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Match Analysis: Hafeni Nafuka vs Kevin Enz – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Festhalle Messe Frankfurt, Frankfurt am Main
Game Overview
The main card catchweight bout between Hafeni Nafuka and Kevin Enz is scheduled at OKTAGON 76 on September 20, 2025. Nafuka (10-3) holds a notable experience advantage over Enz (4-3), with a strong submission record. Enz also possesses grappling skills but with fewer fights and a slightly larger frame. The fight features contrasting styles with Nafuka's aggressive submission prowess and Enz's physical attributes and resilience.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hafeni Nafuka has demonstrated consistent performance with 10 wins, including 6 submissions and 2 KOs, showing a well-rounded skill set. Kevin Enz, with 4 wins, has decent submission and knockout ability but less experience overall. Nafuka's recent form and finishing ability make him the favorite.
- There is no prior direct matchup between Hafeni Nafuka and Kevin Enz, making this a first-time meeting with unpredictable dynamics.
- No recent or reported injuries affecting either Hafeni Nafuka or Kevin Enz have been disclosed prior to the fight.
- Fight taking place in Frankfurt, Germany, a neutral ground with no clear home advantage. Both fighters are likely motivated to perform under the spotlight of OKTAGON MMA main card status.
- Nafuka aims to solidify his status as a top contender in the catchweight division with a high-level submission win while Enz looks to upset the more experienced opponent and improve his MMA record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hafeni Nafuka: -175, Kevin Enz: +140, Draw: +2000 | Hafeni Nafuka | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Hafeni Nafuka -1.5: -120, Kevin Enz +1.5: +100 | Hafeni Nafuka -1.5 | β β β β β 80% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: +110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130 | Under 2.5 rounds | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hafeni Nafuka is predicted to win by submission in the first round based on historical finishing rates and grappling superiority.
Predicted Score: Hafeni Nafuka wins by submission in Round 1 at 2:28