Match Analysis: Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-12
- Time: 11:41 PM UTC
- Location: Kauffman Stadium
Game Overview
The New York Yankees (41-25) face the Kansas City Royals (34-34) at Kauffman Stadium. The Yankees are road favorites with strong batting (.261 AVG, .345 OBP, .468 SLG) and a solid pitching staff (3.73 ERA, 1.20 WHIP). Key hitters include Aaron Judge (98 hits, 59 RBI), Paul Goldschmidt, and Cody Bellinger. Yankees starter Will Warren (4-3, 5.34 ERA, 75 K) makes his first start against the Royals. Kansas City counters with Seth Lugo (starter info implied, not detailed in data). The Yankees have won 38 of 57 games as favorites and are 30-12 when favored by -142 or more on the moneyline. The Royals are 7-5 as +120 or bigger underdogs. Over/under is set at 9 runs[1][3][4].
Key Factors to Consider
- Yankees: 41-25, .261 AVG, .345 OBP, .468 SLG, 3.73 ERA, 1.20 WHIP; Royals: 34-34, less detailed stats available, but competitive as underdogs. Yankees have strong recent form (14-6 SU last 20, but 4-8 ATS last 12), Royals are 2-4 SU last 6[2][3][4].
- No recent head-to-head details, but Yankees are road favorites by recent performance and pitching matchups. Warrenβs first meeting vs Royals.
- No major injury updates provided in current data.
- Game played at Kauffman Stadium. No weather disruptions reported. Yankees are on a road stand and play tough opponents ahead.
- Yankees seek to maintain lead in division; Royals aim to get above .500 and prove competitive at home against top-tier team.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kansas City Royals: +120, New York Yankees: -142 | New York Yankees | High |
| Spread | Kansas City Royals: +1.5 -137, New York Yankees: -1.5 +114 | Kansas City Royals cover (+1.5) | Moderate |
| Over/under | Over: 9 (-110), Under: 9 (-110) | Under 9 runs | Moderate |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Yankees -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 9 -1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Yankees are favorites to win, with models giving them a 56% win probability. Their superior offense and pitching staff give them the edge, but the Royals have shown resilience as underdogs and could cover the spread[3][4].
Predicted Score: New York Yankees 5, Kansas City Royals 3