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Metz vs. Marseille Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Metz vs Marseille – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz

Game Overview

A Ligue 1 clash between struggling Metz at home and strong favorite Marseille, who sit 3rd in the league with superior offense and defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Marseille is in good form, conceding just 1 goal in 6 matches with strong attacking output led by Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (3 goals). Metz has struggled defensively, conceding 12 goals with limited scoring.
  • Recent H2H favors Marseille with consistent wins, including a 2-0 predicted margin and clear dominance in shots and chances generated.
  • No major injuries reported for Marseille. Metz has standard squad availability but lacks top-impact players.
  • Match at Metz home ground but atmospheric or weather conditions unlikely to notably affect Marseille’s gameplay.
  • Marseille is motivated to consolidate top-3 position; Metz faces pressure to avoid bottom-table zone, but quality gap is significant.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline marseille: -210, metz: +500, draw: +355 Marseille β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Spread marseille_-1.25: +105, metz_+1.25: -125 Marseille -1.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under over_3: -105, under_3: -115 Over 3 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marseille 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marseille to win

Predicted Score: Marseille 3 – 1 Metz


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Metz vs. Le Havre Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Metz vs Le Havre – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien

Game Overview

A tightly contested Ligue 1 match between Metz and Le Havre, both struggling for form with defensive issues impacting Metz heavily and Le Havre showing inconsistent away performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Metz has failed to win at home this season with one draw and one loss, showing defensive vulnerabilities. Le Havre also lacks recent away wins and has conceded multiple goals in recent matches, but their attacking potential is notable.
  • Recent encounters have been balanced with both sides having opportunities; no dominant trend, suggesting a close game.
  • No clear recent injury data available; assume near full-strength squads.
  • No significant external influences reported; neutral weather and pitch conditions expected.
  • Both teams are near the bottom of Ligue 1, highly motivated to secure points to improve their standings and avoid relegation pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 165 Le Havre β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 63%
Spread Le Havre 0 -108 Le Havre +0 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Under 2.5 -120 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Le Havre 27%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Le Havre at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Le Havre moneyline

Predicted Score: 0-1


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AS Monaco vs. Metz Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: AS Monaco vs Metz – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade Louis II

Game Overview

AS Monaco hosts Metz in Ligue 1 in a matchup where Monaco is a heavy favorite due to superior recent form, strong home performance, and dominant head-to-head record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Monaco is 3-1 in their last 4 Ligue 1 games with convincing home wins and strong attacking output averaging 3 goals per game at home this season. Metz struggles, with 0-1-3 in their last 4 and no away points this season.
  • Monaco has won 6 of the last 7 matches against Metz, often with clear margins, including a recent 5-2 victory.
  • No significant injuries reported for Monaco affecting key players. Metz’s squad status shows no critical absences impacting starting lineup strength.
  • Monaco faced a heavy Champions League defeat recently but showed resilience with a late goal. The home advantage at Stade Louis II is substantial for Monaco.
  • Monaco is motivated to maintain their winning momentum in Ligue 1 after Champions League disappointment, while Metz struggles for points and confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -390 (Monaco), +800 (Metz), +525 (Draw) Monaco β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Spread -1.75 -110 (Monaco), +1.75 -110 (Metz) Monaco -1.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 3.5 -102, Under 3.5 -118 Over 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AS Monaco -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 19%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Monaco to win (moneyline), Monaco -1.75 spread, over 3.5 goals

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Metz vs. Angers Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Metz vs Angers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Metz Home Stadium

Game Overview

Metz hosts Angers in a Ligue 1 clash with Metz slightly favored by bookmakers as home underdogs with odds reflecting a tense, competitive match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Metz shows weaker recent form with 3 losses in last 6 games while Angers presents stronger form with 3 wins in same span, indicating Angers in better momentum.
  • Historically tight encounters, but recent matches suggest Angers hold a slight edge in wins versus Metz.
  • No significant injury information available, presumed mostly full strength squads.
  • Match played at Metz’s home ground, which could provide some advantage to Metz despite their recent poor form.
  • Angers appear more motivated given better current form and desire to climb Ligue 1 standings, whereas Metz struggles to gain momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Metz: 129, Angers: 215, Draw: 220 Metz β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Metz -0.25: -102, Angers +25: -118 Metz -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over 2.25: -122, Under 2.25: 102 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Metz 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 21%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Metz at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Betting on Metz moneyline presents highest expected value given pricing with a conservative spread bet on Metz -0.25; Under 2.25 goals also favored reflecting modest scoring assumptions.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Paris FC vs. Metz Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Paris FC vs Metz – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Home – Paris FC Stadium

Game Overview

The Ligue 1 matchup features Paris FC hosting Metz, with Paris FC favored by sportsbooks to continue their solid domestic form, while Metz is positioned as the underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Paris FC is in strong recent form, maintaining a sturdy win ratio near 49% at home, while Metz has struggled away with inconsistent results.
  • Historically, Paris FC holds an advantage in recent encounters, winning more matches against Metz, contributing to psychological and tactical confidence.
  • No critical injuries reported for either side affecting key starters, suggesting both teams will field near full-strength squads.
  • Home advantage is significant for Paris FC, who benefit from familiar conditions and supportive fans; Metz faces travel fatigue.
  • Paris FC is motivated to capitalize on early-season momentum to secure top-table positioning, while Metz appears to be fighting to gain stability in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Paris FC: -118, Draw: +265, Metz: +325 Paris FC β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Paris FC -0.5: -118, Metz +50: -102 Paris FC -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -105, Under 2.5: -115 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Paris FC 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Paris FC to win on the moneyline, Paris FC -0.5 on the spread, and Under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Lyon vs. Metz Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Lyon vs Metz – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 7:05 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade de Lyon

