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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-30
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium

Game Overview

This NRL match pits the St George Illawarra Dragons against the Newcastle Knights. The Dragons are favored, with odds indicating a higher probability of winning. The game is expected to be competitive, given the spread and over/under odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have shown mixed performances in the current season. The Dragons have been consistent at home, while the Knights have struggled away from their home ground.
  • Historically, the head-to-head matches have been closely contested, with both teams having their share of wins.
  • Injuries could play a crucial role in this match, as missing key players can significantly impact team performance.
  • External factors such as weather conditions and crowd support might influence the game, though specific details are not available.
  • Motivation levels are high for both teams, as they seek to improve their standings in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -186 for St George Illawarra Dragons, 159 for Newcastle Knights, 2200 for a draw St George Illawarra Dragons ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread -5.5 for St George Illawarra Dragons, 5.5 for Newcastle Knights St George Illawarra Dragons to cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under 44.5 Under 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 50%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: St George Illawarra Dragons at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the current odds and team performance, the St George Illawarra Dragons are likely to win this match.

Predicted Score: St George Illawarra Dragons 24 – Newcastle Knights 18


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction

Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-05-30 Time: 10:00 AM UTC Location: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium Game Overview This NRL match pits the St George Illawarra Dragons against the Newcastle Knights. The Dragons are favored, with odds indicating a higher probability of winning. The game is expected to […]

May 30, 2025 Newcastle Knights Rugbyleague St George Illawarra Dragons

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Gold Coast Titans vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast

Game Overview

The Gold Coast Titans face the Melbourne Storm in a Round 13 NRL match. The Titans are looking to upset the favored Storm, who have a strong winning probability according to bookmakers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm are generally more consistent and have a stronger team record, but the Titans have shown potential in recent games.
  • The Storm have historically performed better against the Titans, but recent matches have been competitive.
  • No significant injury updates are available, but the Titans might be at a disadvantage due to the Storm's deeper roster.
  • The match is at Cbus Super Stadium, which might give the Titans a slight home advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but the Storm have more at stake in terms of their season standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gold Coast Titans: 285, Melbourne Storm: -360 Melbourne Storm ★★★☆☆ 66%
Spread Gold Coast Titans: 10.5 -110, Melbourne Storm: -10.5 -120 Melbourne Storm ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 48.5 -145, Under: 48.5 110 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

The Melbourne Storm are likely to win, given their strong form and team depth, but the Titans could make it a close match.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 26, Gold Coast Titans 20


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Go Media Stadium, Auckland, NZ

Game Overview

The New Zealand Warriors will host the Canberra Raiders in Round 12 of the NRL 2025 season at Go Media Stadium in Auckland. Both teams have displayed varying form in the season, with the Warriors showing stronger winning probabilities in recent analytics. This match is expected to be competitive, testing the Raiders' resilience away from home against the Warriors' home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Warriors have recently demonstrated robust performance at home, with predictive analytics suggesting a 66% chance of victory over the Raiders based on simulations. The Raiders have been competitive but slightly less consistent in away games, impacting their win expectancy.
  • Historically, the Warriors have a slight edge over the Raiders in recent encounters. Previous matches in the 2025 season have seen the Warriors winning key games, including Round 1 at GIO Stadium Canberra where models strongly favored the Warriors.
  • No explicit recent injury reports found for either team ahead of this match, suggesting both squads could field near full strength lineups.
  • The match will be played at the Warriors' home ground in Auckland, providing a home-field advantage. Weather or other environmental conditions have not been reported to significantly influence game outcomes.
  • As a mid-season clash, motivation is expected to be high for both teams aiming to secure vital points for ladder positioning. The Warriors will seek to capitalize on their home advantage, while the Raiders aim to upset the hosts to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors: -130, Canberra Raiders: 116, Draw: 2000 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 66%
Spread New Zealand Warriors: -1.5 -120, Canberra Raiders: +1.5 -110 New Zealand Warriors to cover -1.5 points ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115 Under 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Zealand Warriors to win, leveraging their stronger home form and recent statistical dominance over the Raiders.

Predicted Score: Warriors 24 – Raiders 18


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Sydney Roosters vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Industree Group Stadium, Gosford

