Match Analysis: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-11
- Time: 2:11 AM UTC
- Location: Dodger Stadium
Game Overview
The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Colorado Rockies at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers have a strong home record (47-26) and a winning overall season (81-64), while the Rockies have struggled significantly with a 40-105 overall record and 17-53 away. Recent meetings this season favor the Dodgers, who have dominated the Rockies in previous games in both scoring and pitching performance.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Dodgers are performing well at home and have recently recorded multiple wins against the Rockies, including a 5-2 victory on September 9 and a 7-2 win on September 8. The Rockies have the worst record in the league and have been unable to consistently challenge the Dodgers, especially on the road. Key players include Shohei Ohtani (48 HR, .280 AVG, 91 RBI) and Freddie Freeman (295 AVG) for the Dodgers, and Hunter Goodman (30 HR, .282 AVG) for the Rockies.
- In previous matches this 2025 season, the Dodgers have won all key encounters against the Rockies, including high-scoring games like 8-7 and more decisive wins such as 6-2 and 7-2, showing dominance both offensively and defensively.
- No significant injuries reported for either team that would impact the lineup dramatically. Both teams appear to be fielding their usual starters, maintaining competitive rosters.
- The game is at Dodgers' home venue, Dodger Stadium, which benefits the home team with a strong home record. No weather or external conditions have been reported to negatively impact gameplay.
- Dodgers are in contention and motivated to secure playoff positioning, holding a three-game winning streak. Rockies, having a poor season outcome secured, may have lower motivation, primarily aiming to develop younger talent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Rockies: 265, Los Angeles Dodgers: -330 | Los Angeles Dodgers win | β β β β β 83% |
| Spread | Colorado Rockies: 1.5 +126, Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 -152 | Los Angeles Dodgers to cover -1.5 spread | β β β β β 80% |
| Over/under | Over: 8.5 -110, Under: 8.5 -110 | Over 8.5 total runs | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers 8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 8.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Los Angeles Dodgers are favored to win with a solid margin given their season performance, home advantage, and recent head-to-head dominance.
Predicted Score: Los Angeles Dodgers 6 – Colorado Rockies 2