.
• Tennessee is playing at home, where they have a strong ATS record. Northern Kentucky is on the road, where their ATS record is poor (.267 last season). The game is early in the season, so both teams are still finding their rhythm.
• Tennessee is motivated to establish dominance early in the season and protect their home court. Northern Kentucky is likely to use this as a measuring stick against a top-tier opponent, but may struggle to keep pace.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -30000, away: 4000	Tennessee Volunteers	★★★★★ 96%
Spread	home: -27.5, away: 27.5	Tennessee Volunteers -27.5	★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under	over: 140.5, under: 140.5	Over 140.5	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Tennessee Volunteers -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 140.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 140.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tennessee will win comfortably, covering the large spread and pushing the game over the total. Northern Kentucky's offense is not efficient enough to keep up with Tennessee's defense, and Tennessee's balanced attack should score enough to push the total over.

Predicted Score: Tennessee 78, Northern Kentucky 62

Match Analysis: Cleveland St Vikings vs Northern Kentucky Norse – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-07
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Wolstein Center, Cleveland, OH

Game Overview

Cleveland State Vikings face Northern Kentucky Norse in the Horizon League Quarterfinal. Cleveland State is favored, with a strong defensive record, while Northern Kentucky has shown recent form improvements.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cleveland State has a solid defensive performance, allowing 66.4 points per game, while Northern Kentucky averages 72.1 points scored. Cleveland State's recent form has been inconsistent, while Northern Kentucky has won several recent games.
• Recent head-to-head data shows Cleveland State favored slightly, but both teams have shown competitiveness in past matchups.
• No reported injuries for either team.
• The game is part of the Horizon League tournament, which can increase motivation and intensity for both teams.
• Both teams are highly motivated as they compete in the tournament, but Cleveland State's home advantage might provide an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-184 (Cleveland State), 152 (Northern Kentucky)	Cleveland State Vikings	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	-4.5 -106 (Cleveland State), 4.5 -114 (Northern Kentucky)	Cleveland State Vikings	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 136.5 -110, Under 136.5 -110	Over	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Cleveland State Vikings are likely to win due to their defensive strength and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Cleveland State 72, Northern Kentucky 68

Match Analysis: Northern Kentucky Norse vs Detroit Mercy Titans – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-05
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Truist Arena

Game Overview

The Northern Kentucky Norse host the Detroit Mercy Titans in a Horizon League matchup. Northern Kentucky is favored, reflecting their stronger performance in recent games.

Key Factors to Consider

• Northern Kentucky has shown a strong offense, particularly in their last matchup against Detroit Mercy, where they dominated with a 79-49 win. Detroit Mercy has struggled with consistency but has shown resilience in close games.
• Northern Kentucky leads the all-time series 16-4, with a recent win over Detroit Mercy. However, Detroit Mercy broke a long losing streak against the Norse earlier in the season.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• Home-court advantage could play a significant role for Northern Kentucky, given their strong performance at Truist Arena.
• Both teams are motivated to close the regular season on a high note, but Northern Kentucky's need to secure a better conference standing might provide an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Spread	-12.5 -115 (NKU), 12.5 -105 (UDM)	Northern Kentucky Norse	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under	Over 138 -110, Under 138 -110	Under	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Northern Kentucky Norse are likely to win due to their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Northern Kentucky Norse 70, Detroit Mercy Titans 58

Match Analysis: Northern Kentucky Norse vs Youngstown St Penguins – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-01
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The Northern Kentucky Norse host the Youngstown State Penguins in a crucial NCAAB matchup. Northern Kentucky is favored across the board, reflecting their stronger recent performance.

