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Boise State Broncos vs. New Mexico Lobos Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Boise State Broncos vs New Mexico Lobos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 11, 2025
  • Time: 1:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID

Game Overview

The Boise State Broncos are set to face the New Mexico Lobos in a Mountain West Conference matchup. Boise State is favored heavily, reflecting their stronger recent form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Boise State and New Mexico both have a 3-2 record, but Boise State's recent performance and home field advantage are significant factors. Boise State is 1-0 in the conference, while New Mexico is 0-1.
  • Past head-to-head matchups show a mix of results, but Boise State's recent form suggests they hold an edge.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that could impact the game greatly.
  • Weather conditions and the crowd at Albertsons Stadium are expected to favor Boise State.
  • Boise State is highly motivated to continue their winning streak in the conference, while New Mexico seeks to bounce back from their conference loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Boise State -700, New Mexico 500 Boise State β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread Boise State -16.5 -110, New Mexico 16.5 -110 Boise State β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under Over 59.5 -110, Under 59.5 -110 Under β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Boise State Broncos -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 59.5 34%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 59.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Boise State's strong home record and recent form, they are likely to win and cover the spread. The game could go under the total given the defensive strengths of both teams.

Predicted Score: Boise State 31, New Mexico 14


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3 Pick Parlay for American Football – October 11, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Old Dominion Monarchs Prediction Old Dominion Monarchs Win -600 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
UTSA Roadrunners vs. Rice Owls Prediction UTSA Roadrunners Win -440 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
Boise State Broncos vs. New Mexico Lobos Prediction Boise State Broncos -16.5 -110 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +173

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $54.67

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San Jose State Spartans vs. New Mexico Lobos Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: San Jose State Spartans vs New Mexico Lobos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: CEFCU Stadium, San Jose, California

Game Overview

The Mountain West Conference matchup features San Jose State Spartans (1-3) hosting New Mexico Lobos (3-1). San Jose State is favored by 2.5 points with a total set at 58.5. New Mexico has stronger recent form, winning their last game decisively, while San Jose State narrowly lost their previous contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Mexico Lobos have a better record (3-1) compared to San Jose State (1-3), averaging 30.5 points scored and allowing 21.5 points per game, ranking better on defense. San Jose State scores less (20.3 ppg) and allows more points (28.0 ppg), indicating defensive vulnerabilities and recent struggles.
  • New Mexico is 1-6 in the last 7 games against San Jose State, indicating historical dominance by the Spartans in recent matchups. However, current season form favors New Mexico.
  • No significant injury reports impacting key players were noted, suggesting both teams are near full strength.
  • Game played at San Jose State’s home stadium provides a slight advantage for Spartans. Weather and venue conditions are expected to be typical with no adverse effects on gameplay.
  • New Mexico enters this game with stronger momentum after a convincing win; San Jose State seeks to recover from a close loss, adding motivation to cover the spread at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline San Jose State: -130, New Mexico: +108 San Jose State β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread San Jose State -2.5: -110, New Mexico +2.5: -110 San Jose State -2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 58.5: -110, Under 58.5: -110 Under 58.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline San Jose State Spartans 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 58.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 58.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

San Jose State to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -2.5 spread, and the total score to go under 58.5 points.

Predicted Score: San Jose State 28 – New Mexico 20


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New Mexico Lobos vs. New Mexico State Aggies Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: New Mexico Lobos vs New Mexico State Aggies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: University Stadium

Game Overview

The New Mexico Lobos host the New Mexico State Aggies in a heated regional rivalry. Both teams are 2-1, but New Mexico are strong favorites with a -600 moneyline, favored by 14 points on the spread, and a moderately high total points line at 53.5.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Mexico Lobos have allowed fewer points per game and have shown stronger defense and offense efficiency recent weeks compared to New Mexico State. The Lobos have a more consistent margin of victory and better margin of defeat metrics.
  • Recent H2H matchups favor New Mexico Lobos who have won the majority of these contests convincingly, often covering big spreads against the Aggies.
  • No major injuries reported for key starters on either side, indicating both teams are close to full strength.
  • Game played at Home for New Mexico, providing a significant home-field advantage. Weather and other conditions are expected to be neutral.
  • New Mexico seeks to affirm control of the in-state rivalry and boost Mountain West positioning. New Mexico State aims to upset a heavy favorite but motivation is tempered by underdog status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New Mexico Lobos -600, New Mexico State Aggies +440 New Mexico Lobos β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread New Mexico Lobos -14 -112, New Mexico State Aggies +14 -108 New Mexico Lobos -14 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 53.5 -110, Under 53.5 -110 Under 53.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Mexico Lobos -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 53.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Mexico Lobos to win straight up and cover the 14 point spread. The game is likely to stay under the total of 53.5 due to strong defensive play.

