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Wests Tigers vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 9:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Game Overview

The Wests Tigers (9th) face the St George Illawarra Dragons (10th) in a tightly contested Round 9 NRL clash at Magic Round, with both teams fielding lineup changes. The Dragons debut Corey Allan and promote Lyhkan King-Togia to halfback, while the Tigers deal with off-field distractions surrounding Lachlan Galvin.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Tigers are marginally favored (60% win probability per Stats Insider's model[5]), but face instability due to Galvin's contract dispute[3]. The Dragons' reshaped halves pairing (King-Togia/Ilias) introduces unpredictability[2][4].
  • Recent historical data unavailable in sources, but current rankings (9th vs 10th) suggest parity.
  • Dragons: Hamish Stewart returns from concussion[4]. Corey Allan debuts after 2024 ACL recovery[4]. Tigers: No explicit injury reports, but Galvin's legal issues may affect focus[3].
  • Magic Round atmosphere at Suncorp Stadium could intensify pressure on inexperienced players like King-Togia[4][5].
  • Dragons seek to capitalize on Tigers' off-field turmoil[3], while Wests aim to leverage home crowd momentum (designated home team per NRL draw[1][5]).

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tigers -121 / Dragons +102 / Draw +1900 Wests Tigers ML (-121) ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Tigers -1.5 (-115) / Dragons +1.5 (-115) Tigers -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over 46.5 (-115) / Under 46.5 (-115) Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 54%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Wests Tigers 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Wests Tigers at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Wests Tigers by ≤4 points in high-variance contest. Stats Insider's 60% probability aligns with slight edge, but Dragons' revamped lineup introduces hedging risk[5].

Predicted Score: Wests Tigers 24-20 Dragons


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Wests Tigers vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction

Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-05-03 Time: 9:45 AM UTC Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane Game Overview The Wests Tigers (9th) face the St George Illawarra Dragons (10th) in a tightly contested Round 9 NRL clash at Magic Round, with both teams fielding lineup changes. The Dragons […]

May 3, 2025 Rugbyleague St George Illawarra Dragons Wests Tigers

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New Zealand Warriors vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Game Overview

The New Zealand Warriors face the North Queensland Cowboys in Round 9 of the NRL season. The Warriors have been performing well, with halves Luke Metcalf and Chanel Harris-Tavita leading the team to recent victories. The Cowboys, however, are on a strong run, having impressed with their scoring ability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Warriors have won four of their last five encounters against the Cowboys. The Cowboys have had a strong recent run, scoring seven tries in 33 minutes against the Titans.
  • Recent head-to-head data favors the Warriors, but the Cowboys have momentum coming into this game.
  • Jacob Laban from the Warriors is subject to concussion protocols and is replaced by Te Maire Martin on the bench.
  • The game is part of Magic Round, which can sometimes impact team dynamics.
  • Both teams have been motivated by recent performances, but the Cowboys' current form might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Warriors: 108, Cowboys: -130, Draw: 1900 Cowboys ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Warriors: +1.5 -115, Cowboys: -1.5 -115 Cowboys to cover -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 44.5: -150, Under 44.5: 115 Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Queensland Cowboys 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 -12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: North Queensland Cowboys at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Cowboys are predicted to win due to their current form and scoring potential.

Predicted Score: Cowboys 25, Warriors 20


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

The South Sydney Rabbitohs will face the Newcastle Knights in NRL Round 9. The match is set to take place at Suncorp Stadium on May 3, 2025, at 10:00 AEST. The Knights are favored slightly by the bookies, but both teams have a strong chance of winning.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Rabbitohs have named a strong squad with Jack Wighton as captain for the first time. The Knights, meanwhile, are favored with a slight edge in the odds.
  • Previous meetings between the two teams have been competitive, with each side having notable victories. However, recent trends and team dynamics suggest a slight edge for the Knights.
  • As of now, there are no significant injury concerns reported for either team that would dramatically impact the match.
  • The match is part of Magic Round, which could influence team performance due to the unique atmosphere and schedule.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure a win, given the competitive nature of the NRL and the current standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Knights -118, Rabbitohs +100, Draw 1800 Knights ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Knights -1.5 -110, Rabbitohs +1.5 -120 Knights ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 44.5 -115, Under 44.5 -115 Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle Knights 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Newcastle Knights at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Newcastle Knights to win

