Match Analysis: Matus Juracek vs Mateusz Pawlik – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: KSW 111 Event Venue (Poland)

Game Overview

Upcoming KSW welterweight bout between Matus Juracek and Mateusz Pawlik. Pawlik is slight favorite on moneyline but odds are close indicating a competitive matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

• Pawlik holds recent edge with consistent fight activity and more finishes, while Juracek demonstrates solid grappling and durability. Both have similar rankings in welterweight division.
• No direct prior matchups recorded between Juracek and Pawlik, making this a first-time encounter.
• No current injury reports or withdrawals affecting either fighter ahead of the match.
• Fight being held in Poland may favor Pawlik who is local and likely has crowd advantage; no travel or jetlag issues reported.
• Pawlik seeks to cement status with a win in front of home fans; Juracek looks to upset and climb rankings with victory on opponent’s turf.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Mateusz Pawlik: -130, Matus Juracek: 110	Mateusz Pawlik	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Mateusz Pawlik -1.5 rounds: -120, Matus Juracek +1.5 rounds: 100	Mateusz Pawlik -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mateusz Pawlik -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mateusz Pawlik at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mateusz Pawlik to win by moneyline, covering the spread with a competitive fight ending under expected rounds due to tactical pacing.

Predicted Score: Mateusz Pawlik wins via TKO/KO in Round 2

Match Analysis: Wiktor Zalewski vs Mateusz Pawlik – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-14
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Ergo Arena, Gdańsk, Poland

Game Overview

This welterweight bout between Wiktor Zalewski and Mateusz Pawlik will be part of KSW 107. Both fighters are looking to secure a crucial win in their respective careers.

Key Factors to Consider

• Wiktor Zalewski has a strong record of 7 wins and 1 loss, while Mateusz Pawlik stands at 5 wins and 2 losses. Zalewski's recent performances have been impressive, with a mix of KO/TKO and decision wins.
• There is no previous head-to-head match between these two fighters, making this a new challenge for both.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The match is set in Poland, which might give Zalewski a slight home advantage.
• Both fighters are motivated to win, but Zalewski's recent form and experience might give him an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-650 for Wiktor Zalewski, 475 for Mateusz Pawlik	Wiktor Zalewski	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Wiktor Zalewski -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Wiktor Zalewski at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Wiktor Zalewski is likely to win due to his recent performance and experience advantage.

Predicted Score: Decision win for Wiktor Zalewski