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Parlay Odds Calculation

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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 12, 2025

Combined Odds: +662 |
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Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-11
• Time: 11:16 PM UTC
• Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies, leading the NL East with an 86-60 record, host the New York Mets, who are second in the division at 76-70. The Phillies are aiming for a four-game sweep after an emphatic 11-3 victory over the Mets in their previous meeting. Starting pitchers are Jesús Luzardo (Phillies, 13-6, 4.01 ERA) and David Peterson (Mets, 9-5, 3.72 ERA).

Key Factors to Consider

• The Phillies have been dominant at home with a 48-23 record and possess the fourth-ranked NL slugging percentage (.428). The Mets have struggled on the road with a 31-43 record and are in a five-game losing skid, though they have a strong slugging percentage (.429) ranking sixth in MLB.
• This game is the 13th matchup this season between these division rivals. The Mets hold a narrow 7-5 edge in the season series but have lost the last five games. The Phillies lead the recent momentum decisively.
• No major injuries reported affecting key players for either side as of current information.
• Playing at Phillies' home park provides them an added advantage; weather or other external factors were not noted as significant.
• Phillies aim to clinch the NL East soon and maintain their division lead, motivated to keep the momentum against a Mets squad trying to halt a losing streak and stay in wild card contention.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Phillies win with a strong likelihood, leveraging home advantage, recent head-to-head dominance, and more consistent pitching performance.

Predicted Score: Phillies 7 – Mets 4

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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 8, 2025

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Match Analysis: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-07
• Time: 5:41 PM UTC
• Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio

Game Overview

The matchup pits the Cincinnati Reds (71-71) hosting the New York Mets (76-66) in a critical late-season MLB NL contest. The Reds, fighting to stay alive in the Wild Card race, have split their prior two games against the Mets this series. The Mets are currently second in the NL East, with strong offensive leaders like Pete Alonso and Juan Soto. Cincinnati’s starting pitcher Hunter Greene is expected to take the mound against Mets’ Brandon Sproat, who is making his first appearance of the season.

Key Factors to Consider

• The Mets have a 76-66 record, with 3.93 ERA pitching staff and .252 team batting average, led by Alonso (33 HRs, 113 RBIs) and Soto (37 HRs, 92 RBIs). Mets have won 3 of last 5. The Reds stand at 71-71, relying on ace Hunter Greene, who has been dominant at home with multiple games of 7+ strikeouts and a solid K/BB ratio this season. Reds have won 8 of their last 9 day games after the previous day and have a good recent record versus the Mets.
• Recent series split 1-1 with Reds covering the run line in 6 straight games against the Mets. Mets have lost their last 6 day games versus NL teams. Reds have the edge at home in this matchup historically and recently.
• No specific current injuries reported for either team that would significantly impact starting lineup or pitching.
• Game at Great American Ball Park favored for hitters but Hunter Greene has been somewhat hittable there this season. Mets starter Sproat is making debut and has shown control issues at AAA, potentially impacting Mets’ pitching stability.
• Reds are desperate for a win to boost their Wild Card playoff chances. Mets look to maintain second place and momentum after some recent inconsistency. Reds’ urgency and home crowd support are key motivational factors.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Cincinnati Reds to win narrowly with a moderately high scoring game. Expect Reds’ Hunter Greene to leverage home advantage and Mets to produce runs given their offense but Mets’ pitching in debut may struggle.

Predicted Score: Reds 5 – Mets 4

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 7, 2025

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Match Analysis: Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-03
• Time: 5:11 PM UTC
• Location: Detroit (home for Detroit Tigers)

Game Overview

The upcoming MLB match features the Detroit Tigers hosting the New York Mets. The Mets recently dominated the Tigers 12-5 on September 2, 2025, showing strong offensive power highlighted by multiple home runs from Alonso and Soto, and effective pitching from rookie Nolan McLean. The Tigers struggled to contain the Mets' hitters and maintain run support against their pitching staff.

Key Factors to Consider

• The Mets have been performing strongly, demonstrated by their 12-5 victory over the Tigers in the previous game. Their offense is showing power with key players hitting multiple home runs. The Tigers showed offensive response but were overwhelmed defensively. Overall, Mets appear stronger momentum-wise.
• The latest head-to-head encounter heavily favors the Mets (12-5 win on September 2, 2025). Historical specific season series data unavailable, but the recent blowout indicates a current edge for New York.
• No specific injury information is available for either team prior to this game, suggesting both squads may be at or near full strength.
• The game takes place in Detroit, giving Tigers home-field advantage. Weather or other external conditions are not mentioned, implying neutral impact on game outcome.
• The Mets look motivated to continue their winning streak against the Tigers after a high-scoring win, whereas the Tigers will aim to rebound from a heavy defeat on home turf.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Based on recent performance, the New York Mets are favored to win again due to their potent offense and recent dominant display against the Tigers. The Tigers, while boosted by home advantage, are expected to struggle to contain the Mets’ bats.

Predicted Score: New York Mets 9 – Detroit Tigers 5