Match Analysis: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Missouri Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-25
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Vanderbilt Stadium, Nashville, TN

Game Overview

This matchup features two SEC East teams, Vanderbilt Commodores and Missouri Tigers, as they clash on October 25, 2025. Vanderbilt is favored by 2.5 points, reflecting their strong offense and home advantage. Missouri has historically dominated the series, winning four of the last four meetings, but Vanderbilt's current form could challenge this trend.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vanderbilt boasts a potent offense, averaging 41.4 points per game, while Missouri has a solid defense, allowing only 16.7 points per game. Missouri's recent head-to-head success could be a psychological factor.
• Missouri has won four consecutive games against Vanderbilt, but Vanderbilt's home-field advantage and improved offense could level the playing field.
• No significant injury reports have been detailed in the available data.
• The game is part of the NCAA regular season, and both teams are motivated to secure SEC East standings.
• Both teams are highly motivated, as a win would boost their conference standings and bowl prospects.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Missouri Tigers: 120, Vanderbilt Commodores: -142	Vanderbilt Commodores	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Missouri Tigers: 2.5 -105, Vanderbilt Commodores: -2.5 -115	Vanderbilt Commodores	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 51.5 -112, Under: 51.5 -108	Over	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Vanderbilt Commodores -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 51.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vanderbilt Commodores at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vanderbilt is expected to win due to their strong offense and home advantage, despite Missouri's historical dominance.

Predicted Score: Vanderbilt Commodores 31 – 24 Missouri Tigers

Match Analysis: Auburn Tigers vs Missouri Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 11:45 PM UTC
• Location: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL

Game Overview

The Missouri Tigers, ranked No. 16 with a 5-1 record, visit the Auburn Tigers, who are 3-3 and unranked, for a key SEC matchup. Missouri boasts the sixth-ranked rushing offense and is favored narrowly. Auburn has the 11th-ranked rush defense but has struggled with a 0-3 SEC record, coming off a loss to Georgia. The game features closely matched teams, with Missouri slight favorites both in spread and moneyline odds, and a moderate total points line set at 43.5.

Key Factors to Consider

• Missouri enters with a strong 5-1 overall and 1-1 SEC record, demonstrating balanced offense and resilience, albeit with a close 27-24 loss last game to Alabama. Auburn is 3-3 overall, winless in conference play at 0-3, and riding a three-game losing streak, including a 20-10 loss to Georgia, indicating struggles on both offense and defense.
• Recent head-to-head data is limited for this season. Historically, matchups are competitive in the SEC context. Missouri is slight favorite based on recent performance and rankings.
• No explicit injury information is available at this time for key players on either team, suggesting both squads may field close to full strength.
• Game is at Auburn's home venue, Jordan-Hare Stadium, providing the home team a typical advantage. Missouri's strong rushing attack will be tested against Auburn's respectable rush defense ranking. Weather or other environmental factors are not specified.
• Missouri seeks to maintain momentum and improve conference record, aiming to solidify standing in SEC. Auburn aims to reverse a three-game slide and avoid falling deeper into conference losses, making home-field performance crucial.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Auburn Tigers: +105, Missouri Tigers: -125	Missouri Tigers	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Auburn Tigers +1.5: -108, Missouri Tigers -1.5: -112	Missouri Tigers -1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 43.5: -115, Under 43.5: -105	Under 43.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Missouri Tigers -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 43.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 43.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Missouri wins narrowly given superior overall record, stronger rushing offense, and slight betting favorite status, but Auburn’s home field and solid rush defense keep it close.

Predicted Score: Missouri Tigers 24 – Auburn Tigers 21

Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-11
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO

Game Overview

The matchup features the No. 8 Alabama Crimson Tide (4-1 overall, 2-0 SEC) visiting the unbeaten No. 14 Missouri Tigers (5-0 overall, 1-0 SEC) on October 11, 2025. Alabama, a perennial powerhouse, has impressed with a strong defense and efficient offense led by Heisman candidate Ty Simpson. Missouri is undefeated, boasting explosive total offense (averaging 548 yards per game) and the nation's leading rusher, Ahmad Hardy. Both teams have potent receiving corps and solid running backs, making this a high-stakes SEC contest.

