The Philadelphia Phillies host the Milwaukee Brewers in a matchup where the Phillies are strong home favorites against a competitive Brewers squad. The Phillies have a historical edge, especially at home, but the Brewers have shown recent form and capability.
Key Factors to Consider
The Phillies have a slight recent edge in head-to-head (3-2 in last 5), but the Brewers are on a strong run (4-1 in their last 5). Overall, Philadelphia averages 4.5 runs per game against Milwaukee, while the Brewers average 3.8 runs per game[2]. The Phillies have a superior overall record (56% win rate) and dominate at home, while the Brewers are solid but not as consistent[4][5].
All-time: Phillies 99-81 (55% win rate) against the Brewers. Last meeting: Brewers won 2-1 on Sep 18, 2024[4][5]. Recent trends slightly favor the Phillies, but the Brewers have had their own streaks and big wins.
No major injury updates known at time of writing. Both teams are expected to field strong lineups.
Citizens Bank Park is a hitter-friendly venue, potentially favoring over outcomes. Weather is typical for late spring, with no significant impact expected.
Both teams are in the playoff hunt. The Phillies are motivated by their home advantage and historical superiority, while the Brewers have momentum from recent wins and will aim to upset.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers: 164, Philadelphia Phillies: -196
Philadelphia Phillies
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Milwaukee Brewers: 1.5 -134, Philadelphia Phillies: -1.5 112
Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Over: 8 -118, Under: 8 -104
Over 8 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8 3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Phillies to win narrowly, likely in a game with 7–9 total runs. The spread is tight, but the Phillies’ home field and historical edge suggest a cover is possible.
Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 5 – Milwaukee Brewers 4
The Milwaukee Brewers host the Boston Red Sox in the third game of their series. The Brewers lead the series 2-0, winning the first two games with scores of 3-2 and 5-1 respectively. The Brewers have displayed strong pitching and a resilient offense, highlighted by Christian Yelich's grand slam in the 10th inning of the second game. The Red Sox have struggled offensively and will look to avoid a series sweep on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
Milwaukee Brewers are performing slightly above .500 with a 28-28 record, showing solid pitching performances especially from Freddy Peralta (5-3, 2.55 ERA). The Red Sox hold a 27-30 record, having been outscored 8-3 in the series so far, struggling offensively in the first two games.
In the current 3-game series, the Brewers lead 2-0. Recent matchups show the Brewers having an edge through pitching and clutch hitting.
No critical injuries reported for this matchup affecting starting pitchers or key hitters.
Game to be played at Milwaukee's American Family Field, home advantage favors the Brewers. Weather and other external conditions are assumed normal with no reported disruptions.
Brewers motivated to sweep the series at home and improve their standings. Red Sox aim to avoid a sweep and must rebound offensively to keep playoff hopes alive.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox: 126, Milwaukee Brewers: -148
Milwaukee Brewers to win
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Boston Red Sox: -1.5 -164, Milwaukee Brewers: +1.5 136
Milwaukee Brewers to cover -1.5 spread
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 7.5: -122, Under 7.5: 100
Under 7.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7.5 20%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Brewers are favored to win given their home advantage, current momentum, and stronger pitching performance. Expect a competitive but controlled game with Milwaukee covering the spread and the total runs staying around the projection.
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 4 – Boston Red Sox 2
The Milwaukee Brewers host the Baltimore Orioles in a key matchup on May 21, 2025. The Brewers are favored in this game with a moneyline of -126, while the Orioles are at +108. The spread is set at 1.5 runs, with the Brewers as favorites at -1.5 and the Orioles at +1.5. The over/under is set at 8.5 runs.
Key Factors to Consider
Both teams have shown varying levels of performance this season, with the Brewers generally considered stronger. However, recent form can be unpredictable, and past performances may not directly indicate future outcomes.
Historically, the Brewers have held their ground against the Orioles, but recent head-to-head matchups can influence current performance and strategy.
Any injuries to key players could significantly impact the game's outcome. Current injury reports are crucial for accurate predictions.
Weather conditions and the home field advantage can also play significant roles in the game's outcome.
The motivation of both teams can vary based on their current standings and recent performances.
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers 4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 -3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Brewers are likely to win given their favorable odds and home advantage. However, the Orioles have the potential to upset if they perform strongly.
The Milwaukee Brewers and Minnesota Twins are set to face off in a critical MLB matchup. The Brewers, with a record of 21-25, are favored against the Twins, who are 26-20. The pitching matchup features Freddy Peralta for the Brewers and Zebby Matthews for the Twins.
Key Factors to Consider
The Twins have a better overall record, but the Brewers have been strong when favored. Peralta's ERA is 2.66, which gives the Brewers an edge in starting pitching.
Peralta has a 3.60 ERA against the Twins historically but has not recorded a win or loss against them.
No significant injuries reported for either team.
Weather conditions are not expected to impact the game significantly.
Both teams are motivated to win, but the Brewers may have an edge playing at home.
The Milwaukee Brewers are visiting the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field in a closely contested MLB matchup. Both teams have shown competitive form, with the Guardians holding a slightly better record (25-17) compared to the Brewers (20-23). The game is set to start at 1:10 PM ET (17:10 UTC), with pitchers Gavin Williams (Guardians) and Louie Henderson (Brewers) expected to start. Pitching performances and recent team form are key elements in this matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
The Cleveland Guardians have a stronger recent record and pitching performance, notably with Gavin Williams posting a 4.38 ERA and good recent outings. The Brewers have struggled somewhat with a 20-23 record but have been competitive in run lines. Guardians have dominated earlier games in the series, winning by multiple runs and keeping Brewers scoreless in those.
In the current series, the Guardians have won the first two games decisively, including a 5-0 and 2-0 scoreline. This shows a recent upper hand at both pitching and offense for Cleveland against Milwaukee.
No specific injuries reported that would significantly impact the starting pitchers or key players for either team in this game.
Weather is favorable with a temperature around 68°F, only 17% chance of rain, and light wind of 6 mph, which should not considerably affect play.
The Guardians are motivated to extend their winning streak in the series and maintain their strong home form. The Brewers will be seeking to break their losing streak in this series and improve their road record.
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 18%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on pitching matchups, recent form, and head-to-head results, the Cleveland Guardians are favored to win this game, likely by a margin of 2 or more runs. The under 8.5 total runs is also a strong possibility given the pitching strength and recent low-scoring games between these teams.