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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Dolphins - Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-11
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Shark Park (Sharks Stadium), Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The Cronulla Sutherland Sharks face the Dolphins in Round 19 of the NRL at Shark Park, Sydney. Both teams come off a bye week, expected to be well-rested for a crucial contest. The Sharks are currently 10th on the ladder, seeking to halt a two-game losing streak and improve their form at home where they traditionally perform well. The Dolphins sit 7th, aiming to consolidate a top-eight finals position after a strong recent win over South Sydney. The Dolphins have the psychological edge, leading the head-to-head with two wins from two meetings, including a close 30-28 away victory earlier in the season. This match is critical for both teams’ finals ambitions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins have been scoring prolifically, with 184 points in their last four games and strong individual performances like Herbie Farnworth's nine tries in 10 games. The Sharks have struggled, winning only one of their last five games, but have a strong home advantage and key players such as Ronaldo Mulitalo who has an impressive try rate at Shark Park.
  • The Dolphins are undefeated against the Sharks, having won both previous encounters including a decisive 36-16 win at Suncorp and a narrow 30-28 win at Sharks Stadium.
  • The Dolphins lost Kodi Nikorima to a hamstring injury, with Isaiya Katoa stepping into a greater playmaking role bolstered by confidence from recent NSW Blues camp involvement. The Sharks have named a stable squad including utility Daniel Atkinson returning on the bench, maintaining good squad continuity.
  • Both teams enjoying a week off prior to the match should negate fatigue factors. The Sharks benefit from home conditions at Shark Park. Broadcast coverage on major networks suggests a high-profile and closely followed game.
  • The Dolphins are motivated to cement their top-eight spot with a win, while the Sharks look to arrest a poor run and build momentum for a strong season finish. The Sharks' home crowd and history of tough home performances provide motivational leverage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -152, Dolphins: 132, Draw: 2100 Dolphins ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -3.5 -115, Dolphins: +3.5 -115 Dolphins +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -115, Under: 46.5 -115 Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the Dolphins' strong recent form, undefeated record vs. Sharks, and scoring prowess, they are favored to win narrowly but the Sharks' home toughness and need for form recovery make it a close contest. The predicted outcome is a Dolphins win by a small margin.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 28 - 24 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks

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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Dolphins Prediction

Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Dolphins – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-07-11 Time: 10:00 AM UTC Location: Shark Park (Sharks Stadium), Sydney, Australia Game Overview The Cronulla Sutherland Sharks face the Dolphins in Round 19 of the NRL at Shark Park, Sydney. Both teams come off a bye week, expected to be well-rested for […]

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Dolphins July 11, 2025 Rugbyleague

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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-06
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: 4 Pines Park, Brookvale Oval, Sydney

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles host the South Sydney Rabbitohs in Round 18 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership at 4 Pines Park. Both teams are traditional rivals with a competitive recent history. The Rabbitohs have won 4 of the last 5 encounters and have a decent record at this venue, which is traditionally a stronghold for Manly. The match promises high intensity with valuable competition points at stake.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly is coming off a Round 17 game against Wests Tigers, preparing to face Melbourne next round. South Sydney recently played the Dolphins in Round 17 and will meet Penrith next. The Rabbitohs have struggled for consistent wins recently but have shown quality performances in patches, indicating potential to break their losing streak. Manly has home-ground advantage and a solid squad selection for this fixture.
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs have the upper hand historically with four wins in the last five encounters against Manly. Additionally, they have taken three wins from five matches at Brookvale Oval in recent times, softening the traditional home advantage for Manly.
  • No explicit injury updates available from the provided data. Both teams appear to have named full squads for this match, with Manly announcing a 22-man squad, hinting at minimal injury concerns impacting team selection.
  • The match is played at Brookvale Oval, which typically favors Manly, but recent Rabbitohs success here suggests a more balanced external environment. Weather or other conditions were not detailed but can be assumed standard for Sydney in July.
  • Both teams have a strong motivation to secure valuable competition points late in the season. South Sydney seeks to snap a recent losing run and maintain momentum against a traditional rival, while Manly aims to leverage home advantage and capitalize on their more stable recent form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -290, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 230, Draw: 2300 South Sydney Rabbitohs to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -9.5 at -115, South Sydney Rabbitohs: +9.5 at -115 South Sydney Rabbitohs +9.5 (cover the spread) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 47.5: -115, Under 47.5: -115 Under 47.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 139%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles at 139% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 60.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the Rabbitohs' recent dominance in head-to-head meetings and competitive form patches despite inconsistent results, combined with Manly's traditional home strength, the match is expected to be close. The Rabbitohs have a slight edge due to form and psychological advantage. Predicted outcome is a Rabbitohs win by a small margin.