Key Factors to Consider

• Missouri has outscored opponents by a wide margin (45.2 to 14.6 points per game) and dominates time of possession with about 80 snaps per game compared to opponents' 50. Alabama dates a more balanced but efficient attack, excelling in ball control and minimizing turnovers, having only one all season. Alabama’s defense has performed well, especially in containing mobile quarterbacks recently. Missouri’s rushing attack led by Hardy and QB Beau Pribula’s running ability contrasts with Alabama’s strong passing game led by Ty Simpson.
• Recent direct matchups show Alabama typically favored due to historical SEC dominance; however, Missouri is undefeated this season and playing at home, potentially closing the gap. Both teams have top-15 rankings, signaling a very competitive game. Exact head-to-head win-loss recent records are not explicitly stated, but Alabama’s status as preseason power suggests a slight historical edge.
• No specific injury updates currently available in the provided data. Both teams appear to be mostly healthy and fielding their key players.
• The game is at Missouri’s home stadium, Faurot Field, which is sold out, providing a strong home atmosphere for Missouri. Weather conditions or unusual external circumstances are not reported, so expected to be neutral. Motivational factors include Missouri seeking an undefeated regular season and Alabama aiming to sustain national title contention.
• Missouri seeks to maintain its perfect record and prove legitimacy against a top-10 opponent at home. Alabama is motivated to rebound from a rare loss and maintain SEC dominance and national playoff positioning. Both teams have strong recent winning streaks (Alabama 4 wins, Missouri 5 wins), adding intensity to the encounter.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alabama Crimson Tide: -154, Missouri Tigers: 130	Alabama Crimson Tide	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Alabama Crimson Tide: -3.5 -104, Missouri Tigers: 3.5 -118	Alabama Crimson Tide to cover -3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over: 51.5 -110, Under: 51.5 -110	Over 51.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Alabama Crimson Tide -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 51.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alabama is favored to win by a narrow margin given their efficient offense, defensive discipline, and experience in close SEC contests. Missouri’s high-powered offense and home advantage create a significant upset potential. The prediction is Alabama covering the spread and winning a moderately high-scoring game.

Predicted Score: Alabama Crimson Tide 31 – Missouri Tigers 27

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Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs UMass Minutemen – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field, Columbia, Missouri

Game Overview

The Missouri Tigers, ranked #20/19 and undefeated at 4-0, host the struggling UMass Minutemen, who are 0-3 this season. Missouri is heavily favored with a large 44.5 point spread and an over/under set at 56.5 points. Missouri recently beat South Carolina 29-20, while UMass lost 47-7 to Iowa.

Key Factors to Consider

• Missouri has been dominant with a 4-0 record, including wins over quality opponents like South Carolina. UMass has struggled heavily, losing its first three games by large margins, showing offensive and defensive weaknesses.
• Missouri leads the series 1-0, having won the last meeting decisively 45-3 on October 12, 2024, at UMass' home field.
• No significant injury reports available for either team at this time, suggesting both squads should be near full strength.
• The game is played at Missouri's home stadium, giving the Tigers a home-field advantage. The kickoff is scheduled for prime time on ESPNU, increasing stakes and motivation for Missouri's favored program.
• Missouri aims to maintain its undefeated streak and improve conference position, while UMass seeks to avoid a 0-4 start and gain valuable experience against a top-ranked team.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Spread	Missouri Tigers: -44.5 (-114), UMass Minutemen: +44.5 (-106)	Missouri Tigers to cover -44.5	★★★★★ 90%
Over/under	Over: 56.5 (-105), Under: 56.5 (-115)	Under 56.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 56.5 -99%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Missouri is expected to win comfortably, likely covering the large spread due to the vast difference in team quality, experience, and recent performance.

Predicted Score: Missouri Tigers 48 – UMass Minutemen 7

Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs South Carolina Gamecocks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO

Game Overview

The Missouri Tigers (3-0 overall, 0-0 SEC) host the South Carolina Gamecocks (2-1 overall, 0-1 SEC) in an SEC matchup at Faurot Field. Missouri is ranked #23 nationally and enters the game undefeated, while South Carolina is looking to bounce back from a conference loss. This game kicks off the SEC play for both teams, adding significance to conference standings.