Predicted Score: New Mexico Lobos 27, New Mexico State Aggies 13


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UCLA Bruins vs. New Mexico Lobos Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: UCLA Bruins vs New Mexico Lobos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Rose Bowl, Pasadena, California

Game Overview

The UCLA Bruins, struggling with an 0-2 record and significant defensive struggles, face the New Mexico Lobos, who are at 1-1. UCLA is heavily favored both on the moneyline and spread due to superior talent and home advantage, but recent performance and form highlight vulnerabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UCLA has lost its first two games with poor defensive showings, allowing nearly 500 yards to Utah and only mustering 220 yards offensively in the last game. Conversely, New Mexico is 1-1, showing a balanced offense with 371 yards in their last game, but still less consistent overall.
  • Historical matchups favor UCLA, with the Bruins typically dominating this series, but no recent direct data to indicate the competitiveness of this 2025 meeting.
  • No specific injury reports noted for either team in available data, suggesting both teams likely have their main rosters available.
  • Game at the Rose Bowl provides UCLA home-field advantage with good weather conditions (72Β°F, 0% rain, 4 mph wind), conducive to typical high-scoring and passing game.
  • UCLA fights to avoid a 0-3 start and potential season derailment; New Mexico aims to prove competitiveness on the road and build momentum after split season start.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline UCLA -720, New Mexico +500 UCLA β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread UCLA -15.5 -114, New Mexico +15.5 -106 UCLA -15.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 52.5 -115, Under 52.5 -105 Under 52.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UCLA Bruins -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 52.5 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UCLA moneyline; the Bruins will leverage talent and home advantage for a clear win despite recent struggles.

Predicted Score: UCLA thirty-two, New Mexico fourteen


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3 Pick Parlay for American Football – September 12, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
BC Lions vs. Ottawa Redblacks Prediction BC Lions Win -490 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
UCLA Bruins vs. New Mexico Lobos Prediction UCLA Bruins Win -720 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)
Houston Cougars vs. Colorado Buffaloes Prediction Houston Cougars Win -205 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +104

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $40.8

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New Mexico Lobos vs. Idaho State Bengals Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: New Mexico Lobos vs Idaho State Bengals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 7:05 PM UTC
  • Location: University Stadium, Albuquerque, NM

Game Overview

The New Mexico Lobos host the Idaho State Bengals in a Week 2 Mountain West Conference contest. Both teams are off to slow starts, with New Mexico 0-1 and Idaho State 0-2. The Lobos are heavily favored at home, reflecting a strong home field advantage and superior historical performance against Idaho State.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Mexico is 0-1 overall, showing some struggles early but demonstrated solid defense at home last season. Idaho State is 0-2, with offensive production issues and a poor road record. Idaho State is 4-1 ATS in last 5 games, indicating they cover spreads well despite losses.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups favor New Mexico, who have had better success both straight up and against the spread. New Mexico’s defense has consistently contained Idaho State’s offense in previous meetings.
  • Idaho State's injury report is limited with no major starters missing. New Mexico has WR Kader Diop as a backup due to an undisclosed injury, but Shawn Miller is cleared and expected to contribute.
  • Game is at altitude (~5350 ft) favoring New Mexico’s conditioning and home advantage. Weather is mild (76Β°F) with minimal rain and light wind, unlikely to affect gameplay significantly.
  • New Mexico seeks to avoid an 0-2 start at home to build early season momentum, while Idaho State aims to rebound from a 0-2 start but faces the challenge of a tough road environment.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New Mexico Lobos: -610, Idaho State Bengals: +440 New Mexico Lobos β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread New Mexico Lobos: -14.5 -108, Idaho State Bengals: +14.5 -112 New Mexico Lobos to cover -14.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over: 63.5 -110, Under: 63.5 -110 Over 63.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Mexico Lobos -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 63.5 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 63.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Mexico Lobos moneyline (ML -610) is the highest expected value play given the strong home advantage and better overall team performance. The spread of -14.5 to New Mexico is risky but moderately supported due to Idaho State's struggles. The total points line at 63.5 is high, but Idaho State’s defense weakness and tendency for high-scoring games favor the over slightly.