Predicted Score: South Sydney Rabbitohs 24 – 20 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles


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Sydney Roosters vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-06
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Sydney Roosters will host the Wests Tigers at Allianz Stadium in a Round 18 NRL clash. The Roosters are currently 6th on the ladder, while the Tigers sit in 14th place, struggling with a six-game losing streak. The Roosters have a long-standing dominance over the Tigers historically and look to continue their strong form despite missing key Origin players. The Tigers are desperate for a win to avoid the wooden spoon and turnaround their poor season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sydney Roosters have a strong record against Wests Tigers, winning 18 of the past 19 encounters. Roosters winger Mark Nawaqanitawase and Daniel Tupou have been prolific try scorers recently. Wests Tigers have notable individual form from centre Starford To’a and winger Sunia Turuva, but their overall team form is poor with six consecutive losses.
  • Historically, the Roosters dominate the matchup, winning 18 of the last 19 matches between the two teams. This trend heavily favors the Roosters in this fixture.
  • Roosters are without several Origin stars including Angus Crichton, Connor Watson, Lindsay Collins, and Spencer Leniu. Egan Butcher returns from concussion, and Tom Rodwell and Max McCathie make their first-grade debuts. Tigers are missing Jarome Luai (NSW Origin) and Api Koroisau (concussion), balancing some of the absences.
  • The match is part of a double-header event at Allianz Stadium with large expected crowds and strong support for both NRL and AFL fans. The venue and atmosphere will be vibrant, potentially favoring the home side.
  • Roosters aim to solidify their finals position and maintain dominance over a struggling Tigers side. Tigers face immense pressure to break their losing streak and avoid the wooden spoon, adding motivation but also pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sydney Roosters: -420, Wests Tigers: 315, Draw: 2500 Sydney Roosters win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Sydney Roosters: -13.5 -115, Wests Tigers: +13.5 -115 Sydney Roosters cover -13.5 points ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 49.5: -120, Under 49.5: -110 Under 49.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters are the strong favorites to win given their superior form, historical dominance, and home advantage. Wests Tigers may put up resistance due to motivation but likely fall short.

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 28 – 14 Wests Tigers


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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-05
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL match between North Queensland Cowboys and Melbourne Storm is a clash between a historically dominant Melbourne Storm and a competitively improving Cowboys side. Melbourne Storm have a strong overall head-to-head record against the Cowboys and have been the more consistent team in recent years. The match is set to be played at Queensland Country Bank Stadium, where the Cowboys have shown strong home form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have won 33 out of 46 matches historically against the Cowboys, including 17 of 21 home matches and 7 of 9 matches at AAMI Park. Their recent form includes a decisive 38-14 victory over the Cowboys on June 6, 2025. The Cowboys have had some solid performances at home, winning 3 out of 4 matches at Queensland Country Bank Stadium against the Storm, showing resilience on their turf. Overall, Storm dominate in point scoring (1120 vs 835) across head-to-head games.
  • The Melbourne Storm lead the historic head-to-head with 33 wins out of 46 matches vs the Cowboys' 13 wins since 1998. At Queensland Country Bank Stadium, the Cowboys lead 3-1 in recent matches, indicating stronger home advantage. Melbourne Storm have a longer winning streak (12 games) compared to the Cowboys' best streak of 3 against them.
  • No specific injury information was provided in the available data for either team for this match, suggesting both teams may be close to full strength.
  • Playing at home for the Cowboys generally boosts their performance, especially at Queensland Country Bank Stadium where they have won 3 of the last 4 matches against Melbourne Storm. Travel fatigue and scheduling could be minor factors but with a week gap from the last meeting, both teams should be physically prepared.
  • Melbourne Storm will aim to maintain their dominance over the Cowboys, especially after a recent big win. The Cowboys have motivation to defend their home ground and respond after the recent heavy defeat. Both teams have strong competitive drive given the significance of this fixture in the 2025 NRL season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -335, North Queensland Cowboys: 265, Draw: 2300 Melbourne Storm win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Melbourne Storm -10.5: -115, North Queensland Cowboys +10.5: -115 Melbourne Storm to cover -10.5 points ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 49.5: -115, Under 49.5: -115 Over 49.5 points ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm are predicted to win this match owing to their dominant historical record, recent convincing victory, and overall stronger squad performance. However, the home advantage of the Cowboys could keep the scoreline competitive.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 28 – 16 North Queensland Cowboys


