Match Analysis: Mohamad Osseili vs Ali Aliev – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-02
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: Dubai, UAE

Game Overview

Light Heavyweight bout at Karate Combat 54 between Russia's Ali Aliev and Lebanon's Mohamad Osseili. Event features hybrid karate/MMA rules under Karate Combat's unique pit-based format.

Key Factors to Consider

• Limited historical performance data available. Aliev's -150 closing odds suggest perceived superiority; Osseili's +110 odds reflect underdog status with home-region advantage (Lebanese fighter in UAE venue)[1][5].
• No prior meeting between fighters. Both appear evenly matched in weight class, though Aliev's odds suggest bookmakers favor technical striking.
• No injury reports found via available sources.
• Event occurs in Dubai's controlled pit environment favoring technical strikers. Osseili's social media posts suggest strong preparation[3].
• Osseili positioning for regional recognition; Aliev potentially seeking Russian dominance in Karate Combat's expansion.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Aliev -110 / Osseili -130	Ali Aliev	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ali Aliev 8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ali Aliev at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ali Aliev by decision (confidence: 65%) – Odds discrepancy between sources (-150 vs -110) creates value opportunity if real odds closer to -150 implied probability (60%)

Predicted Score: 3-2 Aliev (under Karate Combat's 5-judge scoring system)