Game Overview

The Sydney Roosters host the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at Industree Group Stadium in Gosford, with both teams eager to assert dominance in this Round 12 NRL clash. The match is marked by the absence of key Roosters players due to State of Origin duties and injury, forcing the team to rely on younger players. Despite this, the Roosters have a strong recent head-to-head record against the Sharks and have won their last five matches at this venue this decade. The Sharks come in as strong favourites based on recent form and bookmaker odds, especially after a recent emphatic 44-12 victory over the Roosters on their home ground. This match is expected to be competitive with the Sharks seen as the likely winners but with value opportunities on the Roosters given the market's underestimation of their chances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sydney Roosters are dealing with significant player absences including Angus Crichton, Connor Watson, Spencer Leniu, Robert Toia, Lindsay Collins (all on representative duty), and injured prop Naufahu Whyte. They showed resilience in a close loss to the Bulldogs last round. The Sharks have posted dominant recent victories, including a big 44-12 win against the Roosters earlier this season, indicating strong attacking form.
  • The Roosters hold a strong recent head-to-head advantage with eight wins in the last ten meetings against the Sharks. However, the Sharks convincingly won the latest clash by a large margin, demonstrating that they can overcome past trends.
  • Roosters missing six top-tier players due to State of Origin and one key injury – Naufahu Whyte. Sharks appear to have a full-strength squad with no significant injuries reported.
  • Playing at Gosford’s Industree Group Stadium, where the Roosters have a 50% win rate over 20 matches and have won their past five matches this decade, potentially mitigating some disadvantage. The match timing and player availability affected by State of Origin selections are critical.
  • The Sharks are motivated to maintain momentum and justify their heavy favoritism. The Roosters are motivated to prove resilience despite missing key players and to capitalize on home ground familiarity and a strong historical record at the venue.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -325, Sydney Roosters: 255, Draw: 2300 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -10.5 -110, Sydney Roosters: +10.5 -120 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks to cover -10.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115 Under 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite the Sharks being strong favorites, the Roosters' historical head-to-head strength against them and home ground advantage provide a solid chance for an upset. However, the Sharks' current form and squad fitness give them the edge to win most likely by a margin slightly less than the spread.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 26 – Sydney Roosters 16


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Penrith Panthers vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Carrington Park, Bathurst

Game Overview

The Penrith Panthers, four-time consecutive NRL premiers, host the Newcastle Knights at Carrington Park in Bathurst. This match is part of the NRL Telstra Premiership and promises to be an engaging contest between two teams with differing recent success.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers have been dominant in recent seasons, while Newcastle Knights have had mixed results.
  • Historically, Penrith Panthers have had a stronger record against Newcastle Knights.
  • Injury reports are crucial; Penrith typically maintains a strong squad, while Newcastle Knights' performance can be affected by player availability.
  • The game is being played in Bathurst, which is a home-away-from-home venue for Penrith Panthers, potentially providing an advantage.
  • Penrith Panthers' motivation to continue their winning streak could influence the game's outcome.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Penrith Panthers: -205, Newcastle Knights: 170, Draw: 2100 Penrith Panthers win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Penrith Panthers: -5.5 -115, Newcastle Knights: 5.5 -115 Penrith Panthers cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 43.5 -115, Under: 43.5 -115 Over 43.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 43.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Penrith Panthers at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers are favored to win due to their recent dominance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 26, Newcastle Knights 17


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Parramatta Eels vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-23
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Parramatta Eels face off against the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in Round 12 of the 2025 NRL season. This clash features two intense rivals with Manly favored by bookmakers but Parramatta presenting some slight value in odds. The match occurs during State of Origin period, causing key player absences that impact team dynamics and depth.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly Sea Eagles hold a strong form leading into this match, reflected in the moneyline odds and their current season performance. Parramatta Eels have been competitive but impacted by Origin commitments which has forced changes in their lineup, such as Mitch Moses and Zac Lomax missing. Parramatta also has Kelma Tuilagi returning from suspension, which may bolster their forward pack.
  • Historically, matches between these clubs are closely contested with neither side dominating significantly. Earlier season encounter data shows balanced contests, and current betting markets suggest a competitive game with a slight edge to Manly.
  • Parramatta Eels have Mitch Moses and Zac Lomax unavailable due to Origin duty. Dean Hawkins steps in at halfback. Kelma Tuilagi returns from suspension. No critical injuries reported that significantly weaken either team's core strength at this time.
  • State of Origin period affects player availability, impacting squad depth and experience. Venue is home for Parramatta at CommBank Stadium, which offers some home-ground advantage. Weather or other environmental factors were not specified but could influence play style and scoring.
  • Parramatta is motivated to capitalize on home advantage and prove their resilience despite player absences. Manly aims to maintain their favored status and extend their winning momentum, also motivated by the rivalry and season standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -225, Parramatta Eels: 180, Draw: 2200 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -6.5: -110, Parramatta Eels +6.5: -120 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to cover -6.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 45.5: -120, Under 45.5: -110 Over 45.5 points ★★★☆☆ 54%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 45.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The prediction leans towards a Manly Sea Eagles win given their current form and betting market odds. However, Parramatta Eels present good value and have a meaningful chance to upset, especially due to home advantage and the return of key players like Kelma Tuilagi.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 26 – 18 Parramatta Eels


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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-22
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Accor Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