Key Factors to Consider

• Northern Kentucky has shown consistent form, while Youngstown State has struggled with a 4-8 ATS record in their last 12 games. The total has gone over in 7 of Youngstown State's last 8 games.
• Recent head-to-head data is not available, but Northern Kentucky's home advantage could play a significant role.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• Home court advantage often boosts Northern Kentucky's performance, while Youngstown State's recent over trends suggest a high-scoring game.
• Both teams are motivated to secure wins, but Northern Kentucky's stronger position in the standings might give them an edge in motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-132 (Northern Kentucky), 110 (Youngstown State)	Northern Kentucky Norse	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	-2 -115 (Northern Kentucky), 2 -105 (Youngstown State)	Northern Kentucky Norse	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 141.5 -110, Under 141.5 -110	Over	★★★☆☆ 65%

Predicted Outcome

Northern Kentucky Norse are likely to win this matchup due to their home advantage and stronger recent form.

Predicted Score: Northern Kentucky Norse 73, Youngstown State Penguins 69

Match Analysis: Fort Wayne Mastodons vs Northern Kentucky Norse – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: February 27, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Purdue Fort Wayne

Game Overview

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons host Northern Kentucky Norse in a crucial NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. The Mastodons have shown strong form, while the Norse face a tough challenge on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

• Purdue Fort Wayne has a solid record of 19-15, while Northern Kentucky is 14-15. The Mastodons have been consistent at home, which could give them an edge.
• Historically, Northern Kentucky has had some success against Purdue Fort Wayne, but recent performances suggest the Mastodons are improving.
• No significant injuries reported for either team.
• Home advantage could play a significant role for Purdue Fort Wayne, as they tend to perform better in front of their crowd.
• Both teams are motivated to secure wins, but Purdue Fort Wayne might have a slight edge due to their recent form and home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fort Wayne Mastodons: -310, Northern Kentucky Norse: 245	Fort Wayne Mastodons	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread	Fort Wayne Mastodons: -7 -110, Northern Kentucky Norse: 7 -110	Northern Kentucky Norse +7	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under	Over: 150 -110, Under: 150 -110	Over 150	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons are likely to win this matchup.

Predicted Score: Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons 82, Northern Kentucky Norse 73

Match Analysis: Northern Kentucky Norse vs IUPUI Jaguars – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-23
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The Northern Kentucky Norse are favored to win against the IUPUI Jaguars, reflecting their stronger performance and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Northern Kentucky Norse have shown better overall performance compared to IUPUI Jaguars, with a stronger offense and defense.
• Historical data suggests Northern Kentucky Norse have an edge in head-to-head matches, though specific recent outcomes are not detailed.
• No specific injury reports are available for this match.
• Home court advantage could significantly boost Northern Kentucky Norse's morale and performance.
• Both teams are motivated to win, but Northern Kentucky Norse may have higher stakes due to their stronger position.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-385 (Northern Kentucky Norse), 300 (IUPUI Jaguars)	Northern Kentucky Norse	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread	-9 (Northern Kentucky Norse) -110, 9 (IUPUI Jaguars) -110	Northern Kentucky Norse	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under	Over 147 -105, Under 147 -115	Over	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Northern Kentucky Norse are likely to win this match.

Predicted Score: Northern Kentucky Norse 80, IUPUI Jaguars 68

Match Analysis: Wright St Raiders vs Northern Kentucky Norse – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-21
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Wright State University Nutter Center, Dayton, OH

Game Overview

Wright State Raiders host Northern Kentucky Norse in a Horizon League matchup. Wright State has a strong home record and leads the overall series 32-17.

Key Factors to Consider

• Wright State has shown consistent performance at home, while Northern Kentucky recently suffered a significant loss to Milwaukee.
• Wright State leads the series 32-17 and has won 10 of the last 14 meetings, including a recent 78-70 win at Northern Kentucky.
• No significant injury reports available for either team.
• Home-court advantage could play a significant role for Wright State.
• Both teams are motivated, but Wright State's recent form and home advantage might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-205 (Wright St), 168 (Northern Kentucky)	Wright St Raiders	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread	-4.5 -110 (Wright St), 4.5 -110 (Northern Kentucky)	Wright St Raiders	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under	Over 146.5 -110, Under 146.5 -110	Under	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Wright State Raiders are likely to win due to their strong home record and recent performance.

Predicted Score: Wright State Raiders 72, Northern Kentucky Norse 68