The New York Yankees (37-23, first in AL East) host the Cleveland Guardians (33-27, third in AL Central) for the rubber match of their series. The Yankees are heavy favorites, but the Guardians have shown resilience and the ability to keep games close against top teams. Recent betting analysis and past performance suggest a close, low-scoring game, despite the Yankees’ strong home advantage and favored status[1][5].
Key Factors to Consider
Yankees have a strong home record and are favored in most matchups this season, winning 66.7% as favorites. The Guardians are solid underdogs, winning 17 of 35 such games this season. Recent form: Yankees 6-4 in last 10, Guardians 5-5 in last 10, but Guardians beat Yankees in previous series meeting.
Head-to-head has seen a split in recent matchups. Guardians have managed wins against the Yankees, including a recent walk-off win. Yankees typically dominate at home, but Guardians have shown they can compete.
No major injuries reported for either team's key players in the lead-up to this game, based on available public updates.
Game is played at Yankee Stadium, favoring home team. Weather is not expected to be a significant factor. Over/under is set at 8.5, indicating oddsmakers expect a moderate to low-scoring game.
Both teams are highly motivated—Yankees to maintain their lead in the AL East, Guardians to climb in the AL Central standings and prove they can beat top teams on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Guardians: +220, Yankees: -270
Yankees
High (75%)
Spread
Guardians: +1.5 (112), Yankees: -1.5 (-134)
Yankees -1.5 (cover)
Moderate (60%)
Over/under
Over 8.5 (-115), Under 8.5 (-105)
Under 8.5
Moderate (55%)
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Yankees 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 5%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Yankees are heavy favorites at home and have a strong win probability (implied probability: ~73% for Yankees at -270 moneyline; ~31% Guardians at +220). However, Guardians have shown ability to keep games close and have beaten Yankees before. Most recent published predictions suggest Yankees win by 1-2 runs, and a lower-scoring game (Total < 9 runs)[5].
The Los Angeles Dodgers host the New York Yankees in a high-profile MLB matchup. Both teams have competitive lineups and strong pitching rotations, which makes this game a closely contested battle between two of the league's premier franchises. The Dodgers, playing at home, will look to leverage their recent form and ballpark advantage against the Yankees, who are determined to secure a road win and gain momentum in their schedule.
Key Factors to Consider
The Dodgers have shown consistent offensive production and effective starting pitching in the first half of the 2025 season, while the Yankees have been solid but slightly less dominant, particularly on the road. Recent games show both teams performing well, with the Dodgers often having a slight edge in runs scored per game and pitching ERA.
Historically, Dodgers vs. Yankees matchups are competitive with slight advantages depending on venue. At Dodger Stadium, the Dodgers hold a marginal edge. The teams split their prior matchups evenly this season, making this game pivotal for momentum.
No major injuries have been reported for either team affecting starting pitchers or key hitters for this game, which suggests both will field their optimal lineups.
Weather conditions are expected to be clear and favorable for baseball at Dodger Stadium. The game time allows for optimal rest for both teams, minimizing fatigue-related performance issues.
Both teams are motivated, with the Dodgers eager to maintain home dominance and the Yankees pushing to improve their road performance. This game has playoff implications, increasing competitive intensity.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers: -120, New York Yankees: 102
Los Angeles Dodgers
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Los Angeles Dodgers: 1.5 -184, New York Yankees: -1.5 152
New York Yankees -1.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over 9.5: -122, Under 9.5: 100
Over 9.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9.5 6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on pitching matchups, home advantage, and recent form, the Los Angeles Dodgers are favored to win a close game against the New York Yankees.
Predicted Score: Los Angeles Dodgers 5 – New York Yankees 4
The New York Yankees are coming off consecutive wins over the Los Angeles Angels, including a tight 3-2 victory on May 27, 2025. The Angels have struggled to produce runs while the Yankees' pitching has been strong, highlighted by a standout performance from Carlos Rodón (7.0 IP, 0 ER, 10 K) in the prior game. Yankees also got key hits from Peraza and Rice.
Key Factors to Consider
Yankees have shown better recent form, both offensively and defensively, with a string of strong pitching performances and timely hitting. Angels are struggling to convert hits into runs and their pitching has been less consistent.
Yankees have won the last two games against the Angels, outscoring them 8-3 over the two contests, with solid pitching and clutch hitting.
No major injury updates provided for either team in the latest box scores or recaps.
Angel Stadium historically favors pitchers, especially with cool night conditions. Fatigue could be a slight factor for both teams due to back-to-back games.
Yankees are looking to extend their winning streak and maintain momentum. Angels are motivated to avoid a sweep at home and need a win to restore confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Angels: +149, Yankees: -165
Yankees ML
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Angels: +1.5 -115, Yankees: -1.5 -105
Yankees -1.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over: 9 +102, Under: 9 -122
Under 9
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Yankees 62%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9 9%
🔥 Best Value Pick: New York Yankees at 62% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Yankees are favored due to superior recent form, pitching strength, and winning momentum. The Angels need to improve their run production to compete.
Predicted Score: New York Yankees 4 – Los Angeles Angels 2