Predicted Score: Knights 24, Rabbitohs 20


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Shark Park, Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The 2025 Round 9 clash between Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks and Parramatta Eels follows a 2024 Round 13 encounter where Parramatta defeated Cronulla 34-22. Historical context and current form will be critical factors in this matchup, with Cronulla potentially seeking redemption at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Parramatta's recent 2024 performance showed offensive efficiency (6 tries, 4 conversions) against Cronulla. Cronulla's 2024 lineup adjustments (Trindall at halfback, Rudolf/Hamlin-Uele on bench) may influence 2025 strategies, though current rosters remain unspecified.
  • Parramatta holds psychological advantage from their 2024 victory, but historical h2h requires deeper statistical analysis beyond available data.
  • No real-time injury data available for 2025 matchup. 2024 Round 13 saw Cronulla missing Hynes/McInnes and Parramatta missing Harper/Asi – monitor pre-game team sheets.
  • Shark Park's home advantage for Cronulla could prove decisive, though no weather data or crowd restrictions reported.
  • Cronulla likely seeks to avenge 2024 loss, while Parramatta aims to maintain dominance in this rivalry.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla -205 / Parramatta 172 / Draw 2100 Cronulla ML ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Cronulla -5.5 (-120) / Parramatta +5.5 (-110) Cronulla -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 46.5 (-115) / Under 46.5 (-115) Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 53%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 1297%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at 1297% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 61.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla to cover spread with home advantage (-5.5), though Parramatta's offensive capability makes over 46.5 plausible. Lean toward Sharks moneyline given odds value.

Predicted Score: Cronulla 28 – Parramatta 20


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Wests Tigers vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-27
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Initially listed as Leichhardt, corrected to Campbelltown Stadium, Campbelltown, Australia

Game Overview

This matchup between the Wests Tigers and Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks is anticipated to be a competitive fixture in Round 8 of the 2025 NRL season, with Cronulla favored based on recent form and historical head-to-head records.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla has shown stronger recent performances compared to Wests Tigers, leading to their favoritism in this match.
  • Historically, Cronulla has had an edge over Wests Tigers, which supports their current position as favorites.
  • No specific injury reports are available as of now. However, any notable injuries could impact team performance.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence team morale and performance.
  • Both teams will be highly motivated to secure a win for their respective team standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla -230, Wests Tigers 190 Cronulla ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Cronulla -7.5 -120, Wests Tigers 7.5 -110 Wests Tigers +7.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 47.5 -115, Under 47.5 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on current odds and historical data, Cronulla is likely to win this matchup.

Predicted Score: Cronulla 25, Wests Tigers 22


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Canberra Raiders vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 27, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders (3rd place) host the Dolphins in a Round 8 clash following recent strong form. The Dolphins arrive after a shock 42-22 win against Melbourne, seeking a club-record fourth consecutive victory. The Raiders have won five of seven games and named an unchanged lineup, while the Dolphins debut Francis Molo and reshuffle their pack.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Raiders have shown resilience (e.g., overcoming 16-0 deficit vs Titans), while Dolphins demonstrated high-scoring potential against top teams.
  • Raiders lead 2-1 in three meetings, with all games decided by ≤6 points.
  • Dolphins lose Felise Kaufusi (knee), while Raiders have full squad availability.
  • Dolphins’ forward reshuffle (Mark Nicholls to lock) could impact bench rotation efficiency.
  • Dolphins aim for historic fourth straight win; Raiders seek to cement top-four positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -176, away: +148, draw: 2100 Canberra Raiders ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Raiders -4.5 (-110), Dolphins +4.5 (-120) Dolphins +4.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under 48.5 (Over -115/Under -115) Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Raiders by 1-6 points in a tight contest, leveraging home advantage and defensive consistency. Dolphins’ attacking firepower keeps it competitive.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 26-22 Dolphins


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Penrith Panthers vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Panthers Stadium

Game Overview

The Penrith Panthers are facing the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in Round 8 of the NRL. This matchup highlights Penrith's strong form and home advantage against a challenging Manly side.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers have shown strong overall performance in recent seasons, while Manly has faced inconsistency.
  • The Panthers have historically done well against Manly at home, with a slight edge in head-to-head matches.
  • Injury reports may impact team lineups and strategy.
  • Weather and crowd support could influence the game's pace and energy.
  • Penrith's motivation to maintain top form and Manly's desire to upset will drive both teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Penrith Panthers: -208, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: 158 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Penrith Panthers: -6.5 -120, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: 6.5 -120 Penrith Panthers ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -120, Under: 46.5 -120 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers are likely to win due to their strong recent performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 24 – Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 18


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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Gold Coast Titans Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Gold Coast Titans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium, Townsville

