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Leeds United vs. Newcastle United Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Leeds United vs Newcastle United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Elland Road, Leeds

Game Overview

Leeds United and Newcastle United meet in an early-season EPL match at Elland Road. Leeds sits mid-table with a win and a loss, while Newcastle has struggled, dealing with injuries and suspensions but possesses strong attacking potential.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leeds have shown solid home performance with aggressive pressing and effective counter-attacks but conceded goals in recent matches. Newcastle has a mixed form with a loss and a draw recently, hampered by key injuries and suspensions affecting their midfield and attack.
  • Recent encounters are tightly contested, with three draws and one win apiece in the last five games, indicating a balanced rivalry.
  • Newcastle is missing key players Alexander Isak (sidelined due to a standoff), Anthony Gordon (suspended), Joelinton, and Sandro Tonali (both likely absent). Leeds has fewer injury concerns, giving them relatively better squad stability.
  • Leeds benefits from home advantage; Newcastle faces pressure to recover from their slow start. The atmosphere at Elland Road and local support should boost Leeds. Newcastle’s travel and player absences affect their cohesion.
  • Both teams have high motivation to improve standings early in the season with Newcastle eager to overcome setbacks and Leeds looking to consolidate home strength.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Leeds United: +240, Newcastle United: +105, Draw: +248 Leeds United β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Leeds United: -135 (50), Newcastle United: +102 (-0.5) Newcastle United -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -139, Under 2.5: +105 Over 2.5 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Leeds United 46%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Leeds United at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Leeds United to win on the moneyline, Newcastle to cover the spread, and the match to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-2


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 30, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 30, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Leeds United vs. Newcastle United Prediction Leeds United 240 46%
Sunderland vs. Brentford Prediction Sunderland 190 45%
Bologna vs. Como Prediction Bologna 150 45%

Combined Odds: +2365 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $493

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Arsenal vs. Leeds United Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arsenal vs Leeds United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Emirates Stadium

Game Overview

Arsenal hosts Leeds United in an EPL match with Arsenal showing strong form and historical dominance. Leeds arrive motivated but are the underdogs facing a robust Gunners squad.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arsenal is unbeaten in their last 4 Premier League games, including a 1-0 win at Manchester United. They have won 3 consecutive matches and have a strong home record. Leeds won their last match vs Everton but generally struggle against Arsenal, particularly away.
  • Arsenal has dominated Leeds in recent encounters, winning the last 6 meetings and unbeaten in 14 matches against them. Arsenal have scored multiple goals in these fixtures consistently.
  • Arsenal is likely missing Gabriel Jesus (long-term) and possibly Kai Havertz (injured in training). Christian Norgaard is a doubt. Leeds have some doubts like Sebastiaan Bornauw (calf).
  • Arsenal are playing at home, where they have a fortress-like record against promoted teams, unbeaten in 42 such games since 2010. Leeds travel a long way and have a poor record in London fixtures against Arsenal.
  • Arsenal aims to maintain momentum after a strong season start and continue targeting the title with improved home performance. Leeds are motivated by a positive recent result but face a daunting task on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arsenal -380, Leeds United +870, Draw +470 Arsenal β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 77%
Spread Arsenal -1.5 -134, Leeds United +1.5 +101 Arsenal -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 3.5 +127, Under 3.5 -170 Under 3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arsenal -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arsenal to win outright with a clean sheet

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Leeds United vs. Everton Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Leeds United vs Everton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-18
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Elland Road

Game Overview

Leeds United return to the Premier League after winning the Championship with strong momentum, having an unbeaten run and home advantage, while Everton look to start positively with new signings but have had a poor pre-season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leeds are unbeaten in their last 13 matches across competitions, including a 10-game unbeaten finish last season, and have won 5 of the last 7 home matches; Everton struggled in pre-season with no wins in 6 games.
  • Leeds have failed to beat Everton in their last 5 meetings, showing a slight historical advantage for Everton, but many matches ended close or in draws.
  • Leeds miss Jaka Bijol (suspended) and have doubts over Jayden Bogle and Sebastian Bornauw; Everton injury status less specified but no major absences noted.
  • Leeds are under pressure to establish themselves quickly in Premier League with managerial scrutiny; Everton start the season in a new stadium with a key signing (Jack Grealish) but low morale after poor pre-season.
  • Leeds highly motivated to avoid immediate relegation and justify investment; Everton motivated to bounce back and justify new signings but may suffer from lack of pre-season confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Everton: 2.14, Leeds United: 1.38, Draw: 2.37 Draw β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread Everton +25: -122, Leeds United -0.25: 106 Leeds United -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over 2.25: -120, Under 2.25: 104 Over 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Leeds United 28%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 -5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Leeds United at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 18, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 18, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Mirassol vs. Cruzeiro Prediction Cruzeiro 130 50%
Leeds United vs. Everton Prediction Leeds United 138 28%
Gil Vicente vs. FC Porto Prediction Under 2.5 -110 15%

Combined Odds: +945 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $209.01

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Plymouth Argyle vs. Leeds United Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Plymouth Argyle vs Leeds United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 3 May 2025
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Home Park, Plymouth, England