Predicted Score: New Mexico Lobos 38 – Idaho State Bengals 20


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Michigan Wolverines vs. New Mexico Lobos Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Michigan Wolverines vs New Mexico Lobos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI

Game Overview

The Michigan Wolverines host the New Mexico Lobos in this NCAA football matchup, with Michigan heavily favored due to superior depth, talent, and recent form. Michigan looks to start their season strong after an 8-5 campaign last year, while New Mexico transitions under a new head coach and new quarterback.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Michigan finished 8-5 last season, showing solid defense and balanced offense. New Mexico went 5-7 with significant roster turnover and a new coaching staff led by Jason Eck, who brings success from his prior FCS tenure but faces a rebuilding year.
  • No recent notable matchups suggest strong rivalry or trends. Michigan typically outmatches New Mexico on paper in all statistical categories.
  • New Mexico's quarterback Jack Layne was limited last year due to injuries but is healthy now. Michigan has no major reported injuries that would affect performance significantly.
  • The game is at Michigan Stadium, granting a substantial home-field advantage. NCAA sanctions and off-field distractions may slightly affect Michigan's mental edge but not enough to impact the expected blowout.
  • Michigan aims to prove dominance early in the season, while New Mexico seeks to show progress under new leadership, potentially keeping the score more respectable than expected.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Michigan Wolverines: -10000, New Mexico Lobos: +2500 Michigan Wolverines β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 95%
Spread Michigan Wolverines -35 (-112), New Mexico Lobos +35 (-110) Michigan Wolverines -35 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under Over 49 (-115), Under 49 (-110) Under 49 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michigan Wolverines -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49 34%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 49 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michigan Wolverines win decisively, covering the large spread and the game total going under due to Michigan controlling the pace and limiting New Mexico's explosive offense.

Predicted Score: Michigan Wolverines 42 – New Mexico Lobos 10


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New Mexico Lobos vs. San JosΓ© St Spartans Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: New Mexico Lobos vs San JosΓ© St Spartans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-21
  • Time: 8:05 PM UTC
  • Location: Santa Ana Star Field, Albuquerque, N.M.

Game Overview

This matchup between the New Mexico Lobos and the San JosΓ© St Spartans is part of the NCAA baseball season. The Lobos are playing at home, and given their recent performance against San JosΓ© State, they have a strong advantage. The Spartans have been struggling with an overall record of 25-28, while the Lobos' recent wins suggest they are in good form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Mexico has shown stronger performance in recent matches, while San JosΓ© State has been inconsistent.
  • In their last meeting, New Mexico dominated San JosΓ© State 25-5, indicating a significant advantage.
  • No major injury reports for either team.
  • Home advantage could significantly boost the Lobos' morale and performance.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but the Lobos have more to gain from a home win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New Mexico Lobos -210, San JosΓ© St Spartans 160 New Mexico Lobos β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Mexico Lobos -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

New Mexico Lobos are expected to win based on recent performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: New Mexico Lobos 8, San JosΓ© St Spartans 4


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New Mexico Lobos vs. Fresno St Bulldogs Prediction NCAA in Baseball

Match Analysis: New Mexico Lobos vs Fresno St Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 16, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Santa Ana Star Field, Albuquerque, NM

Game Overview

New Mexico Lobos host Fresno State Bulldogs in a crucial Mountain West Conference matchup. The Lobos are seeking a regular season title, while Fresno State aims to secure a strong conference position.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fresno State is currently 25-26 overall with a 16-11 conference record, while New Mexico is 29-20 overall but their specific conference record is not detailed in the recent data. Fresno State has a .625 conference win percentage.
  • Recent head-to-head data is not available, but this series is crucial for both teams' conference standings.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • Weather conditions in Albuquerque are generally favorable for baseball games, but specific forecasts are not provided. The series features promotions and fan events, which could boost attendance and team morale.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with New Mexico seeking a regular season conference title and Fresno State aiming for a strong tournament position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -135 for Fresno St Bulldogs, 105 for New Mexico Lobos Fresno State Bulldogs to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fresno St Bulldogs 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Fresno St Bulldogs at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fresno State Bulldogs are favored due to their recent performance and conference standing, but New Mexico's home advantage and motivation could impact the outcome.

Predicted Score: Fresno State Bulldogs 6, New Mexico Lobos 5


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