Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Calgary Stampeders – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-26
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, QC

Game Overview

The Montreal Alouettes (7-7) host the Calgary Stampeders (8-5) in a crucial late-season CFL matchup. Montreal is slight favorite at home, with both teams having strong defensive records, suggesting a competitive and potentially lower-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

• Montreal is balanced with a 7-7 record but boasts a strong defense, leading the league in sacks and low yards allowed per play. Calgary comes off a recent heavy loss (52-23 vs Lions), indicating possible offensive struggles and vulnerabilities.
• Recent results favor tight defensive matchups; Montreal holds a defensive edge, especially at home. Historically, games at Percival Molson have been close, with Montreal slightly favored.
• Montreal welcomes back key corner Lorenzo Burns, enhancing their defensive secondary. Calgary had no significant reported injuries but offensive inefficiencies and turnovers remain a concern.
• The game is played at Montreal's home stadium, providing a home crowd advantage. Weather and field conditions at this time of the year in Montreal typically favor defensive play due to cooler temperatures.
• Montreal is fighting to improve its position in the East division playoffs, while Calgary seeks to rebound urgently after a demoralizing loss and maintain momentum for postseason seeding.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Montreal Alouettes moneyline, Montreal -4.5 spread, Under 50.5 total points

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 27 – Calgary Stampeders 20

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Match Analysis: Toronto Argonauts vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-19
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: BMO Field, Toronto

Game Overview

The Montreal Alouettes (5-7) visit the Toronto Argonauts (4-8) with Montreal a clear favorite given their better recent form and home/away records. Toronto's defense has struggled significantly this season, especially against big plays, putting them at a disadvantage against Montreal's offense.

Key Factors to Consider

• Montreal has been more consistent with a 7-3 SU record in their last 10 home games, while Toronto has given up 38+ points in 2 of their last 3 games and ranks near the bottom defensively in giving up big plays.
• Recent matchups have favored Montreal, and they enter with a better win percentage and recent momentum compared to the struggling Argonauts.
• No major injury reports indicate significant absences impacting either team; both teams are expected to be near full strength.
• The game is at Toronto's BMO Field with typical early fall weather; no adverse conditions expected that would skew play significantly.
• Montreal remains in playoff contention with slightly better odds, increasing motivation, while Toronto is trailing and fighting for relevance, possibly lowering their edge.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Montreal Alouettes to win straight up, cover the -6.5 spread, and the game to go over 50.5 points.

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 31 – Toronto Argonauts 20

Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-06
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, QC

Game Overview

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats (6-5) visit the Montreal Alouettes (5-6) in a crucial CFL matchup. Hamilton is favored by 3 points, with an over/under line around 52.5 points. Both teams have potent offenses but recent form and injuries tilt the balance slightly toward Hamilton.

Key Factors to Consider

• Hamilton has a solid 6-5 record, showing strong passing performance led by Bo Levi Mitchell, who recently threw for 405 yards and 3 TDs despite a loss. Montreal is slightly below .500 and has struggled to consistently contain opposing offenses.
• Recent matchups have leaned slightly in favor of Hamilton, especially given their ability to maintain offensive yardage against Montreal’s defense. Close contests tend to favor the team with the better quarterback play, which currently is Hamilton.
• Available data indicates no key injuries for Hamilton’s starting QB Bo Levi Mitchell or major offensive weapons. Montreal’s status appears stable but with less depth, potentially impacting late-game stamina.
• The game is at Montreal’s home stadium but Hamilton is experienced playing on the road. Weather has no reported adverse conditions affecting play.
• Hamilton, coming off a close loss, is motivated to rebound strongly and solidify playoff positioning. Montreal needs this win to improve their standings and avoid falling further behind.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Hamilton Tiger-Cats moneyline win

Predicted Score: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 29 – Montreal Alouettes 23

Match Analysis: BC Lions vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-16
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: BC Place, Vancouver, BC

Game Overview

The BC Lions (4-5) host the Montreal Alouettes (5-4) in a close CFL matchup. BC Lions are slight favorites with a moneyline of -300 and a spread of -6.5 points. The Over/Under is set at 51.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• BC Lions have a 4-5 record with mixed performance offensively and defensively, showing inconsistency and leaving doubts about defense. Montreal Alouettes are 5-4 and recently lost a close game 23-22. Both teams have similar ATS records (4-5).
• Recent H2H shows BC Lions have a slight edge but matches tend to be close, with both teams capable of covering spreads.
• No major injury reports given, but Montreal’s quarterback situation is described as less than ideal, contributing to their offensive uncertainty.
• Game played at BC Place in Vancouver gives BC Lions home-field advantage. Broadcast on TSN increases visibility and motivation.
• Montreal seeks to rebound from a narrow loss, while BC aims to solidify their standing with a home win.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: BC Lions win; Spread: Montreal Alouettes +6.5 covers; Over/Under: Over 51.5 points

Predicted Score: BC Lions 30 – Montreal Alouettes 26

Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Edmonton Elks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-08
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Montreal Alouettes Home Stadium

Game Overview

The Montreal Alouettes host the Edmonton Elks in a CFL matchup where Montreal is a clear favorite based on recent performance and statistical trends.

