Match Analysis: New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-11
- Time: 11:06 PM UTC
- Location: Yankee Stadium, The Bronx, New York
Game Overview
The New York Yankees host the Detroit Tigers in a critical late-season MLB matchup. The Yankees are favored at home with their key offensive stars and a reliable starting pitcher, while the Tigers look to sweep the series after strong recent performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Yankees hold an 80-65 record, recently losing 3 of 5 but strong against AL Central teams after losses. Tigers lead AL Central at 84-62, showing strong recent form with 3 wins in last 4 games.
- Detroit won the first two games of this series decisively, but Yankees have historical strength at home and confidence bouncing back after losses.
- No significant injuries reported for either team that impact starting lineups or key players in this game.
- Game at Yankee Stadium favors Yankees; Tigers have struggled in night games here after wins. Weather and other external factors are typical for September in New York, no adverse impact.
- Yankees aim to solidify playoff positioning and respond strongly after losses. Tigers try to maintain AL Central lead and sweep the Yankees, vital for postseason momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Tigers: +134, New York Yankees: -158 | New York Yankees | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Detroit Tigers +1.5: -160, New York Yankees -1.5: +132 | New York Yankees -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 8.5: -120, Under 8.5: -102 | Over 8.5 | ★★★☆☆ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Yankees -0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8.5 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Yankees to win moneyline and cover the -1.5 run spread, with the game going over 8.5 total runs.
Predicted Score: Yankees 5 – Tigers 4