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Manchester City vs. Burnley Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Manchester City vs Burnley – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England

Game Overview

Manchester City hosts Burnley at the Etihad Stadium in a Premier League clash where City are overwhelming favorites given their dominant season form and squad strength versus Burnley's struggles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manchester City have been in commanding form with an 83% win probability reflected in live odds. Burnley have struggled with only about 5-6% chance to win in recent forecasts. City's offense is prolific and defense robust, while Burnley face difficulty scoring and defending away.
  • Historically, Manchester City have dominated Burnley in recent matchups with large-margin wins and few goals conceded, reinforcing City's tactical and squad superiority.
  • No major injury concerns reported for Manchester City impacting starting lineup or key players. Burnley have limited squad depth with minor concerns that reduce their competitiveness.
  • Match at home provides City significant advantage with strong home support. No adverse weather or travel concerns reported. Motivation for City is to maintain league dominance; Burnley aims to avoid relegation but face a tough challenge.
  • Manchester City motivated to consolidate top league position; Burnley desperate for points but expected to take a defensive stance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manchester City: -599, Draw: 610, Burnley: 1275 Manchester City β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 90%
Spread Manchester City -2.5: 124, Burnley +2.5: -165 Manchester City -2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over 3.5: 101, Under 3.5: -134 Under 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manchester City -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 -4%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Manchester City at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manchester City to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -2.5 goal spread, and the match to finish under 3.5 total goals.

Predicted Score: 3-0


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Arsenal vs. Manchester City Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arsenal vs Manchester City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Emirates Stadium

Game Overview

A high-profile EPL clash with Arsenal hosting Manchester City at Emirates Stadium. Both teams are in strong recent form under experienced managers, with Arsenal slightly favored at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arsenal have won 6 of their last 7 matches in all competitions and are unbeaten at home this season. Manchester City also come in confident after recent dominant wins, including 3-0 over Man United and 2-0 in the Champions League.
  • Arsenal have had the upper hand in recent H2H at Emirates, including a notable 5-1 win. Last few meetings show Arsenal scoring well against City's defense.
  • Arsenal missing key attackers Bukayo Saka and Kai Havertz. William Saliba expected back in defense. Manchester City have full attacking firepower including Haaland available.
  • No major external disruptions. Both teams highly motivated to maintain top EPL form early in the season and secure European qualification.
  • Arsenal eager to maintain momentum and stay close to EPL leaders. Manchester City aiming to keep pressure on top and avoid any early-season slip-ups.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arsenal: -116, Manchester City: 285, Draw: 265 Arsenal β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Arsenal_-0.5: -118, Manchester City_+50: -112 Arsenal -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over_2.5: -128, Under_2.5: -103 Under 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arsenal 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 18%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arsenal to win (moneyline), Arsenal -0.5 on spread, Under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Manchester City vs. Manchester United Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Manchester City vs Manchester United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England

Game Overview

Manchester City and Manchester United face off in the Premier League at Etihad Stadium. Both sides have shown inconsistent form early in the season, with City struggling after a strong opening and United just starting to find form. Key injuries impact City’s defensive options creating some uncertainty for the home side.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manchester City have a 1-0-2 (W-D-L) record with 3 points, showing vulnerability in defense despite home advantage. Manchester United hold a slightly better 1-1-1 record, with 4 points and signs of improvement after a last-gasp win against Burnley.
  • Historically, Manchester City have dominated recent derbies at Etihad, maintaining strong home form. However, intensity and rivalry often produce unpredictable results.
  • Manchester City are missing Omar Marmoush (knee) and John Stones (muscle complaint), weakening defense and squad depth. Rayan Cherki remains sidelined. United have fewer notable absences impacting their strongest XI.
  • No adverse weather or travel factors expected. Match scheduled early in the season after a break, so fitness may be uneven. Home crowd support favors City despite their form.
  • City need a response after recent losses to Tottenham and Brighton. United aim to build momentum after a tough schedule and first win, motivating for a strong derby showing away.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -136, away: 320, draw: 295 Manchester City β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread home: -0.5 -139, away: +50 105 Manchester City -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under over: 3.5 132, under: 3.5 -177 Under 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manchester City 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Manchester City at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manchester City to win on the moneyline and cover -0.5 on the spread, with under 3.5 goals scored.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Brighton and Hove Albion vs. Manchester City Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Brighton and Hove Albion vs Manchester City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Falmer Stadium, Brighton, England

