Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
Game Overview
The Los Angeles Dodgers (78-64) visit the Baltimore Orioles (66-76) in the final game of their three-game series. Dodgers are favored with Clayton Kershaw starting, known for strong performances, while Orioles counter with Tomoyuki Sugano who has been solid but less dominant. Orioles have already won two close games in this series at home, showing resilience.
Key Factors to Consider
Dodgers have a better overall record and pitching consistency with Kershaw (9-2, 3.28 ERA), whereas Orioles have struggled overall but have won five games in a row including two in this series. Orioles pitching staff's ERA is higher (4.66) and offense moderate with .241 batting average.
Orioles have taken the first two games of the series narrowly, indicating recent momentum despite being underdogs. Dodgers have historically dominated but recent H2H form favors Orioles.
No critical injuries reported for either team that affect starting pitchers or key hitters based on available info.
The game is played at Camden Yards, Orioles’ home field, giving them a slight home-field advantage. Weather or other external factors not reported as significant.
Orioles, out of playoff contention, are motivated to finish strong and spoil Dodgers’ series sweep hopes. Dodgers aim to maintain momentum for a playoff push, playing their ace pitcher to close the series.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
134
Baltimore Orioles
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
-118
Baltimore Orioles +1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
-114
Under 9
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers 17%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9 9%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.7% (Kelly Criterion)
The Los Angeles Dodgers (78-61) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (63-77) in the last game of their series. The Pirates currently lead 2-0 in this series and have shown strong home form with a 41-30 record at PNC Park. The probable starting pitchers are Paul Skenes for Pittsburgh, with a 2.05 ERA and 0.95 WHIP, and Blake Snell for Los Angeles, who has a 2.41 ERA and a 3-3 record this season.
Key Factors to Consider
Pirates have won 4 of their last 5 games and are playing with momentum, especially after taking the first two games in this series. Dodgers have a solid overall record but have struggled slightly in Snell's starts (2-5 ATS). Pirates' pitching ERA is 3.88 with a solid starter in Skenes; Dodgers have a potent offense but inconsistent performances this season.
In this season's encounters, Pittsburgh leads the series and won the last two games decisively, including a 3-0 shutout in game two. Historically, Dodgers are favorites but the Pirates have held up well at home in this matchup.
No significant injuries reported impacting either team's starting lineup or key rotation players for this game.
Game at PNC Park favors Pirates due to home advantage. Weather and travel conditions neutral with no reported impact.
Pirates motivated to sweep their series at home and improve their standing. Dodgers looking to avoid the sweep and maintain playoff positioning. Pirates have slightly more urgency as they are last in NL Central.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Pirates +106
Pirates
★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread
Pirates +1.5 -172
Pirates +1.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Under 7 -100
Under 7
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates 9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7 30%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Pirates to win on moneyline, with the game going under 7 runs, and Pirates to cover the +1.5 run spread.
The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Arizona Diamondbacks in a key NL West matchup. The Dodgers, with a strong home record and overall season advantage, are favorites, but Arizona’s recent form and motivation given their win streak present a competitive challenge.
Key Factors to Consider
Dodgers hold a 77-59 record with moderate recent form (5-5 in last 10), averaging 4.1 runs/game. Diamondbacks have a 68-69 record, with a recent winning streak showing improved momentum and averaging 4.12 runs/game.
Dodgers dominate historically with 98 wins versus Diamondbacks' 62, including 56 home wins. Diamondbacks won the most recent head-to-head 6-1, indicating potential for upset.
No major injuries reported for either team affecting starters or key players, allowing both teams to field near full strength.
Game played outdoors on natural grass at Dodger Stadium. No adverse weather or travel fatigue factors notable.
Dodgers lead the division and aim to solidify playoff positioning. Diamondbacks, off a recent winning streak, are motivated to close the gap and disrupt Dodgers at home.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks: +188, Los Angeles Dodgers: -225
Los Angeles Dodgers
★★★★☆ 74%
Spread
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5: -110, Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5: -110
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 9: -105, Under 9: -115
Over 9 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers -9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9 9%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Los Angeles Dodgers to win; Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5; Over/Under: Over 9 runs
The San Diego Padres host the Los Angeles Dodgers in a crucial NL West series finale with both teams closely matched at 74-56 and 73-57 respectively. The Padres hold a slight divisional lead and recent form favors them after a win over the Dodgers the previous day. Starting pitching features Nick Pivetta (13-4, 2.81 ERA) for the Padres and Yoshinobu Yamamoto (10-8, ~2.8 ERA) for the Dodgers.
Key Factors to Consider
Padres have momentum with a recent win over Dodgers at home and currently hold the division lead. Dodgers aim to rebound but have been edged by Padres locally this weekend.
Padres have taken two of three in this series with the last win a decisive 5-1 victory. In pitching matchups, Pivetta has historically matched well against Dodgers, with a 2.59 ERA in last five starts versus them.
Yamamoto has a brief injury history affecting matchups against Padres. No major injuries reported for Padres pitching staff.
Game at Padres’ home park PETCO, known as a pitcher-friendly venue which may suppress scoring and favor strong pitching performances.
Padres motivated to extend division lead with home win and complete series sweep. Dodgers motivated to close divisional gap and stop Padres momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-110
San Diego Padres
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
San Diego Padres +1.5 (-184)
San Diego Padres +1.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Under 7.5 (+102)
Under 7.5
★★★☆☆ 66%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Diego Padres 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7.5 33%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.7% (Kelly Criterion)