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Long Beach St 49ers vs. Illinois St Redbirds Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Long Beach St 49ers vs Illinois St Redbirds – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 16, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Walter Pyramid, Long Beach

Game Overview

Illinois State Redbirds (1-2) travel to Long Beach State 49ers (0-3) in a Week 2 matchup of the 2025-26 college basketball season. Illinois State enters as a significant road favorite, seeking to improve their record against a struggling Long Beach State team winless through three games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Illinois State, despite a 1-2 record, is the more complete team with superior defensive efficiency (allowing just 4.3 three-pointers per game, 13th nationally, on 22.8% shooting). Long Beach State is significantly hampered by poor shooting (24.6% from three, 331st nationally) and alarming turnover issues (23.6% turnover rate, 339th nationally). LBSU is on a 10-game straight-up losing streak with 0-3 start.
  • Illinois State defeated Long Beach State 61-52 in their last meeting on November 20, 2023, when Illinois State was a 6.5-point underdog at a neutral site. Illinois State is now favored by 7.5 points as the road team, indicating improved relative strength.
  • No injury information available in provided data.
  • This is Long Beach State's home opener, which typically provides some motivational advantage. However, LBSU's poor shooting efficiency and turnover management suggest structural team issues that home court alone cannot overcome.
  • Long Beach State will have the motivational boost of playing at home for the first time this season. Illinois State, as the road favorite, faces the challenge of maintaining focus without home court advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Illinois St -315 | Long Beach St +255 Illinois State Redbirds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Illinois St -7.5 -102 | Long Beach St +7.5 -120 Illinois State -7.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Over/under Over 143.5 -112 | Under 143.5 -108 Under 143.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Illinois St Redbirds 184%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 143.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Illinois St Redbirds at 184% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 72.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Illinois State will win decisively. The statistical advantages in three-point defense, shooting efficiency, and turnover management strongly favor the Redbirds. Long Beach State's 0-3 start reflects fundamental offensive limitations that Illinois State's strong defensive profile is well-suited to exploit.

Predicted Score: Illinois State 75 – Long Beach State 63


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Top EV Parlay for Basketball – November 16, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Basketball – November 16, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Central Connecticut St Blue Devils Prediction Massachusetts Minutemen -500 252%
Long Beach St 49ers vs. Illinois St Redbirds Prediction Illinois St Redbirds -315 184%
Kennesaw St Owls vs. South Florida Bulls Prediction Kennesaw St Owls 170 62%

Combined Odds: +327 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $85.37

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Pacific Tigers vs. Long Beach St 49ers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Pacific Tigers vs Long Beach St 49ers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-13
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Alex G. Spanos Center, Stockton, CA

Game Overview

Pacific Tigers (1-1) host the struggling Long Beach St 49ers (0-2) at home. Pacific is favored heavily in moneyline and spread markets due to superior recent form, home advantage, and a significantly better offensive and defensive profile. Long Beach State is on a long losing streak with poor road performance and offensive struggles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Pacific has a 1-1 record with solid home performances and efficiency (47% FG). Long Beach State is 0-2, losing by large margins and scoring poorly (average ~53.5 PPG), with the last 17 games lost overall.
  • Recent matchups heavily favor Pacific, with Long Beach State consistently losing and struggling to cover large spreads. Pacific tends to dominate at home.
  • No significant injury reports affecting key players for either team at this time.
  • Home court advantage for Pacific is a notable factor. Both teams have faced tough travel schedules, but Long Beach State's road struggles amplify the disadvantage.
  • Pacific seeks to build on a modestly positive start and establish home dominance. Long Beach State aims to break a long skid but shows little indication of turnaround momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -610, away: +440 Pacific Tigers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread home: -120, away: -102 Pacific Tigers -9.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Over/under over: -115, under: -105 Under 144.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Pacific Tigers -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 144.5 13%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 144.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pacific Tigers to win outright with a cover on the -9.5 spread and the game total to go under 144.5 points.