Game Overview

Brighton and Hove Albion host Manchester City in an EPL clash where Brighton seek to escape the relegation zone with no wins so far this season, while Manchester City aim to rebound from a recent defeat and restore momentum with an away victory.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brighton are currently without a win and sit in the relegation zone early in the season, showing struggles in offense and defense. Manchester City have mixed recent form with one win and one loss, notably defeated by Spurs last match, but remain a dominant team capable of high scoring.
  • Historically, Manchester City have been dominant in head-to-head matches against Brighton, frequently winning comfortably both home and away.
  • Manchester City are considered 'battered and bruised' with some injury concerns but still maintain a strong lineup. Brighton have no critical injuries reported, but their squad depth is limited compared to City.
  • The match is played at Brighton’s home ground, which typically offers them modest home advantage. The kickoff at 13:00 UTC avoids congestion from fixture pile-ups or extreme weather.
  • Brighton have high motivation to secure a first win and avoid early relegation zone pressure. Manchester City are motivated to end August on a positive note to maintain title challenge credibility.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brighton and Hove Albion: 280, Manchester City: -119, Draw: 280 Manchester City β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Brighton and Hove Albion +50: -108, Manchester City -0.5: -122 Manchester City -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -176, Under 2.5: 131 Over 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manchester City 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -6%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Manchester City at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manchester City to win

Predicted Score: Brighton 1 – 3 Manchester City


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Manchester City vs. Tottenham Hotspur Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Manchester City vs Tottenham Hotspur – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England

Game Overview

Manchester City and Tottenham Hotspur both started the 2025-26 EPL season with dominant wins, showcasing strong attacking capabilities. Manchester City demolished Wolves 4-0 away, demonstrating high offensive efficiency, while Tottenham convincingly beat Burnley 3-0 at home. City are favorites at home with an aggressive style led by Erling Haaland, whereas Spurs will rely on exploiting defensive gaps and counterattacks despite key injury setbacks.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manchester City opened their campaign with a 4-0 win and have been creating and converting high-quality chances, featuring a potent attack driven by Haaland. Tottenham also started strong with a 3-0 home win but face defensive vulnerabilities against top attacks.
  • Historically, Manchester City have dominated recent matchups against Tottenham, especially at home. Spurs have struggled to contain City's attacking threat, and City often control possession and tempo in these fixtures.
  • Tottenham will be without important midfielder Kovacic due to injury, limiting their ability to disrupt City's midfield dominance. Manchester City lineup is largely healthy with no major absences reported.
  • The match is played at City’s Etihad Stadium, giving the home side a strong advantage in atmosphere and familiar conditions. No notable weather or logistical disadvantages are expected.
  • City are under some pressure to improve on the previous season's low points total and to rebound strongly. Spurs are motivated to maintain their strong start and prove their competitiveness against top-tier teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manchester City: -234, Tottenham Hotspur: 540, Draw: 370 Manchester City β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Spread Manchester City -1.5: +106, Tottenham Hotspur +1.5: -141 Manchester City -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 3.5: +110, Under 3.5: -147 Over 3.5 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manchester City -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 26%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manchester City will win decisively with both teams scoring, over 3.5 goals likely given the attacking styles and recent output.

Predicted Score: Manchester City 3 – 2 Tottenham Hotspur


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Wolverhampton Wanderers vs. Manchester City Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Manchester City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, England

Game Overview

Manchester City, a dominant EPL force, visits Wolverhampton Wanderers who narrowly escaped relegation last season. City scored 72 goals last season while Wolves conceded 69, showing a defensive weakness. Wolves made some summer signings but lost key attacking players, and have poor preseason form. City won both league meetings last season by narrow margins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manchester City finished strong last season with prolific scoring and solid defense. Wolves finished 16th, with defensive vulnerabilities and offensive departures weakening their squad.
  • City won 9 of the last 10 EPL matches against Wolves, including both matches last season by a one-goal margin. Wolves' last win at Molineux vs City was September 2023.
  • No major injuries reported for City affecting starting lineup. Wolves may struggle to fill attacking roles after departure of Cunha, Ait-Nouri, and Semedo.
  • City endured a short preseason and marginally poor away form recently, but Wolves' winless preseason and squad changes present a bigger concern.
  • City aims for season start momentum and another win over Wolves. Wolves are motivated to improve from last season, especially at home, but squad instability may limit impact.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manchester City -185, Wolverhampton +515, Draw +347 Manchester City β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Manchester City -1 -113, Wolverhampton +1 -103 Manchester City -1 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 2.75 -115, Under 2.75 -101 Over 2.75 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manchester City 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manchester City to win on the moneyline, cover the -1 goal spread, and the match to go over 2.75 goals.

Predicted Score: Manchester City 2 – 1 Wolverhampton Wanderers


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – August 16, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Excelsior vs. Feyenoord Prediction Feyenoord Win -210 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs. Manchester City Prediction Manchester City Win -185 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
Tottenham Hotspur vs. Burnley Prediction Tottenham Hotspur Win -270 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +212

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $62.33

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Fulham vs. Manchester City Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fulham vs Manchester City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Craven Cottage, London, England

