Match Analysis: Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs Navy Midshipmen – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium, Tulsa, Oklahoma

Game Overview

The Navy Midshipmen (2-0) visit the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-1) in an AAC matchup. Navy comes in as a strong favorite with a dominant rushing attack and recent strong form, while Tulsa seeks to rebound after a close loss but faces challenges against Navy's ground game.

Key Factors to Consider

• Navy is undefeated with dominant rushing stats (295 yards on the ground vs UAB) and efficient play, while Tulsa is 1-1, recently losing a close game despite decent offensive output but with turnovers.
• Navy has shown superiority in recent matchups, especially controlling the line of scrimmage and running effectively against Tulsa's secondary.
• No significant injuries reported for either team impacting key positions; both teams appear close to full strength.
• Game played at Tulsa’s home stadium, but Navy’s ability to control possession and tempo may mitigate home field advantage. Moderate weather with no precipitation and typical conditions expected.
• Navy aims to maintain perfect record and reinforce conference dominance; Tulsa is motivated to prove competitiveness at home but may struggle to overcome Navy's momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Navy -575, Tulsa +425	Navy	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Navy -14 -108, Tulsa +14 -112	Navy -14	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 52.5 -112, Under 52.5 -108	Under 52.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Navy Midshipmen -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 52.5 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Navy to win outright and cover the spread, with a likely low-scoring game under the total line due to Navy's control and Tulsa’s defensive resilience in limiting big plays on the ground.

Predicted Score: Navy 31 – Tulsa 13

Match Analysis: Navy Midshipmen vs UAB Blazers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-06
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium

Game Overview

The Navy Midshipmen, playing at home, open the season as strong favorites against the UAB Blazers, who are underdogs by a wide margin. Navy's disciplined triple-option offense and stout defense historically challenge less dynamic teams like UAB.

Key Factors to Consider

• Navy has demonstrated strong preseason form with a high win probability model estimate (~90%) and predicted dominant scoring ability. UAB, conversely, is projected to struggle offensively and defensively, lagging significantly behind Navy's capabilities.
• Recent H2H data is limited, but Navy generally holds an advantage over UAB in previous matchups, supported by model predictions and historical performance gaps.
• No significant injuries reported for either team as of current data, suggesting both squads can field their strongest lineups.
• Game played at Navy's home stadium favors the Midshipmen; Navy's disciplined style and home crowd are key external motivators. Weather, travel, and other logistical factors appear neutral.
• As season opener and a service academy game, Navy is highly motivated to start strongly at home. UAB faces a tough challenge on the road, lowering motivation but may aim to cover the spread as underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Navy -1800 / UAB +1000	Navy Midshipmen	★★★★★ 90%
Spread	Navy -21 (-110) / UAB +21 (-110)	Navy Midshipmen -21	★★★★☆ 82%
Over/under	Over 58.5 (-115) / Under 58.5 (-105)	Under 58.5	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Navy Midshipmen -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 58.5 33%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 58.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Navy Midshipmen moneyline for a confident win, Navy covering the -21 spread, and the game going under the 58.5 points total

Predicted Score: Navy 39 – UAB 20

Match Analysis: Navy Midshipmen vs VMI Keydets – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-30
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis

Game Overview

The Navy Midshipmen open their 2025 NCAAF season at home against the VMI Keydets. Navy enters with high expectations after a strong 10-3 finish last year, returning key players and poised to compete for their conference title. VMI is an underdog and less proven, facing a daunting road challenge against a powerhouse Navy team.

Key Factors to Consider

• Navy finished the previous season 10-3, winning the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy and a bowl game against Oklahoma. They return key players like DL Landon Robinson and OL Ben Purvis, maintaining a potent, disciplined style. VMI enters 0-0 but historically struggles against strong offenses and away games against top teams.
• Recent direct matchups show Navy dominating VMI with large margins, reflecting Navy’s far stronger roster and execution. There is no record of a close contest between these teams recently, supporting Navy's dominance.
• No notable injury reports available for either team entering the matchup, suggesting both sides should be at or near full strength.
• The game is in Annapolis with favorable weather forecasted (~70°F, 0% precipitation), minimizing external disruption. Navy benefits from home crowd support and familiarity with the venue.
• Navy is highly motivated to start their season strongly and continue contending for the American Conference title. VMI faces motivation challenges as heavy underdogs playing away with little recent success vs. such strong opponents.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Navy -3500, VMI +1800	Navy	★★★★★ 94%
Spread	Navy -41.5 (-115), VMI +41.5 (-105)	Navy -41.5	★★★★☆ 88%
Over/under	Over 50.5 (-110), Under 50.5 (-110)	Under 50.5	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 50.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Navy Midshipmen to cover the -41.5 spread with a high-scoring, controlled game resulting in under the total points line

Predicted Score: Navy 38 – VMI 10

Match Analysis: American Eagles vs Navy Midshipmen – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-12
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The American Eagles host the Navy Midshipmen in a Patriot League matchup. The Eagles have a slight edge in recent performances, but the Midshipmen have historically been competitive against them.

