Match Analysis: Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 1:10 AM UTC
- Location: FedExForum, Memphis, TN
Game Overview
The Memphis Grizzlies host the Dallas Mavericks in a Western Conference matchup. Both teams are struggling early in the season, with the Grizzlies on a four-game losing streak and the Mavericks also underperforming. Dallas has struggled offensively, while Memphis seeks to leverage home-court advantage to break their slump[6][8].
Key Factors to Consider
- Grizzlies are 1-4 in their last 5 games and 0-5 against the spread in that span, indicating significant underperformance relative to expectations. Mavericks are also struggling with a poor recent record and inconsistent offense[1][6]. Grizzlies have not covered the spread in any of their last 5 games, home or away, and are 0-3 against the spread in road games[1]. Totals have gone OVER in only 1 of the Grizzlies' last 5 games, suggesting some defensive presence or offensive struggles[1].
- No specific historical head-to-head data for this season is available in the provided results.
- No injury data is available from the search results[2].
- The game is at FedExForum, where Memphis typically enjoys strong home support, a potential edge against a struggling Mavericks squad[6].
- Both teams are motivated to break their respective slumps. Memphis, in particular, is favored at home and urgently needs a win to stop their skid[6][8].
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dallas Mavericks: +136 / Memphis Grizzlies: -162 | Memphis Grizzlies to win | β β β ββ 60% |
| Spread | Dallas Mavericks +3.5 (-110) / Memphis Grizzlies -3.5 (-110) | Dallas Mavericks +3.5 to cover | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | Over 228.5 (-110) / Under 228.5 (-110) | Under 228.5 | β β β ββ 53% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Memphis Grizzlies -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 228.5 1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 228.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Memphis Grizzlies are slight favorites at home, but neither team is in strong form. The Grizzlies' recent inability to cover spreads, even at home, tempers expectations. Expect a close, hard-fought game with neither team running away, and overall scoring limited by both teams' offensive struggles.
Predicted Score: Memphis Grizzlies 113 β Dallas Mavericks 110