Game Overview

Fulham will host Manchester City at Craven Cottage in the final stages of the 2024-25 English Premier League season. Fulham sits mid-table with 48 points from 13 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses. Manchester City, having recently secured Champions League qualification, seek to maintain their dominant record over Fulham, having won their last 17 meetings across all competitions. The match follows closely after City's rebound win against Bournemouth, bouncing back from an FA Cup final defeat.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fulham have lost their last two Premier League home games despite opening the scoring in both. Manchester City has shown strong form in their last meetings, winning 17 consecutive matches against Fulham historically. City's away form this season has been inconsistent but remains strong overall, with motivation to secure Champions League football.
  • Manchester City has a historic dominance over Fulham, winning their last 17 meetings in all competitions, the longest such streak in English league history. Recent EPL fixtures also see City's clear advantage with wins of 4-0 and 3-2 in their last encounters.
  • No specific injury data was provided for either team close to the match date; however, no notable absences reported that could drastically affect Manchester City's key midfield and attacking options.
  • The match is played at Fulham's Craven Cottage, which gives the home side some advantage. Weather or other external conditions were not mentioned as impacting factors. Manchester City's motivation to confirm Champions League qualification post-FA Cup final loss adds psychological impetus.
  • Manchester City aims to confirm their UEFA Champions League spot and maintain their winning streak against Fulham. Fulham, having shown resilience scoring first in recent home defeats, will seek to upset City's dominance and end their losing streak at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fulham: 400, Manchester City: -174, Draw: 330 Manchester City β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Fulham +50: 132, Manchester City -0.5: -177 Manchester City -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 3.5: 126, Under 3.5: -168 Over 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manchester City -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 24%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manchester City is favored to win, continuing their dominant run over Fulham with an anticipated high-scoring game given City's attacking prowess and Fulham's recent struggles at home.

Predicted Score: 1-3


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Manchester City vs. Bournemouth Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Manchester City vs Bournemouth – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-20
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Stadium, Manchester, ENG

Game Overview

Manchester City hosts Bournemouth in an English Premier League match where City is favored strongly due to home advantage and superior season performance. Bournemouth won the previous meeting(s) this season, creating a compelling dynamic as City aims to avoid a season sweep at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manchester City currently sits 6th in the EPL with 67 goals scored and 41 conceded, maintaining a 5-match home unbeaten streak. Bournemouth have managed 7 wins so far but struggle against top-tier sides, including City.
  • Recent matches show Bournemouth winning against City this season, which puts psychological pressure on Manchester City to retaliate especially on home ground. Overall, City have the historical advantage at Etihad.
  • No specific injury reports were found in the latest data; typical squad availability expected for both teams.
  • The game at Etihad Stadium will have full crowd support for City, enhancing their motivation. Weather or pitch conditions aren't reported as impactful.
  • Manchester City needs a win to avoid a season sweep by Bournemouth and to maintain hopes for a higher league finish, which should drive them to perform aggressively.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manchester City: -198, Bournemouth: 440, Draw: 350 Manchester City win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Manchester City -1.5: 126, Bournemouth +1.5: -169 Manchester City -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 3.5: 122, Under 3.5: -163 Over 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manchester City -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 22%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manchester City is predicted to win with a moderate scoring game. Expected to control possession and create multiple chances, while Bournemouth may score at least once due to their attacking threat seen earlier in the season.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Southampton vs. Manchester City Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Southampton vs Manchester City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Game Overview

Southampton, currently bottom of the Premier League with just 11 points from 35 games, hosts Manchester City, sitting 3rd with 64 points. Southampton struggles with form and results, having only 2 wins this season and a poor recent run. Manchester City is in strong form with a four-game winning streak in the league, boasting a potent offense and solid defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manchester City demonstrates clear superiority, with 19 wins and a positive goal difference of +24 this season, while Southampton has only 2 wins and a goal difference of -57. City's recent form is strong (DWWWW), whereas Southampton is struggling (LLDLL).
  • Historically, Manchester City dominates with 24 wins in 41 meetings, and a +37 goal difference. Southampton has won 8 times, with 9 draws. At home, Southampton managed 5 wins in 20 meetings, but City won 10 times, showing their historical edge.
  • Manchester City is missing key defenders Nathan Ake and John Stones, and midfielder Rodri, which could impact their defensive stability. Southampton's injury status is unclear but likely struggling with squad fitness given their form.
  • The match is at St. Mary's Stadium, where Southampton hopes for home advantage, but strong City supporters and quality could negate this. Hospitality packages and fan engagement are high, but this likely has limited impact on match outcome.
  • Southampton faces relegation pressures, needing points desperately, which could motivate a resilient performance. Manchester City aims to consolidate their top-3 standing and maintain pressure in the title race, providing strong motivation for a commanding win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manchester City: -500, Southampton: 1025, Draw: 580 Manchester City win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Manchester City -2.5: 1.33, Southampton +2.5: -1.78 Manchester City to cover -2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 3.5: -1.16, Under 3.5: -1.15 Under 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manchester City -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manchester City is heavily favored to win due to their superior form, quality, and historical dominance. However, Southampton may fight hard, anticipating a single or low-scoring goal concession. The expectation is a controlled City victory with limited goals conceded.

Predicted Score: Manchester City 3 – 0 Southampton


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