Game Overview

Leeds United, currently 1st in the Championship with 97 points, face 23rd-placed Plymouth Argyle in the final matchday. Leeds boast the league's best attack (93 goals) and a +64 GD, while Plymouth have conceded the most goals (86). A title-deciding match with Leeds needing a win to secure promotion and potentially overtake Burnley on goal difference.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leeds have lost just 4 games all season, while Plymouth have won only 10 matches. Leeds' last meeting with Plymouth in November 2024 ended 3-0 to Leeds.
  • Leeds won 3-0 in their last meeting (Nov 2024) and hold a clear historical advantage. This season's earlier fixtures show Leeds' attacking dominance.
  • No specific injury data available, but Leeds' squad depth suggests minimal disruption to their starting XI.
  • Plymouth's Home Park atmosphere could prove challenging, but Leeds' title-chasing momentum outweighs this factor.
  • Leeds need a win to secure the title, potentially reaching 100 points. Plymouth are virtually relegated but may play for pride.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline {Leeds: -360, Plymouth: 825, Draw: 460} Leeds United β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Leeds -1.5 (-122), Plymouth +1.5 (102) Leeds -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 3 (-112), Under 3 (-108) Over 3 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Leeds United -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 10%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Leeds United to dominate with a multi-goal victory, leveraging superior squad quality and high stakes.

Predicted Score: Leeds United 3-0 Plymouth Argyle


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Leeds United vs. Bristol City Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Leeds United vs Bristol City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-28
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Elland Road, Leeds, England

Game Overview

Leeds United host Bristol City in their final home match of the Sky Bet Championship, having secured promotion to the Premier League. Bristol City, seeking a place in the playoffs, look to maintain their form against top-seeded teams.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leeds United have shown strong form recently, winning 6-0 against Stoke City, while Bristol City lost their last match to Luton Town.
  • The previous meeting between the two teams ended in a 0-0 draw on October 26, 2024, and another recent match saw Leeds win 1-0 on February 2, 2024.
  • No specific injury information is available for this match.
  • Promotion pressure is off for Leeds, but they are still competing for the Championship title. Bristol City’s motivation is high as they aim to secure a playoff spot.
  • Leeds United are motivated to win the Championship title, while Bristol City needs points for playoff positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -164 (Leeds), 395 (Bristol City), 290 (Draw) Leeds United to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread -1 (Leeds) 100, +1 (Bristol City) -120 Leeds United to cover -1 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under 2.5 (-117 Over, -103 Under) Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Leeds United -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Leeds United are likely to win due to their strong recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Leeds United 2, Bristol City 1


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – April 28, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Lazio vs. Parma Prediction Over 2.75 -108 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70% (70%)
Udinese vs. Bologna Prediction Bologna -0.5 -115 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65% (65%)
Leeds United vs. Bristol City Prediction Over 2.5 -117 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60% (60%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +568

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $133.56

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Leeds United vs. Stoke City Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Leeds United vs Stoke City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-21
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Elland Road, Leeds, England

Game Overview

This English Football League Championship match pits Leeds United against Stoke City. Leeds United is currently ranked 1st, while Stoke City holds the 18th position. Given Leeds United's strong form and home advantage, they are favored to win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leeds United has shown strong form this season, currently standing at the top of the Championship table. Stoke City, on the other hand, has been struggling in the league.
  • In recent matches, Leeds United has generally had the upper hand against Stoke City. Historically, Leeds United has won 7 out of 14 encounters since 2004.
  • Injury reports are not detailed in the provided data, but this could be a significant factor if key players are missing.
  • Home advantage can significantly influence the outcome, favoring Leeds United. Weather conditions or the crowd's impact could also affect the match dynamics.
  • Leeds United will be highly motivated to maintain their lead in the Championship, while Stoke City will try to break their poor form and move up the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -385 for Leeds, 1000 for Stoke, 440 for Draw Leeds United win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread -1.5 for Leeds at -125, 1.5 for Stoke at 105 Leeds United to cover -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.75 at -112, Under 2.75 at -108 Under 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Leeds United 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 6%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Leeds United is likely to win based on their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Leeds United 2, Stoke City 0


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Oxford United vs. Leeds United Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Oxford United vs Leeds United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-18
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Kassam Stadium

Game Overview

Oxford United will face Leeds United in a crucial Championship match as both teams aim to secure their positions in the standings. Leeds is vying for promotion while Oxford battles relegation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leeds United is in strong form, currently standing second in the league with 88 points, while Oxford United is struggling at 23rd with 48 points, having only 12 wins this season.
  • In their last five encounters, Leeds has won three, drawn one, and lost one, showcasing their dominance with a total of 9 goals scored compared to Oxford's 2.
  • As of the latest updates, there are no significant injuries reported for Leeds United. However, Oxford United may have some key players missing, impacting their performance capacity.
  • The match is being held at the Kassam Stadium, which could give Oxford a slight advantage as the home team, although Leeds' strong season may mitigate this factor.
  • Leeds United is highly motivated to secure promotion to the Premier League, while Oxford is fighting to avoid relegation, leading to a potentially high-stakes match.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Leeds United 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 20%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Leeds United is favored to win this match given their current form and historical performance against Oxford United.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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