This match between Canterbury Bulldogs and Dolphins is expected to be a closely watched game in Round 12 of the NRL Premiership. Both teams have shown strong performances in recent matches, with the Bulldogs having a slight edge in their head-to-head encounters. The game is set to be intense, with both sides looking to secure important points in the league standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canterbury Bulldogs have been performing well in recent rounds, while the Dolphins are looking to bounce back after some mixed results. The Bulldogs have shown resilience and determination, which could be crucial in this match.
  • The head-to-head record between the two teams is evenly matched, with both teams winning two matches each in their last two encounters. This suggests a competitive game is expected.
  • Notable absences include Kurt Mann and Max King for the State of Origin, which could impact team dynamics. However, specific injuries for this match are not detailed.
  • External factors such as weather and State of Origin absences could influence the game's outcome. However, no specific weather conditions are mentioned as potentially impacting the match.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as they seek to improve their league positions. The Bulldogs are looking to maintain their form, while the Dolphins aim to cause an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -315 (Canterbury) / 250 (Dolphins) / 2400 (Draw) Canterbury Bulldogs win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -9.5 -115 (Canterbury) / 9.5 -115 (Dolphins) Canterbury Bulldogs to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 44.5 -106 / Under 44.5 -118 Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canterbury Bulldogs are favored to win, given their recent form and home advantage. However, the Dolphins could pose a significant challenge if they can overcome their recent losses.

Predicted Score: Canterbury Bulldogs 28, Dolphins 19


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Wests Tigers vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 8:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Campbelltown Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Wests Tigers and South Sydney Rabbitohs are evenly matched, with both teams having five wins and five losses. The Tigers have a strong halves combination with Lachlan Galvin and Jarome Luai, while the Rabbitohs are missing key players like Cody Walker. Historically, Souths have the upper hand in head-to-head matches, especially on Sundays.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have similar recent form, but the Tigers have an advantage in their halves combination. The Rabbitohs are missing key players.
  • Souths have won eight of the last ten games against the Tigers, including six in a row on Sundays.
  • The Rabbitohs are missing Cody Walker and Jack Wighton, which could impact their performance.
  • The match is at Campbelltown Stadium, where the Tigers have struggled in recent years, particularly on Sundays.
  • A win would be crucial for both teams, especially with a bye in the next round.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline South Sydney Rabbitohs: -108, Wests Tigers: -109, Draw: 1800 South Sydney Rabbitohs have a slight historical edge, but the odds are very close. ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread South Sydney Rabbitohs: -1.5 105, Wests Tigers: 1.5 -135 Wests Tigers +1.5 due to their strong recent form and the historical struggle of Souths without key players. ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over: 45.5 -115, Under: 45.5 -115 Over 45.5 points, considering the attacking potential of both teams. ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline South Sydney Rabbitohs 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: South Sydney Rabbitohs at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the historical head-to-head dominance of Souths, particularly on Sundays, they might have a slight edge despite missing key players.

Predicted Score: Wests Tigers 22, South Sydney Rabbitohs 25


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Canberra Raiders vs. Gold Coast Titans Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Gold Coast Titans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Gold Coast Titans in Round 11 of the 2025 NRL season. This match is expected to be competitive, with the Raiders seeking to maintain their strong form and the Titans looking to improve their position in the ladder.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Raiders have been performing well, recently winning against the Titans in a previous encounter, which could boost their confidence. The Titans, however, have struggled with consistency.
  • The Raiders have a recent win over the Titans, which might give them an edge in head-to-head matches.
  • No significant injury updates are available for this match, but any changes could impact team dynamics.
  • The match is at GIO Stadium, which could favor the Raiders due to home advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but the Raiders' recent form might provide extra motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -305 (Canberra) / 245 (Gold Coast) / 2500 (Draw) Canberra Raiders win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -10.5 -110 (Canberra) / 10.5 -120 (Gold Coast) Canberra Raiders cover ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 49.5 -115 / Under 49.5 -115 Over 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders are likely to win this match due to their recent strong performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Raiders 32, Titans 18


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Brisbane Broncos vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 18 May 2025
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane, Australia

Game Overview

The Brisbane Broncos face the St George Illawarra Dragons in a crucial NRL match at Suncorp Stadium. The Broncos are favored to win, given their strong performance and home advantage. The Dragons, however, have shown resilience in previous matches and could pose a challenge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brisbane Broncos have been performing well lately, with a solid team structure and strong defense. St George Illawarra Dragons have struggled with consistency but have the potential to upset any team on their day.
  • Recent head-to-head statistics show that the Broncos have had a slight edge over the Dragons, but the Dragons have managed to secure important wins historically.
  • Injury reports are not specified, but any significant absences could impact team dynamics.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game, with Brisbane's home crowd potentially boosting their performance.
  • Both teams are motivated, with the Broncos aiming to maintain their form and the Dragons seeking an upset to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos: -315, St George Illawarra Dragons: 260, Draw: 2500 Brisbane Broncos ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Brisbane Broncos: -10.5 -115, St George Illawarra Dragons: 10.5 -115 Brisbane Broncos to cover the spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 50.5 -115, Under: 50.5 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Brisbane Broncos at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos are likely to win, given their current form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 28 – 20 St George Illawarra Dragons


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