Key Factors to Consider

• American Eagles have shown resilience in recent games, including a win against Colgate. Navy Midshipmen have also had strong performances, such as beating Holy Cross and Boston University.
• In their last 10 meetings, Navy Midshipmen have won 7 times, while American Eagles have won 3. Their most recent match saw Navy win 68-60.
• No specific injury reports are available for this matchup.
• Home advantage could slightly favor the American Eagles, but both teams are familiar with each other's strategies.
• Both teams are motivated to secure wins in the league, with Navy looking to continue their historical dominance over American.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	American Eagles: -155, Navy Midshipmen: 130	Navy Midshipmen	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	American Eagles: -2.5 -110, Navy Midshipmen: 2.5 -110	Navy Midshipmen +2.5	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over_under	Over: 132.5 -108, Under: 132.5 -112	Under 132.5	★★★☆☆ 52%

Predicted Outcome

Navy Midshipmen to win outright.

Predicted Score: American Eagles 64, Navy Midshipmen 67

Match Analysis: Bucknell Bison vs Navy Midshipmen – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-09
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Sojka Pavilion, Lewisburg, PA

Game Overview

The Bucknell Bison host the Navy Midshipmen in a Patriot League semifinal matchup. Bucknell, led by Noah Williamson, has shown strong performance, especially in their previous win over Navy. Navy's Austin Benigni will look to lead his team past the Bison.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bucknell has a stronger conference record (13-5) compared to Navy (10-8). Bucknell's Noah Williamson is a key player, having been named Patriot League Player of the Year. Navy's Austin Benigni has been consistent in scoring.
• In their last meeting, Bucknell dominated Navy with a strong first half, winning 85-75. Noah Williamson had a standout performance with 29 points and 12 rebounds.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• The game is at Bucknell's home court, which could provide an advantage. However, Navy has shown resilience in recent games.
• Both teams are highly motivated as they compete in the Patriot League semifinals, with a chance to advance to the championship game.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bucknell: -245, Navy: 198	Bucknell	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Bucknell: -5.5 -120, Navy: 5.5 -102	Bucknell	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over: 140.5 -115, Under: 140.5 -105	Over	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Bucknell Bison are favored to win due to their strong performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Bucknell 75, Navy 70

Match Analysis: Boston Univ. Terriers vs Navy Midshipmen – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 6, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Case Gym

Game Overview

Boston University Terriers host the Navy Midshipmen in a closely contested matchup, with both teams looking to secure a crucial win.

Key Factors to Consider

• Boston University has a slightly better record at 16-14 compared to Navy's 13-18. However, Navy has shown resilience in close games.
• Recent head-to-head matchups have been competitive, with no clear dominance from either team.
• No significant injury reports have been noted for either team.
• Home court advantage could favor Boston University, but Navy's experience in tight games might offset this.
• Both teams are highly motivated, as a win could significantly impact their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Boston Univ. Terriers: -132, Navy Midshipmen: 110	Boston Univ. Terriers	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Boston Univ. Terriers: -1.5 -120, Navy Midshipmen: 1.5 -102	Boston Univ. Terriers	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over: 128.5 -110, Under: 128.5 -110	Over	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Boston University Terriers are favored to win due to their home advantage and slightly better performance this season.

Predicted Score: Boston Univ. Terriers 67, Navy Midshipmen 65

Match Analysis: Navy Midshipmen vs Loyola (MD) Greyhounds – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 1, 2025
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Reitz Arena, Baltimore, Maryland

Game Overview

The Loyola (MD) Greyhounds face the Navy Midshipmen in a Patriot League matchup. Navy is favored, with a strong record compared to Loyola's recent struggles.

Key Factors to Consider

• Navy has a better overall record (17-10) compared to Loyola (9-18). Navy averages more points per game (61.8 vs 59.0) but has a slightly weaker defense (63.7 vs 61.3 points allowed).
• In their last matchup, Navy dominated Loyola 64-48 in the Patriot League Tournament. This trend suggests Navy's superiority in head-to-head contests.
• No specific injury reports are available for this matchup.
• Home-court advantage could play a role, but since the game is at Reitz Arena, it technically favors Loyola. However, Navy's recent performance suggests they might overcome this factor.
• Both teams are motivated to win, but Navy's stronger record and recent performance might give them an edge in confidence and momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Navy -210, Loyola 140	Navy	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread	Navy -4 -115, Loyola +4 -105	Navy -4	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under	Over 138 -105, Under 138 -115	Under 138	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Navy is likely to win due to their superior record and recent performance against Loyola.

Predicted Score: Navy 64, Loyola (MD) 59

Match Analysis: Navy Midshipmen vs Holy Cross Crusaders – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-23
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Alumni Hall, Annapolis, Maryland

Game Overview

The Navy Midshipmen host the Holy Cross Crusaders in a Patriot League matchup. Navy is favored by 5.5 points, with a total set at 137.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Navy has a home advantage, with seven of their ten wins coming at Alumni Hall. Holy Cross has struggled recently, losing five of their last seven games.
• Holy Cross won the first meeting by 11 points, but Navy seeks revenge. The favorite has covered six of the last eight games between these teams.
• No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
• The game is played at Navy's home court, which could provide an advantage for the Midshipmen.
• Both teams are motivated, but Navy may have an edge due to playing at home and seeking revenge for their earlier loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Holy Cross +190, Navy -230	Navy	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread	Holy Cross +5.5 -110, Navy -5.5 -110	Holy Cross +5.5	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under	Over 137.5 -110, Under 137.5 -110	Over 137.5	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Navy is likely to win, given their home advantage and motivation for revenge.

Predicted Score: Navy 73, Holy Cross 67