Match Analysis: Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs Navy Midshipmen – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium, Tulsa, Oklahoma
Game Overview
Navy Midshipmen (2-0) face Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-1) in an AAC conference matchup. Navy has demonstrated strong rushing offense and solid defense, while Tulsa is struggling with consistency, especially after a recent loss to New Mexico State.
Key Factors to Consider
- Navy has won their first two games relying heavily on a dominant rushing attack with 295 rushing yards against UAB and a balanced offense resulting in first downs and efficient plays. Tulsa, coming off a loss with strong yardage (376 yards) but costly turnovers and a weak rushing defense allowing only 39 yards, is less consistent.
- Recent direct matchups favor Navy given their stronger record and performance; no recent Tulsa wins indicated in search results.
- No specific injuries reported in the available data; both teams appear to have their main players available.
- Game will play in Tulsa with warm weather (84ยฐF) and no precipitation expected, neutral conditions favoring the home team slightly but Navy is the clear favorite by odds.
- Navy aims to continue undefeated season start and strengthen conference standing, Tulsa looks to bounce back from loss and improve their record at home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Navy: -575, Tulsa: 425 | Navy to win | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Spread | Navy: -14 (-108), Tulsa: +14 (-112) | Navy to cover -14 | โ โ โ โ โ 80% |
| Over/under | Over: 52.5 (-112), Under: 52.5 (-108) | Under 52.5 total points | โ โ โ โ โ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Navy Midshipmen 346% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 52.5 35% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Navy Midshipmen at 346% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 81.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Navy is strongly favored to win this game both on the moneyline and covering the spread, with a predicted defensive game limiting Tulsa's rushing and overall scoring ability.
Predicted Score: Navy 34 – Tulsa 13