Match Analysis: Manuel Exposito vs Jose Delano – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-20
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Dana White's Contender Series
Game Overview
The fight between Manuel Exposito and Jose Delano is a featherweight division bout scheduled as part of Dana White's Contender Series on August 20, 2025, at 2:00 AM UTC. It features two rising fighters competing on a main card fight, with implications for career advancement within the UFC system.
Key Factors to Consider
- Manuel Exposito has an overall record of 13-2-0 with a balanced finishing rate: 53.8% by submission, 23.1% by KO, and 23.1% by decision. Jose Delano comes in as a strong favorite with heavy betting support, suggesting a high performance expectation. Both fighters are well-trained, but Exposito fights out of Argentina with a solid Jiu Jitsu background, coached by Sabbadin Lucas.
- There are no prior recorded matches between Manuel Exposito and Jose Delano, making head-to-head analysis impossible.
- No current injury reports or concerns are indicated for either fighter in the available data.
- The fight being part of Dana White's Contender Series adds motivation for both fighters to impress for future UFC contracts. The venue and event conditions are standard with no unusual external factors expected. Both fighters have similar physical stats (height around 170-173 cm, reach approx. 1.75 m).
- Both fighters are highly motivated given the fight’s context within Dana White's Contender Series, which serves as a gateway to UFC contracts and greater career opportunities.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jose Delano: -425, Manuel Exposito: 325 | Jose Delano | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Not explicitly provided; implied spread favors Jose Delano with ~-1.5 rounds | Jose Delano to win by more than 1 round / finish | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -125, Under 2.5 rounds: -105 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jose Delano -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 9% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jose Delano is favored to win by a technical or decision finish due to strong odds support and perceived superior form. Manuel Exposito poses a submission threat but faces an uphill battle against a heavy favorite.
Predicted Score: Jose Delano wins by decision or late finish within 3 rounds