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Match Analysis: St. John's Red Storm vs Bucknell Bison – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-20
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Carnesecca Arena, Queens, New York
Game Overview
St. John's Red Storm (2-1) will host Bucknell Bison (2-3) in this NCAA basketball matchup. St. John's is ranked #14 nationally and favored heavily with a 30.5-point spread. The Red Storm have a stronger offense and defense ranking compared to Bucknell, who are currently on a three-game losing streak. The game total is set near 156.5 points, reflecting expectations of a high-scoring contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- St. John's averages 78.5 points per game (65th nationally) and allows 65.8 points (27th nationally). They excel in rebounding with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game. Bucknell averages 74.0 points (167th) and allows 73.2 points (213th), with weaker rebounding stats (7.3 offensive rebounds per game, ranked 309th).
- The teams have met only once in 2013, with St. John's narrowly winning 67-63 on the road. No recent direct matchups exist to inform current rivalry dynamics.
- No specific injury information is available for either team; assume full rosters unless updated closer to game time.
- The game is played at St. John's home venue, giving them an advantage. Bucknell faces travel fatigue and is attempting to halt a losing streak. The matchup is on TNT, implying wider exposure and possibly higher intensity.
- St. John's motivation is high to maintain momentum against a weaker opponent and capitalize on home court advantage. Bucknell is motivated to end a three-game skid and prove competitiveness against a ranked opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | St. John's Red Storm: -114, Bucknell Bison: +106 | St. John's Red Storm | β β β β β 92% |
| Spread | St. John's Red Storm -30.5: -114, Bucknell Bison +30.5: -106 | St. John's Red Storm -30.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over 156.5: -115, Under 156.5: -105 | Over 156.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 156.5 -99% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
St. John's Red Storm are expected to win convincingly given their superior statistics, home advantage, and current form. The estimated winning probability for St. John's is very high.
Predicted Score: St. John's Red Storm 93 – Bucknell Bison 61