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Canberra Raiders vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-05
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium Canberra, Canberra, Australia

Game Overview

The Round 18 NRL match features the Canberra Raiders hosting the St George Illawarra Dragons at GIO Stadium Canberra. The Raiders have home advantage and will look to leverage strong recent form and local support. The Dragons, traveling to Canberra, aim to overcome the odds as underdogs in this contest. Both teams have experienced mixed results this season, making the game an intriguing competitive fixture.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders have demonstrated solid performances at home in the 2025 season and have a more consistent win record compared to the Dragons. The Dragons have struggled on the road this season, which could impact their competitiveness in this match.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings favor the Canberra Raiders, who have won a majority of the recent encounters against the Dragons, especially at home. This history provides Canberra a psychological edge.
  • Latest injury reports suggest minor setbacks for both teams but no major absences that could drastically alter team dynamics. However, close attention to final team sheets is recommended closer to kick-off.
  • Home crowd support at GIO Stadium and familiarity with local conditions benefit Canberra. Weather forecasts predict typical Canberra winter conditions, unlikely to greatly disrupt play.
  • Canberra Raiders have strong motivation to consolidate their position in the league rankings before finals, while the Dragons aim to improve their season standing. The Raiders' home advantage likely adds an extra motivational boost.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -360, away: 270, draw: 2500 Canberra Raiders win ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread home: -11.5 -115, away: 11.5 -115 Canberra Raiders to cover the -11.5 spread ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over: 46.5 -145, under: 46.5 110 Under 46.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Taking into account home advantage, recent form, and head-to-head dominance, Canberra Raiders are favored to secure a win against St George Illawarra Dragons with a confident margin.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – 14 St George Illawarra Dragons


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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. Brisbane Broncos Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs Brisbane Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-04
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Accor Stadium, Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The Canterbury Bulldogs host the Brisbane Broncos at Accor Stadium in a critical NRL Round 18 clash. The Bulldogs come into the match with some squad changes but retain strong home ground advantage, while the Broncos face key absences in crucial positions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canterbury Bulldogs have shown resilience with solid team depth, integrating new players such as Blake Wilson and Enari Tuala. Brisbane Broncos, while competitive, are missing significant contributors including Reece Walsh and Payne Haas, which could impact their forward pack and attack dynamics.
  • Historical encounters between these two teams have been competitive, with recent fixtures showing closely fought contests. The teams are relatively evenly matched in past results though the Bulldogs have slight home advantage.
  • Canterbury Bulldogs are without Jacob Kiraz, Stephen Crichton, Max King, Daniel Suluka-Fifita, and Kurt Mann. Brisbane Broncos miss Reece Walsh, Gehamat Shibasaki, Payne Haas, and Patrick Carrigan due to injury.
  • The match takes place at Accor Stadium with expected good conditions, favoring the home side. Crowd support is likely robust for the Bulldogs. No adverse weather or logistical issues reported.
  • Both teams are vying for position in the league standings with the Bulldogs aiming to capitalize on home advantage and Broncos looking to overcome key absences and maintain playoff hopes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos: 166, Canterbury Bulldogs: -197, Draw: 2100 Canterbury Bulldogs win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Brisbane Broncos: 5.5 -110, Canterbury Bulldogs: -5.5 -120 Canterbury Bulldogs -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 42.5: -145, Under 42.5: 110 Under 42.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 42.5 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 42.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the injury concerns for Brisbane and strong squad depth for Canterbury, the Bulldogs are favored to win this match with a moderate confidence level relying on home advantage and squad stability.