Key Factors to Consider

• Missouri is off to a strong start with a 3-0 record, demonstrating solid offense and defense. They averaged 80.3 points across their last games, indicating high scoring ability. South Carolina is 2-1 overall and 0-1 in the SEC, coming off a loss and facing some challenges establishing consistency.
• Recent history favors Missouri given their ranked status and undefeated record this season. The matchup is crucial as both teams start their SEC schedules. Historical outcomes have varied, but Missouri appears stronger this season.
• Current injury reports are unavailable but monitoring last-minute injuries or player availability will be critical to final predictions.
• Missouri's home field advantage at Faurot Field, where tickets are sold out, creates a strong atmosphere favoring the Tigers. Weather and travel factors seem neutral.
• Missouri aims to maintain their perfect start and establish dominance in SEC play, while South Carolina seeks redemption and to improve their conference record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Missouri Tigers: -360, South Carolina Gamecocks: 280	Missouri Tigers	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Missouri Tigers: -10.5 (-106), South Carolina Gamecocks: +10.5 (-114)	Missouri Tigers to cover the -10.5 spread	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over: 48.5 (-110), under: 48.5 (-110)	Over 48.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Missouri Tigers -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 48.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Missouri Tigers are predicted to win this game by a significant margin based on current form, ranking, and home field advantage.

Predicted Score: Missouri Tigers 34 – 21 South Carolina Gamecocks

Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs Louisiana Ragin Cajuns – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field, Columbia, Missouri

Game Overview

The Missouri Tigers (2-0, ranked No. 25) host the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns (1-1) in a matchup where Missouri is a heavy favorite. Missouri enters undefeated with strong offensive and defensive performances, while Louisiana has shown resilience but faces a tough challenge against a ranked Power Five opponent on the road. The total points line is set at 47.5, indicating expectations of a moderately high scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

• Missouri has demonstrated strong balanced offense and a resilient defense, winning recent games convincingly including a 42-31 victory over Kansas. Louisiana showed offensive promise with a recent 34-10 win but has yet to face an opponent of Missouri's caliber and may struggle defensively.
• No detailed recent head-to-head data available, but betting trends and expert analysis heavily favor Missouri based on current performance and program strength.
• No specific injury reports available for either team ahead of this matchup.
• The game will be played at Missouri’s home stadium, Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field, where the Tigers have a strong home performance record. Weather forecast shows 92°F, no rain, and low wind, unlikely to affect gameplay significantly.
• Missouri is motivated to maintain its undefeated start and strong ranking, continuing momentum from recent successes. Louisiana seeks to prove they can compete against Power Five teams but faces the challenge of playing away in a hostile environment.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Missouri Tigers: -4500, Louisiana Ragin Cajuns: 1700	Missouri Tigers to win	★★★★★ 92%
Spread	Missouri Tigers: -27.5 -102, Louisiana Ragin Cajuns: +27.5 -118	Missouri Tigers -27.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over: 47.5 -108, Under: 47.5 -112	Under 47.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Missouri Tigers -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 47.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Missouri Tigers are expected to win decisively, covering the sizeable spread and scoring heavily against Louisiana’s defense, with an estimated final score near 44-6.

Predicted Score: Missouri Tigers 44 – Louisiana Ragin Cajuns 6

Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs Kansas Jayhawks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-06
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field, Columbia, Missouri

Game Overview

The Missouri Tigers (1-0) host the Kansas Jayhawks (2-0) for Week 2 of the NCAAF season at Memorial Stadium. Missouri enters this home game as favorites with strong defensive capabilities and a balanced offensive attack, while Kansas brings momentum from an undefeated start. Both teams feature notable offensive playmakers, but the Tigers have the edge in recent coaching strategies and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Kansas currently holds a 2-0 record with a high-powered offense led by QB J. Daniels (36/45, 456 yards, 7 TDs, 1 INT) and RB D. Hishaw Jr. (158 rushing yards, 1 TD). Missouri is 1-0, showing a solid rushing attack with A. Hardy rushing 100 yards and QB B. Pribula passing efficiently. Missouri's defense and home venue give them a tactical advantage.
• Recent in-season direct encounters show Missouri favored at home with a 57% public moneyline support and positive betting unit returns over last 30 days (+15.4 units betting Missouri -6.5 spread). Historically, Missouri has a slight edge when playing at Faurot Field against Kansas.
• No significant injuries reported for either team ahead of the game, allowing both sides to field near-full strength rosters.
• Weather is forecasted clear at 73°F with 0% chance of rain and a mild 9 mph wind, creating ideal playing conditions without notable external impediments.
• Missouri looks to maintain dominance at home and improve after their last narrow win, while Kansas aims to keep momentum after a strong 2-0 start and prove resilience on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Kansas Jayhawks: +200, Missouri Tigers: -245	Missouri Tigers	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Kansas Jayhawks: 6.5 -105, Missouri Tigers: -6.5 -115	Missouri Tigers -6.5	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Over: 50.5 -115, Under: 50.5 -105	Under 50.5	★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Missouri Tigers -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 50.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Missouri Tigers are predicted to win by a narrow margin, leveraging home advantage and a strong defensive showing to contain Kansas’ high-powered offense. The game is expected to be competitive but tilt towards Missouri.

