The Baltimore Orioles host the New York Mets in a crucial MLB matchup. The Orioles are currently favored on the moneyline, while the Mets are favored on the run line. Recent form and starting pitcher matchups will play a significant role in determining the outcome.
Key Factors to Consider
The Orioles have been solid at home, but the Mets have shown strong form on the road. The Mets' starting pitcher, David Peterson, has a favorable ERA compared to the Orioles' Charlie Morton.
Historical data shows mixed results, but recent trends suggest the Orioles have covered well as underdogs against NL East opponents.
No significant injuries reported for either team.
Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game, but detailed weather forecasts are not available.
Both teams are motivated, with the Mets seeking to maintain their winning streak and the Orioles looking to improve their home record.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Orioles: -116, Mets: -102
Orioles
★★★☆☆ 53%
Spread
Orioles +1.5: -182, Mets -1.5: +150
Orioles +1.5
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Over 10.5: -110, Under 10.5: -110
Under 10.5
★★★☆☆ 51%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles -3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 10.5 -3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on recent trends and starting pitcher metrics, the Mets have a slight edge.
The upcoming game between the New York Mets and New York Yankees is a key intra-city MLB matchup. The Mets are coming off a strong 12-6 win against the Yankees on July 5, 2025, demonstrating offensive dominance with 12 runs and 10 hits while limiting the Yankees to 6 runs and 9 hits. The Yankees, despite the loss, have shown resilience in recent games, making this face-off highly competitive.
Key Factors to Consider
The Mets have recently outperformed the Yankees in their head-to-head clash, securing a decisive 12-6 victory with strong offensive output and effective pitching led by Frankie Montas. The Yankees’ offense, led by players like Cody Bellinger, remains potent but was held below usual standards in the last game. Both teams have competitive rosters, but the Mets currently have momentum.
The most recent matchup on July 5, 2025, saw the Mets win convincingly (12-6). Historically, these teams have a fierce rivalry with close games, but the Mets appear to have an edge going into this match based on the latest result.
No specific injury reports are available from the search results for either team at the time of this analysis, suggesting both squads are near full strength.
The game takes place at Citi Field, giving the Mets home-field advantage. Attendance and fan support can influence game momentum. The previous day’s game lasted 3 hours and 6 minutes, which may impact player fatigue marginally.
The Mets are motivated to continue their winning streak and assert dominance in the rivalry, especially after a convincing win. The Yankees are driven to even the series and overcome recent setbacks, adding competitive intensity.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
New York Mets: 190, New York Yankees: -212
New York Mets to win
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
New York Mets +1.5: 113, New York Yankees -1.5: -133
New York Mets +1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 9: -102, Under 9: -118
Over 9 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Yankees 76%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9 15%
🔥 Best Value Pick: New York Yankees at 76% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the Mets' recent strong performance, home advantage, and current form, the prediction favors the New York Mets to win the game. Expect a moderately high-scoring game reflecting both teams' offensive capabilities.
Predicted Score: New York Mets 7 – New York Yankees 5
The New York Mets host the Milwaukee Brewers in an important National League matchup. Both teams are closely matched in their divisions with the Mets holding a 49-38 record (second in NL East) and the Brewers at 48-38 (second in NL Central). This game will be pivotal in deciding the series winner as the summer stretch continues with playoff implications looming.
Key Factors to Consider
The Mets have demonstrated strong offense lately, powered by players like Juan Soto (2 HR, .375 AVG) and Gilberto Celestino (.750 AVG in limited action). The Brewers counter with Vinny Capra displaying notable power (3 HR, .385 AVG). Both squads have comparable recent performances, keeping the contest competitive.
The Mets and Brewers have faced off in this series with the first two games postponed or tightly contested. The closely fought games indicate an evenly matched rivalry, but Mets have the slight home advantage playing at Citi Field.
No major injury reports impacting key starters for either team have been noted in recent data, suggesting full-strength lineups will compete.
Playing at home at Citi Field provides the Mets with familiarity and fan support. Weather or other external conditions have not been flagged as impacting the match.
Both teams sit just outside the top playoff spots in their divisions, increasing motivation to secure a win to bolster postseason chances. The Mets especially will push to leverage home field momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers: +136, New York Mets: -162
New York Mets win
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5: -162, New York Mets -1.5: +134
New York Mets -1.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 8: -118, Under 8: -104
Over 8 runs
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Mets 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8 -2%
🔥 Best Value Pick: New York Mets at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the home field advantage, recent offensive form of Mets' key players, and closely matched team strength, the prediction favors a New York Mets victory, although the Brewers are expected to put up strong resistance.
Predicted Score: New York Mets 6 – Milwaukee Brewers 4
The New York Mets are visiting the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park for a crucial MLB matchup. The Mets have shown strong recent form with back-to-back wins against Atlanta but suffered a heavy loss to the Pirates 9-1 on June 27. Pittsburgh seeks to leverage home advantage and their momentum from that decisive win over the Mets.
Key Factors to Consider
The Mets have been performing well recently with consecutive wins, showcasing solid offense and pitching. However, their 9-1 loss to the Pirates at the same venue indicates potential vulnerabilities. The Pirates, despite a weaker overall record, pulled off a dominant victory against the Mets recently, suggesting they can capitalize on home conditions.
Recent head-to-head meetings show the Pirates winning 9-1 on June 27, 2025. This recent outcome gives Pittsburgh confidence. Historically, Mets have been stronger overall but the Pirates' recent form against the Mets at home is significant.
No major injury reports affecting key players for either side have been indicated. Mookie Betts struggles with illness is mentioned but he is not on either roster.
The game is at PNC Park which favors the Pirates slightly. Weather conditions and other external elements are typical for late June in Pittsburgh with no adverse influence reported. Pitching matchup favors the Mets with Francisco Montas (0-0, 0.00 ERA) starting, while home starter Mitch Burrows has a 1-2 record and 4.45 ERA.
The Pirates are motivated to continue their strong home form and recent success over the Mets. The Mets aim to rebound from their recent heavy loss and maintain their winning streak overall.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
New York Mets: -154, Pittsburgh Pirates: 130
New York Mets
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
New York Mets: -1.5 @ 105, Pittsburgh Pirates: +1.5 @ -126
New York Mets -1.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 9.5: 100, Under 9.5: -122
Under 9.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Mets 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9.5 4%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The New York Mets are favored to win due to superior pitching and overall quality despite the Pirates' recent home success. The Mets' starting pitcher Francisco Montas is a key advantage, while the Pirates' offensive threat remains a factor at home.
Predicted Score: New York Mets 5 – Pittsburgh Pirates 3