Predicted Score: Pacific Tigers 78 – Long Beach St 64


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Fresno St Bulldogs vs. Long Beach St 49ers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Fresno St Bulldogs vs Long Beach St 49ers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Save Mart Center, Fresno, CA

Game Overview

Fresno State Bulldogs host Long Beach State 49ers in an NCAA basketball matchup where Fresno State enters at 1-1 with recent struggles, while Long Beach State is 0-1 and struggling defensively. Fresno State shows eagerness to increase tempo despite poor recent form, facing a Long Beach team that ranked very low defensively last season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fresno State has a 1-1 record with a 0-1 recent five-game form and against the spread; Long Beach State is 0-1 overall and struggled with defense last year, ranking 329th in points per possession allowed compared to Fresno's 298th. Fresno State tends to play at a higher tempo (18th nationally last season).
  • Limited recent H2H data noted, no significant dominance by Long Beach State; Fresno State has historically performed moderately better at home.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team affecting starting lineups or rotations.
  • Game played at Fresno State's home venue, Save Mart Center, which gives Bulldogs a home-court advantage; public betting heavily favors Fresno State with 100% bets on them.
  • Fresno State motivated to rebound from recent losses and justify home favoritism; Long Beach State aims to recover defensively and avoid an 0-2 start on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fresno State Bulldogs: -298, Long Beach St 49ers: +240 Fresno State Bulldogs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Fresno State Bulldogs -6.5: -115, Long Beach St 49ers +6.5: -105 Fresno State Bulldogs -6.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 143.5: -105, Under 143.5: -115 Under 143.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fresno St Bulldogs 145%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 143.5 16%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Fresno St Bulldogs at 145% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 60.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fresno State to win straight up (moneyline), cover the -6.5 spread, and the game total to go under 143.5 points.

Predicted Score: Fresno State Bulldogs 75 – Long Beach State 66


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Long Beach St 49ers vs. Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Long Beach St 49ers vs Cal Poly Mustangs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 9, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Walter Pyramid, Long Beach, CA

Game Overview

Cal Poly Mustangs face Long Beach State 49ers in a matchup where Cal Poly is favored. Cal Poly has a slightly better record, while Long Beach State has struggled this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cal Poly has a 13-18 record, while Long Beach State is 7-24. Cal Poly has shown more consistency, especially in recent games.
  • Long Beach State has won eight of the last ten matchups against Cal Poly, but Cal Poly recently won 78-69 in their last meeting.
  • No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
  • Home advantage might slightly favor Long Beach State, but Cal Poly's recent form could counteract this.
  • Both teams are motivated, but Cal Poly may have more to gain from a win given their current standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cal Poly: -175, LBSU: +145 Cal Poly β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread Cal Poly: -3.5 -115, LBSU: +3.5 -105 Cal Poly -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over_under Over 157.5: -115, Under 157.5: -105 Under 157.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Predicted Outcome

Cal Poly is likely to win due to their recent form and slight edge in team performance.

Predicted Score: Cal Poly 75, Long Beach State 70


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UC San Diego Tritons vs. Long Beach St 49ers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: UC San Diego Tritons vs Long Beach St 49ers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 7, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

UC San Diego Tritons, currently ranked highly in the Mid-Major Top 25, face off against Long Beach State 49ers. The Tritons have shown strong performance this season, while the 49ers have struggled.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UC San Diego has been performing exceptionally well, with a strong record and recent wins. Long Beach State has struggled, with a much weaker record.
  • Recent head-to-head data is not provided, but UC San Diego's overall performance suggests an advantage.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • The Tritons' high ranking and strong conference performance could influence their motivation and strategy.
  • UC San Diego is highly motivated to maintain their ranking and continue their winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Spread -24 for UC San Diego, +24 for Long Beach State UC San Diego Tritons β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over_under Over 137.5 and Under 137.5 both at -110 Over 137.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Predicted Outcome

UC San Diego Tritons are likely to win due to their strong performance this season.

Predicted Score: UC San Diego Tritons 80, Long Beach State 49ers 56


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UC Irvine Anteaters vs. Long Beach St 49ers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: UC Irvine Anteaters vs Long Beach St 49ers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 2, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UC Irvine's Home Venue