Predicted Score: Missouri Tigers 28 – Kansas Jayhawks 24

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Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs Central Arkansas Bears – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: August 28, 2025
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO

Game Overview

The Missouri Tigers, an FBS team, face off against the Central Arkansas Bears, a lower-tier opponent, which typically results in a significant advantage for the Tigers due to the difference in division and talent level.

Key Factors to Consider

• Missouri, as an FBS team, generally has stronger players and better resources compared to Central Arkansas, which competes at a lower level.
• There is limited recent head-to-head data, but Missouri's higher level of competition should give them an edge.
• No specific injury information is available at this time.
• Home field advantage typically benefits the Tigers, and the Bears might face challenges in a hostile environment.
• Missouri is likely highly motivated to start the season strong, while Central Arkansas may focus on gaining experience against a top-level opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Spread	-36.5 (-115)	Missouri Tigers	Moderate to High
Over/under	51.5 (Over: -115, Under: -105)	Over	Moderate

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 51.5 -99%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Missouri Tigers are predicted to win due to their superior division and home field advantage.

Predicted Score: Missouri Tigers 45, Central Arkansas Bears 9

Match Analysis: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Missouri Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-20
• Time: 2:30 PM UTC
• Location: Hoover Metropolitan Stadium, Hoover, Ala.

Game Overview

The Alabama Crimson Tide (#9 seed) face the Missouri Tigers (#16 seed) in the 2025 Southeastern Conference Baseball Tournament. Alabama, ranked #9 and playing at a neutral venue in Hoover, Ala., has a home advantage considering proximity and fan support. Missouri enters as the #16 seed. The pitching matchup features Alabama's RHP Tyler Fay against Missouri's RHP Sam Horn. Alabama holds a recent season win over Missouri by a 4-3 margin in SEC tournament history.

Key Factors to Consider

• Alabama has demonstrated strong offensive capabilities throughout the season with significant wins including recent 6-3, 6-4, and 6-2 victories, showing resilience and depth in scoring. Missouri's performance has been more inconsistent with notable losses and a mixed record in recent weeks. Alabama's pitching staff, led by Tyler Fay, appears more stable and effective compared to Missouri's Sam Horn.
• Historically, Alabama won their recent SEC tournament meeting against Missouri 4-3 in a close contest in 2015, indicating competitive matchups. In the current season, Alabama has been winning most recent encounters against Missouri, giving them a psychological edge.
• No official reports of key injuries from either team have surfaced for this specific match, suggesting both teams are near full strength.
• The game is played at Hoover Metropolitan Stadium, a neutral site close to Alabama, which could provide a slight crowd advantage. Weather is stable with no immediate rain forecast impacting the game time or conditions.
• Alabama enters as a higher seed with momentum from a strong season and home-region support, motivated to progress in the SEC Tournament. Missouri seeks an upset and to improve its tournament standing, providing strong underdog motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alabama Crimson Tide: -720, Missouri Tigers: 450	Alabama Crimson Tide	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Alabama Crimson Tide: -4.5 -154, Missouri Tigers: +4.5 120	Alabama Crimson Tide -4.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 14.5: -120, Under 14.5: -110	Under 14.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Alabama Crimson Tide -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 14.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 14.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alabama Crimson Tide are favored to win given their superior season form, pitching advantage, and venue proximity. Expect a moderately close game with Alabama's offense edging Missouri. Final score predicted with Alabama scoring in the mid-to-high single digits and Missouri in the low single digits.

Predicted Score: Alabama Crimson Tide 8 – Missouri Tigers 3

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – May 20, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Cal Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers Prediction	Cal Baptist Lancers	-298	108%
Michigan St Spartans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers Prediction	Michigan St Spartans	-166	33%
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Missouri Tigers Prediction	Under 14.5	-110	24%

Combined Odds: +309 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $81.71