Predicted Score: Canterbury Bulldogs 24 – 18 Brisbane Broncos


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Gold Coast Titans vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-29
  • Time: 6:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast

Game Overview

The Gold Coast Titans, positioned last on the NRL ladder with only four wins this season, face the North Queensland Cowboys who sit 12th. Both teams come into Round 17 struggling with form and recent heavy losses – the Titans lost 36-20 to the Eels while the Cowboys suffered a 42-8 defeat to the Roosters. The Titans will be looking to recover from inconsistency, while the Cowboys must respond after multiple recent heavy defeats. This Queensland derby is crucial for both sides aiming to arrest their downward trajectories.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Titans have demonstrated fluctuating performances this season, with moments of promise overshadowed by poor results such as the recent loss to the Eels where they also lost Jayden Campbell mid-match due to a head knock. The Cowboys have been struggling defensively, conceding over 30 points in three consecutive matches, including two losses with over 40 points conceded. Both teams face form uncertainties but the Cowboys have a slightly better recent run in terms of standings.
  • Historically, these Queensland rivals have had competitive encounters; however, current season form heavily favors the Cowboys who are higher on the ladder and arguably more stable despite their recent defensive lapses. The Titans have underperformed against top and mid-table teams this season and are seeking to capitalize on home advantage.
  • Key injury impacting the Titans is Jayden Campbell, ruled out mid-game last week with a Category 1 head knock. This forced the inclusion of Tom Weaver into the halves. The Cowboys do not have any notable injury news mentioned but are returning Origin players Tino Fa'asuamaleaui and Mo Fotuaika to the Titans bench, which may boost Titans' physicality and morale.
  • The match is at the Titans’ home ground, Cbus Super Stadium, potentially providing a home crowd advantage. Both teams are under pressure due to recent heavy defeats which may affect confidence and motivation. Weather conditions or other external factors have not been specified.
  • Both teams are motivated to reverse poor runs: the Titans to lift themselves off last place and avoid further slide, and the Cowboys to halt defensive collapses and regain competitiveness. The Cowboys coach has publicly demanded improved effort and execution, which suggests strong motivation to respond positively.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gold Coast Titans: 128, North Queensland Cowboys: -143, Draw: 1900 North Queensland Cowboys ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Gold Coast Titans: -4.5 -130, North Queensland Cowboys: +4.5 100 North Queensland Cowboys +4.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 51.5: -115, Under 51.5: -115 Over 51.5 points ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Queensland Cowboys -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite the Titans' home advantage, the North Queensland Cowboys are predicted to win due to their stronger ladder position, recent form signals, and the Titans’ key injury and inconsistency issues. The Cowboys' defensive struggles may make it a high-scoring game, but their overall quality should prevail.

Predicted Score: Cowboys 28 – Titans 22


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Melbourne Storm vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-29
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: AAMI Park, Melbourne

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL match between Melbourne Storm and Cronulla Sutherland Sharks is a high-stakes fixture at AAMI Park, with Melbourne as the home team. Historically, Melbourne Storm have dominated this matchup, holding a significant advantage in wins and points scored, especially at home venues like AAMI Park. Cronulla Sharks have been competitive but have fewer victories on Melbourne soil. The match promises intense competition with both teams aiming to assert dominance in the league standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have a strong home record, winning 19 of 26 matches against Cronulla on home grounds and holding a robust overall head-to-head lead (30 wins to Cronulla's 17). Recent form favors Melbourne with commanding performances at AAMI Park, outscoring Cronulla significantly (467 points to 193) in past home games. Cronulla show resilience and have managed crucial wins but typically struggle away from their home stadium.
  • Overall, Melbourne Storm leads the rivalry with 30 wins from 48 matches since 1998, showcasing dominance especially in home fixtures. Cronulla have 17 wins overall, with a better showing at their home venue but less success when away, particularly at AAMI Park. The Storm have longer winning streaks and higher point tallies in recent history, reinforcing Melbourne as favorites.
  • No specific injury updates are provided from the current data, but the fitness of key players for both sides should be monitored closer to match day for more accurate assessment.
  • Playing at AAMI Park gives Melbourne Storm a significant home advantage including crowd support and familiarity with the venue. Weather conditions and pitch state are not indicated but should be considered as they can affect game tempo and scoring.
  • Melbourne Storm, aiming to maintain their home dominance and climb the league table, likely have strong motivation. Cronulla Sharks, seeking to upset the home favorites and improve their away record, will be highly motivated as well. Historical rivalry adds extra competitive edge to the contest.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -290, Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: 235, Draw: 2300 Melbourne Storm win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Melbourne Storm: -9.5 -115, Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: +9.5 -115 Melbourne Storm -9.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 Over 46.5 points ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm are favored to win by a clear margin given their dominant home record and historical superiority over Cronulla Sutherland Sharks. Expect a competitive, physical game but with Melbourne controlling the match tempo and scoreboard.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 28 – 16 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks


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Dolphins vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Game Overview

