Match Analysis: Stade de Reims vs Metz – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-29
• Time: 6:30 PM UTC
• Location: Stade Auguste Delaune, Reims, France

Game Overview

This match is the second leg of the Ligue 1 promotion/relegation playoffs between Stade de Reims and Metz. The first leg ended in a 1-1 draw, setting up a crucial encounter in the second leg.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both teams have shown resilience in their recent performances, with the first leg's 1-1 result highlighting the competitive nature of this matchup.
• The teams have a recent draw in the first leg, which suggests a closely contested match.
• No significant injury reports have been highlighted for either team.
• The stakes are high, as the outcome will determine which team remains in or gains promotion to Ligue 1.
• Both teams are highly motivated, with Reims seeking to stay in Ligue 1 and Metz aiming for promotion.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Metz: 225, Stade de Reims: 125, Draw: 205	Stade de Reims	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Metz: 25 -112, Stade de Reims: -0.25 -108	Stade de Reims	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over: 2.25 -112, Under: 2.25 -108	Under	★★★☆☆ 50%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Stade de Reims 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.25 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Stade de Reims at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the competitive nature of the first leg and the high stakes involved, this match is expected to be closely contested.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Stade de Reims

Match Analysis: Metz vs Stade de Reims – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-21
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stade Saint Symphorien, Metz, France

Game Overview

This match is the first leg of the Ligue 1 Relegation/Promotion Playoffs final between Metz and Stade de Reims. Metz, recently relegated last season from Ligue 1, are aiming for an instant return to the top flight after finishing four points short of direct promotion and advancing through the playoff semi-finals. Stade de Reims, currently in their seventh consecutive Ligue 1 season, struggled after a promising start and finished just one point shy of safety, forcing them into this playoff. The game will be played at Metz's home ground, Stade Saint Symphorien.

Key Factors to Consider

• Metz showed resilience in the playoffs after an inconsistent season and are motivated to secure promotion quickly. Stade de Reims had a strong start but deteriorated sharply mid-season, culminating in a precarious relegation playoff spot. Metz have recent playoff momentum, while Reims face pressure to maintain Ligue 1 status.
• In recent encounters, Metz and Stade de Reims played twice in the preceding Ligue 1 season with balanced results. Historically, their meetings have been tight, but Metz’s home advantage in this playoff first leg offers a slight edge.
• No specific injury updates are provided for either team ahead of this match, but usual playoff intensity and fitness levels will be decisive.
• The match venue is home to Metz, which should provide support and familiarity. The mental pressure of relegation playoffs influences both sides heavily, with Metz looking to rebound immediately and Reims fighting to avoid drop.
• Metz are highly motivated by the prospect of immediate promotion back to Ligue 1 and have gained confidence from playoff success so far. Stade de Reims are under pressure to avoid relegation for the first time in several seasons, which may affect their composure.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Metz: 1.45, Stade de Reims: 1.8, Draw: 2.15	Metz to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Metz: -125, Stade de Reims: 105	Metz to cover the spread (0)	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.25: -125, Under 2.25: 105	Under 2.25 goals	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Metz 10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.25 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Metz's home advantage, recent playoff form, and stronger motivation for immediate promotion, Metz is predicted to narrowly win this first leg. Stade de Reims will likely play cautiously, aiming to keep the tie alive for the second leg.

Predicted Score: 1-0