Game Overview

UC Irvine Anteaters, with a strong record of 24-5, face off against Long Beach State 49ers, who are struggling at 7-22. The Anteaters have shown consistent performance, while the 49ers have struggled throughout the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UC Irvine has a significant advantage in team performance, boasting a 24-5 record compared to Long Beach State's 7-22. Key players like Bent Leuchten and Jurian Dixon have been crucial for the Anteaters.
  • Recent head-to-head data shows UC Irvine dominating, including a recent win against Long Beach State. This trend suggests a strong advantage for the Anteaters.
  • There are no reported injuries for UC Irvine, which maintains their full roster strength for this match.
  • The home advantage could play a significant role for UC Irvine, as they typically perform well in front of their home crowd.
  • UC Irvine is highly motivated to secure a strong position in the conference standings, while Long Beach State looks to upset and improve their record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Long Beach St 49ers: 1200, UC Irvine Anteaters: -3000 UC Irvine Anteaters β˜†β˜†β˜†β˜†β˜† 1%
Spread Long Beach St 49ers: 16.5 -110, UC Irvine Anteaters: -16.5 -110 UC Irvine Anteaters β˜†β˜†β˜†β˜†β˜† 1%
Over_under Over: 136 -115, Under: 136 -105 Over β˜†β˜†β˜†β˜†β˜† 1%

Predicted Outcome

UC Irvine Anteaters are likely to win this match given their superior performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: UC Irvine Anteaters 80, Long Beach St 49ers 60


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3 Pick Parlay for Basketball – March 1, 2025 Daily Parlay

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3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Oregon St Beavers Prediction Saint Mary's Win -600 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85% (85%)
UC San Diego Tritons vs. CSU Fullerton Titans Prediction UC San Diego Tritons -110 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80% (80%)
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. Long Beach St 49ers Prediction UC Irvine Anteaters -110 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80% (80%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +325

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $85.04

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Long Beach St 49ers vs. CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Long Beach St 49ers vs CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-02-27
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Walter Pyramid

Game Overview

The Long Beach St 49ers host the CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners in a Big West Conference matchup. Both teams have shown mixed performances this season, with Long Beach State looking to improve their home record and CSU Bakersfield aiming to bounce back from recent losses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • CSU Bakersfield has struggled with consistency, especially against stronger opponents like UC Irvine. Long Beach State has shown resilience at home but faces challenges in maintaining a high level of performance throughout games.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups have seen CSU Bakersfield perform well against Long Beach State, winning their last encounter 80-65. However, past results may not directly influence this game due to varying team dynamics.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team.
  • The game's outcome could be influenced by factors like crowd support and team morale, which might favor Long Beach State at home.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure wins in the Big West Conference, but CSU Bakersfield might have an edge due to their recent performance against UC Davis.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -130 (CSU Bakersfield), 108 (Long Beach St) CSU Bakersfield β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Spread -2.5 -110 (CSU Bakersfield), 2.5 -110 (Long Beach St) CSU Bakersfield β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%
Over_under Over 138.5 -110, Under 138.5 -110 Over β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Predicted Outcome

CSU Bakersfield is favored to win, given their recent form and head-to-head performance.

Predicted Score: CSU Bakersfield 72, Long Beach St 69


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Long Beach St 49ers vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Long Beach St 49ers vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: February 23, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Walter Pyramid, Long Beach, CA, USA

Game Overview

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos, with a record of 17-10 and 9-7 in the Big West, face off against the Long Beach State 49ers, who are 7-20 and 3-12 in the conference. The Gauchos are favored due to their stronger overall performance and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UC Santa Barbara has shown more consistent performance throughout the season compared to Long Beach State. The Gauchos have a better conference record and overall win-loss ratio.
  • In their last meeting, UC Santa Barbara won 76-74 against Long Beach State. Historically, the Gauchos have had an edge in head-to-head matchups.
  • There is no specific information available about significant injuries affecting either team's lineup for this match.
  • The game is played at Long Beach State's home venue, which could provide some advantage to the 49ers. However, the Gauchos' recent form suggests they can perform well away from home.
  • Both teams have different motivations; UC Santa Barbara is looking to solidify their position in the conference, while Long Beach State aims to upset and improve their standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Long Beach St 49ers: 265, UC Santa Barbara Gauchos: -315 UC Santa Barbara Gauchos β˜†β˜†β˜†β˜†β˜† 1%
Spread Long Beach St 49ers: 7.5 -117, UC Santa Barbara Gauchos: -7.5 -103 UC Santa Barbara Gauchos β˜†β˜†β˜†β˜†β˜† 1%
Over_under Over: 138 -105, Under: 138 -115 Over β˜†β˜†β˜†β˜†β˜† 1%

Predicted Outcome

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos are likely to win due to their superior record and recent performance.

Predicted Score: UC Santa Barbara 75, Long Beach State 68


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