Game Overview

Lyon, the home team, is favored to dominate Metz, given their superior team form and head-to-head record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lyon has been in solid form, while Metz often struggles against top opponents.
  • Historically, Lyon tends to have the upper hand over Metz.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team.
  • Home advantage and crowd support favor Lyon.
  • Lyon is more motivated to secure a win to maintain league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -265 (Lyon), 625 (Metz), 400 (Draw) Lyon β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread -1.25 -120 (Lyon), 1.25 100 (Metz) Lyon -1.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Over/under Over 3 -115, Under 3 -105 Over 3 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lyon -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lyon to win, with over 2.5 goals likely.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Metz vs. Strasbourg Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Metz vs Strasbourg – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Municipal St.-Symphorien, Metz

Game Overview

This Ligue 1 season opener features Metz hosting Strasbourg. Metz is recovering from a heavy recent defeat and under pressure to perform at home. Strasbourg comes as slight favorites, with a stronger historical record against Metz but also inconsistent recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Metz has shown weak recent form with a heavy 0-8 loss in the last outing, while Strasbourg has been inconsistent but managed better away results historically.
  • Strasbourg has a stronger historical performance against Metz, winning the majority of their recent encounters, suggesting a psychological edge.
  • No explicit injury data available from sources, implying no major injury news influencing the outcome.
  • Playing at Metz's Municipal St.-Symphorien offers home advantage, but recent heavy loss may affect confidence; no notable external disruptions reported.
  • Metz needs redemption after a heavy defeat and will be motivated by home crowd support. Strasbourg aims to build momentum early in the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Metz 2.23, Strasbourg 1.29, Draw 2.47 Strasbourg β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Metz +25 -114, Strasbourg -0.25 -106 Strasbourg -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Over/under Over 2.5 -113, Under 2.5 -107 Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Strasbourg 26%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Strasbourg at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Away win for Strasbourg on moneyline, Strasbourg -0.25 on spread, and over 2.5 goals total

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Stade de Reims vs. Metz Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Stade de Reims vs Metz – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-29
  • Time: 6:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade Auguste Delaune, Reims, France

Game Overview

This match is the second leg of the Ligue 1 promotion/relegation playoffs between Stade de Reims and Metz. The first leg ended in a 1-1 draw, setting up a crucial encounter in the second leg.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have shown resilience in their recent performances, with the first leg's 1-1 result highlighting the competitive nature of this matchup.
  • The teams have a recent draw in the first leg, which suggests a closely contested match.
  • No significant injury reports have been highlighted for either team.
  • The stakes are high, as the outcome will determine which team remains in or gains promotion to Ligue 1.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Reims seeking to stay in Ligue 1 and Metz aiming for promotion.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Metz: 225, Stade de Reims: 125, Draw: 205 Stade de Reims β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread Metz: 25 -112, Stade de Reims: -0.25 -108 Stade de Reims β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -112, Under: 2.25 -108 Under β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 50%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Stade de Reims 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 0%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Stade de Reims at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the competitive nature of the first leg and the high stakes involved, this match is expected to be closely contested.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Stade de Reims


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Metz vs. Stade de Reims Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Metz vs Stade de Reims – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-21
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade Saint Symphorien, Metz, France

Game Overview

This match is the first leg of the Ligue 1 Relegation/Promotion Playoffs final between Metz and Stade de Reims. Metz, recently relegated last season from Ligue 1, are aiming for an instant return to the top flight after finishing four points short of direct promotion and advancing through the playoff semi-finals. Stade de Reims, currently in their seventh consecutive Ligue 1 season, struggled after a promising start and finished just one point shy of safety, forcing them into this playoff. The game will be played at Metz's home ground, Stade Saint Symphorien.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Metz showed resilience in the playoffs after an inconsistent season and are motivated to secure promotion quickly. Stade de Reims had a strong start but deteriorated sharply mid-season, culminating in a precarious relegation playoff spot. Metz have recent playoff momentum, while Reims face pressure to maintain Ligue 1 status.
  • In recent encounters, Metz and Stade de Reims played twice in the preceding Ligue 1 season with balanced results. Historically, their meetings have been tight, but Metz’s home advantage in this playoff first leg offers a slight edge.
  • No specific injury updates are provided for either team ahead of this match, but usual playoff intensity and fitness levels will be decisive.
  • The match venue is home to Metz, which should provide support and familiarity. The mental pressure of relegation playoffs influences both sides heavily, with Metz looking to rebound immediately and Reims fighting to avoid drop.
  • Metz are highly motivated by the prospect of immediate promotion back to Ligue 1 and have gained confidence from playoff success so far. Stade de Reims are under pressure to avoid relegation for the first time in several seasons, which may affect their composure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Metz: 1.45, Stade de Reims: 1.8, Draw: 2.15 Metz to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Metz: -125, Stade de Reims: 105 Metz to cover the spread (0) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -125, Under 2.25: 105 Under 2.25 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Metz 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 23%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Metz's home advantage, recent playoff form, and stronger motivation for immediate promotion, Metz is predicted to narrowly win this first leg. Stade de Reims will likely play cautiously, aiming to keep the tie alive for the second leg.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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