The Dolphins will face the South Sydney Rabbitohs in a Round 17 NRL match at Suncorp Stadium. Both teams are coming off consecutive losses, with the Dolphins sitting 9th on the ladder seeking to rebound and push into the finals, while the Rabbitohs, at 16th, aim to halt a poor run of form. This match carries added intrigue as it features Wayne Bennett coaching the Rabbitohs against his former team, the Dolphins, now led by his protege Kristian Woolf. Weather disruptions earlier in the season led to a venue switch and schedule reshuffle for these clubs. The game is the second of a double-header day at the venue, with fans advised to arrive early due to crowding and security measures.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins have had a mixed season but remain just outside the top eight, battling to keep finals hopes alive. They recently lost to Newcastle Knights, reflecting some inconsistency. The Rabbitohs have struggled more significantly, with just 17 wins in their last 52 matches and a recent golden point loss to Melbourne showing some promise but ongoing challenges. The Dolphins have adapted well under Kristian Woolf, showing resilience despite injuries, while the Rabbitohs are still rebuilding under Bennett.
  • The two teams met in Round 1, with the Rabbitohs narrowly edging the Dolphins 16-14 in a hard-fought encounter at CommBank Stadium. Historically, the Rabbitohs have had the upper hand, but the Dolphins have been competitive since their introduction to the NRL. The current season’s first match was tightly contested, suggesting another close game is likely.
  • The Dolphins are missing Jack Bostock (ACL injury, season-ending), replaced by Junior Tupou on the wing. The Rabbitohs have been affected by injuries throughout the season but no new significant injury reports ahead of this match have been noted. Both teams are dealing with squad depth challenges but have named strong sides.
  • The match is now held at Suncorp Stadium due to Cyclone Alfred-related rescheduling. The venue is a home ground for the Dolphins, giving them a slight advantage. Two matches on the same day may affect crowd energy and player warmups, but both teams have had similar experience with these conditions. Weather appears stable for the match day.
  • The Dolphins are highly motivated to regain momentum and secure a vital win to bolster their finals chances. Facing their former coach adds an emotional edge. The Rabbitohs, despite a poor season so far, are driven to improve and gain confidence by upsetting a higher-ranked adversary, with key players like Alex Johnston aiming to continue personal milestones.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins: -162, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 140, Draw: 2100 Dolphins win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Dolphins -3.5: -115, South Sydney Rabbitohs +3.5: -115 Dolphins to cover -3.5 points ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 49.5: -115, Under 49.5: -115 Under 49.5 points total ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dolphins -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Dolphins are favored to win due to home advantage, stronger recent form, and motivation to rebound, but the Rabbitohs will keep it competitive. Expect a closely contested match with the Dolphins prevailing by a narrow margin.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 24 – Rabbitohs 20


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: WIN Stadium, Wollongong, Australia

Game Overview

This NRL Round 17 match features St George Illawarra Dragons hosting Parramatta Eels at WIN Stadium. Both teams have demonstrated competitive form this season, with the Dragons favored to win at home. The game is expected to be closely contested with impactful plays from both sides, making it an exciting fixture for fans and bettors.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dragons have shown solid home form and consistent performances in recent rounds, while the Eels have been resilient on the road but marginally less consistent overall. St George Illawarra's defense and structured attack have been key strengths, whereas Parramatta's ability to capitalize on turnovers has improved lately.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings have been tight, with some wins shared between both teams. The last five matches show a near even split, including a close 23-22 win for Parramatta earlier in the season. This historical parity suggests the match could be decided by small margins.
  • No major injuries have been publicly disclosed affecting key starters for either team at this time, suggesting both sides can field near-full strength lineups.
  • The match being played at WIN Stadium gives the Dragons a home ground advantage with familiar conditions and fan support. Weather conditions are expected to be typical for Wollongong in late June, without adverse impacts.
  • St George Illawarra is motivated to consolidate their position in the mid-table standings and maintain winning momentum at home. Parramatta Eels aim to climb higher on the ladder and will be motivated by the chance to upset an in-form home team.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta Eels: 131, St George Illawarra Dragons: -150, Draw: 2000 St George Illawarra Dragons ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Parramatta Eels: 3.5 -115, St George Illawarra Dragons: -3.5 -115 St George Illawarra Dragons -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -115, Under: 47.5 -115 Under 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the home advantage and slightly better recent consistency, the prediction favors St George Illawarra Dragons to win a close match. Expect a tight contest with defense playing a major role.

Predicted Score: St George Illawarra Dragons 24 – Parramatta Eels 20


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