Match Analysis: New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-24
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA
Game Overview
The New Orleans Pelicans will host the San Antonio Spurs in their second game of the 2025-26 NBA season. The Spurs enter with a 1-0 record powered by an impressive 40-point debut performance from Victor Wembanyama. The Pelicans lost their season opener, setting a competitive stage for this early season showdown.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Spurs come in strong after defeating Dallas 125-92, highlighted by Wembanyamaβs dominant 40 points and 15 rebounds. The Pelicans are 0-1 after a close loss, showing potential but lacking the Spursβ defensive intensity so far.
- Recent matchups favor San Antonio with strong defensive showings, but New Orleans home court advantage at the Smoothie King Center could balance the scales. Both teams are early in the season so historic data is limited.
- No significant injury updates currently reported for either team impacting key players.
- The game is at the Smoothie King Center, a cashless venue that could affect fan experience but unlikely to influence team performance. The Spurs had a strong start to the season with excellent team cohesion.
- The Pelicans will seek redemption after their opening loss and aim to defend home turf. The Spurs look to continue their winning momentum and capitalize on Wembanyamaβs rising superstar status.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New Orleans Pelicans: 105, San Antonio Spurs: -125 | San Antonio Spurs | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | New Orleans Pelicans: +1.5 -110, San Antonio Spurs: -1.5 -110 | San Antonio Spurs -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 230.5 -110, Under: 230.5 -110 | Under 230.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Antonio Spurs 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 230.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 230.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Antonio Spurs are favored due to their stronger start, superior defensive performance, and star presence of Victor Wembanyama. The game is expected to be competitive but with Spurs holding the edge.
Predicted Score: San Antonio Spurs 117 – New Orleans Pelicans 112