Key Factors to Consider

• Montreal Alouettes have shown strong form with a projected points per game around 29.5 and a defensive ranking better than Edmonton’s. Edmonton Elks struggle offensively, averaging only 22.7 points per game while allowing 31.8 points, ranking near the bottom of the league.
• Recent head-to-head matchups favor Montreal decisively: their projected win percentage is over 75% against Edmonton in recent contests reflecting Edmonton's historically poor results here.
• No critical injuries reported for Montreal; Edmonton has some key offensive players questionable, further weakening their already anemic scoring ability.
• Game played at Montreal’s home stadium, favoring the Alouettes. Travel and weather conditions are standard and unlikely to impact play significantly.
• Montreal is looking to solidify playoff positioning and maintain momentum, while Edmonton is currently rebuilding and has little playoff hope, lowering motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Montreal Alouettes to win outright; Cover the -4.5 point spread; Total score Under 51.5 points

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 30 – Edmonton Elks 20

Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Saskatchewan Roughriders – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-02
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, QC

Game Overview

The Saskatchewan Roughriders (6-1), holding the best record in the CFL, face the Montreal Alouettes (5-2) with strong defenses and offenses at play. Saskatchewan is slight favorite on the spread and moneyline, with a total points line near 49.5.

Key Factors to Consider

• Saskatchewan is 6-1 overall and 5-2 ATS, bringing the league's top offense. Montreal is 5-2 with a top-ranked defense, having recently upset Calgary relying heavily on field goals.
• Recent meetings show competitiveness but Saskatchewan’s superior record and road success indicate a slight edge. The last seen QB performances favor Saskatchewan's Trevor Harris for efficiency and scoring.
• Montreal's starting QB Davis Alexander is out; McLeod Bethel-Thompson starts and is effective at managing field goal drives, though less dynamic than Harris. Saskatchewan’s key players appear healthy.
• The game is at Montreal’s home stadium, known for tough conditions and a strong home-field advantage, but Saskatchewan has been perfect on the road this season, mitigating this factor.
• Saskatchewan aims to maintain league-best record and road dominance; Montreal seeks to leverage home advantage and defensive strength to halt Roughriders.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Saskatchewan Roughriders to win outright on the moneyline, cover the 2.5 point spread, and the game to go over 49.5 points

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 28 – Montreal Alouettes 23

Match Analysis: Calgary Stampeders vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-25
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: McMahon Stadium

Game Overview

The Calgary Stampeders host the Montreal Alouettes in a pivotal CFL Week 8 matchup. Calgary enters with a strong 5-1 record, excelling defensively by allowing only 18.5 points per game. Montreal, with a 4-2 record, faces offensive challenges due to key injuries. Calgary’s recent form and defensive pressure are expected to control the game tempo.

Key Factors to Consider

• Calgary leads with 5-1 straight up and against the spread; Montreal stands at 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS. Calgary's defense is top-tier, limiting opponents effectively, while Montreal’s offense is impacted by injuries.
• Recent head-to-head favors Calgary who have shown they can cover spreads and produce consistent wins over Montreal.
• Montreal’s offensive capabilities are impaired notably by the injury to Alexander, reducing their effectiveness in scoring and quarterback protection.
• Game played at Calgary’s home venue, McMahon Stadium, giving the Stampeders a home-field advantage with supportive crowd and familiar conditions.
• Calgary aims to extend their dominance and improve to 6-1, maintaining momentum for playoffs. Montreal looks to overcome setbacks and remain competitive.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Calgary Stampeders to win outright and cover the spread; expect a solid defensive game with the total staying under the line.

Predicted Score: Calgary Stampeders 28 – Montreal Alouettes 20

Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Toronto Argonauts – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-17
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium

Game Overview

The Montreal Alouettes, currently 3-2, host the struggling Toronto Argonauts, who are 1-4. The Alouettes are favored due to their strong defensive performance and balanced offense, while the Argonauts have struggled with a porous defense and inconsistent offense.

Key Factors to Consider

• Montreal has shown strong defensive metrics, allowing the fewest points per game in the East. Toronto, on the other hand, has a struggling offense and defense, ranking 9th in total offense and 8th in total defense.
• The Alouettes have had success against the Argonauts historically and have started the season with strong wins.
• Davis Alexander for the Alouettes was dealing with a hamstring injury but is not expected to miss this game.
• The Alouettes are playing at home, where they typically perform well, while the Argonauts are on the road.
• The Alouettes are motivated to maintain their strong start, while the Argonauts are looking to turn their season around.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Montreal is expected to win given their strong form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 31, Toronto Argonauts 20

Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs BC Lions – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-05
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, QC

Game Overview

The Montreal Alouettes (3-1) are hosting the BC Lions (1-3) in a key CFL matchup. Montreal holds home-field advantage and positive momentum with a strong 3-1 record, while BC has struggled both on the road and overall, going 1-3. The game is expected to feature disciplined play by Montreal against an inconsistent BC Lions team that boasts an impressive passing attack but is hampered by turnovers and defensive issues.

Key Factors to Consider

• Montreal Alouettes are 3-1 both straight up and against the spread, winning their only home game so far. BC Lions have a 1-3 record both straight up and ATS, and are 0-2 on the road. Montreal averages 29.2 points per game and 21.4 allowed recently, while BC averages around 20.4 points with a higher opponent scoring rate.
• Historically, BC Lions have dominated the matchup with 18 wins to Montreal's 9 since 2010. However, recent form favors Montreal who have covered the spread 80% of the last five meetings and averaged higher points scored. BC has only covered 20% ATS in last five meetings.
• No significant injury information is currently available impacting the starters for either team.
• The match is at Montreal’s home stadium which gives them a strategic advantage. Recent games have shown BC’s defense allowing significant yardage and struggling against efficient Montreal offense. Montreal’s momentum and home crowd support could influence gameplay.
• Montreal aims to consolidate their lead in the East Division with another home win and extend their strong start. BC is motivated to improve their road record and bounce back from recent defeats, particularly addressing turnovers and defensive lapses.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Montreal Alouettes are favored to win at home, expected to dominate the game by protecting the football and maintaining scoring pressure. BC Lions may struggle to overcome turnovers and defensive inconsistencies, resulting in a Montreal win covering the spread.

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 29 – BC Lions 20