Game Overview

Round 8 NRL match between North Queensland Cowboys and Gold Coast Titans at Cowboys' home ground. Cowboys come off a strong recent run with wins against Panthers and Rabbitohs, returning home after bye week. Titans are desperate to end a three-game losing streak. Both teams making significant lineup changes with key players returning from injury and suspension, setting an intense and competitive clash.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cowboys currently 9th on ladder, Titans 13th. Cowboys have won four of the past six encounters against Titans, and have been impressive defensively and offensively in recent matches. Titans have struggled away, winning only one of last 13 matches in Townsville. Titans feature star centre AJ Brimson with strong try-scoring record against Cowboys; Cowboys have key players like Jeremiah Nanai in form and Murray Taulagi playing milestone 100th NRL game.
  • Historically, Cowboys dominate the head-to-head, winning 4 of last 6 meetings, and Titans have just 1 win in their past 13 away matches at Townsville. Titans centre AJ Brimson has noted success against Cowboys with 9 tries in 12 games. Overall, Cowboys have a psychological and statistical edge at home.
  • Cowboys' John Bateman returns after infection; lineup adjustments involve Jeremiah Nanai promoted to starting side. Titans' David Fifita cleared to play despite recent hamstring concerns, Alofiana Khan-Pereira back from injury, Brock Gray returns from suspension. Key Titans bench players Klese Haas and Iszac Fa'asuamaleaui dropped. Both teams nearly at full strength, boosting quality of play for this match.
  • Match played at Queensland Country Bank Stadium benefiting Cowboys with home crowd and conditions. Recent bye for Cowboys may have refreshed squad. Titans face pressure with three-game losing run. Broadcast coverage via WatchNRL, Kayo, and Foxtel ensures wide exposure. Weather or pitch conditions not specified but typical for Townsville at this time of year favoring home side.
  • Cowboys motivated by strong recent form and milestone for Taulagi. Titans highly motivated to break losing streak and prove value against bookmakers' odds. Psychological edge favors Cowboys but Titans' resilience noted. Both teams eye crucial points for ladder positioning mid-season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline North Queensland Cowboys: -250, Gold Coast Titans: 205, Draw: 2200 North Queensland Cowboys ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread North Queensland Cowboys -8.5: -115, Gold Coast Titans +8.5: -115 North Queensland Cowboys -8.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 49.5: -115, Under 49.5: -115 Under 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Queensland Cowboys -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The North Queensland Cowboys are predicted to win narrowly due to home advantage, recent form, and squad depth. However, the Gold Coast Titans are undervalued by betting markets and expected to challenge strongly, potentially pushing the game close or causing an upset.

Predicted Score: North Queensland Cowboys 26 – Gold Coast Titans 18


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Melbourne Storm vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-25
  • Time: 10:10 AM UTC
  • Location: AAMI Park

Game Overview

The Round 8 NRL clash between Melbourne Storm and South Sydney Rabbitohs is set at AAMI Park on Anzac Day. Melbourne Storm are coming off strong recent performances with key players returning from injury, while South Sydney face some injuries but remain competitive. The Storm are slight favorites due to home advantage and squad depth.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have been performing solidly, highlighted by Nick Meaney's return and Kane Bradley's recent try-scoring form. South Sydney Rabbitohs have shown resilience but are weakened by multiple injuries affecting key positions.
  • Historically, Melbourne Storm have had the upper hand in recent encounters, with the predictive model granting Storm an 84% winning probability over Rabbitohs at this venue. Their home form and consistency contribute significantly to this dominance.
  • Melbourne Storm will miss Jack Howarth (dislocated shoulder) and Tui Kamikamica (ankle sprain). Nick Meaney returns from facial fracture. Harry Grant is out with hamstring strain, expected back in mid-May. Rabbitohs face absences including Bayleigh Bentley-Hape, Declan Casey, Jayden Sullivan, Salesi Ataata, and Thomas Fletcher, with Lachlan Hubner returning.
  • The match is played at Melbourne's home ground AAMI Park, providing a familiar environment and crowd support. The match day being Anzac Day may add emotional intensity. Weather and pitch conditions are normal and no unusual disruptions are expected.
  • Melbourne Storm aim to continue their strong season momentum and capitalize on home advantage. South Sydney Rabbitohs seek to upset the odds despite injury setbacks, motivated by rivalry and the prestige of an Anzac Day fixture.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -480, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 340 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 84%
Spread Storm -14.5: 1.91, Rabbitohs +14.5: 1.91 Storm to cover -14.5 point spread ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 47.5: -118, Under 47.5: -106 Over 47.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm are predicted to win comfortably based on their current form, home advantage, and superior squad fitness.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 28 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 14


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 25 April 2025
  • Time: 8:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Apollo Projects Stadium, Christchurch, NZ

Game Overview

The match between the New Zealand Warriors and Newcastle Knights is scheduled for Round 8 of the NRL Premiership, with the Warriors currently positioned higher in the standings. The Warriors have a strong home advantage playing in New Zealand.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Warriors are currently 4th in the standings, while the Knights are 14th. The Warriors have shown more consistent team performance in recent matches.
  • Historically, the Warriors have had mixed results against the Knights, but their recent form suggests an advantage.
  • There is limited information available about current injuries affecting the match outcome.
  • Playing in Christchurch provides the Warriors with a home advantage and potentially supportive crowd.
  • Both teams are motivated, but the Warriors face greater pressure to maintain their position in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -295, away: 225 Warriors ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: -112 (44.5), under: -112 (44.5) Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: New Zealand Warriors at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Warriors are likely to dominate this match due to their current form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Warriors 26 – Knights 16


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