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Sao Paulo vs. LDU Quito Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs LDU Quito – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-25
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Morumbi Stadium, Sao Paulo

Game Overview

Sao Paulo, playing at home, face LDU Quito in a tightly contested Copa Libertadores quarterfinal first leg. Sao Paulo enters as favorites based on recent form and home advantage but LDU Quito has shown resilience in continental competitions with a recent narrow aggregate victory in this tournament.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sao Paulo have strong recent domestic results including a narrow win over Botafogo and progression via penalties in Copa Libertadores. LDU Quito recently won a close away fixture and progressed on aggregate, showing good defensive organization and counter-attack threat.
  • Recent meetings slightly favor LDU Quito with a notable 4-2 victory in their last matchup, but Sao Paulo's home advantage in this leg balances the historical edge.
  • No crucial injury information reported for key players on either side, suggesting both sides will field near-full strength squads.
  • Playing at Sao Paulo’s home ground Morumbi provides altitude and crowd support advantages. Travel fatigue for LDU Quito could also play a minor role.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as this is a knockout quarterfinal match in Copa Libertadores, with Sao Paulo seeking to capitalize on home advantage and LDU Quito aiming to maintain their strong continental run.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sao Paulo: -245, LDU Quito: +775, Draw: +350 Sao Paulo ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Sao Paulo -1.25 -108, LDU Quito +1.25 -122 Sao Paulo -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 +115, Under 2.5 -150 Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sao Paulo to win on the moneyline, cover -1.25 spread, and under 2.5 goals scored

Predicted Score: 2-0


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – September 25, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Lille vs. SK Brann Prediction Lille Win -234 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Estudiantes La Plata vs. Flamengo Flamengo-RJ Win 115 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Sao Paulo vs. LDU Quito Prediction Sao Paulo Win -245 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +332

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $86.43

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LDU Quito vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: LDU Quito vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-18
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria, Quito

Game Overview

This Copa Libertadores quarterfinal match features home side LDU Quito, favored by bookmakers and recent statistical models, hosting São Paulo. Both teams have shown competitive form, but LDU Quito benefits from home advantage and stronger recent performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • LDU Quito has displayed solid recent form in continental competition with strong defense and effective offense at home, while São Paulo's away form is less convincing but capable of causing an upset.
  • Historically balanced, with no clear dominance; recent encounters slightly favor LDU Quito but not conclusively.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key starters, implying both squads can field mostly full strength lineups.
  • Altitude in Quito typically favors the home team, a critical element here giving LDU Quito an edge physically and tactically.
  • Both teams are highly motivated in the knockout phase, but LDU Quito's home advantage and Copa Libertadores pedigree slightly enhance their motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -110, away: 340, draw: 230 LDU Quito ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread LDU Quito -0.5: -122, São Paulo +50: -108 LDU Quito -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over 2: -118, under 2: -112 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline LDU Quito 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

LDU Quito to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, with the match expected to be tight but under 2.5 goals in total.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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LDU Quito vs. Botafogo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: LDU Quito vs Botafogo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-21
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito

Game Overview

This second leg matchup in the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 features LDU Quito hosting Botafogo after the first leg in Rio de Janeiro. Botafogo carries momentum from a strong group stage and recent home advantage, while LDU Quito seeks to leverage home conditions and altitude in Quito.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo showed solid form advancing as second in Group A with 12 points, and has a keen defensive record at home, keeping 4 clean sheets in last 5 home Libertadores matches. LDU Quito have a less consistent recent form, including a recent away loss in their domestic league and limited recent Libertadores success at home.
  • The only recent reported clash saw Botafogo win 2-1 at home in a previous encounter. Overall, Botafogo has a slightly stronger historical edge, especially playing at home.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either team before this match; new Botafogo signings settled in with no disruptions.
  • LDU Quito benefits from home altitude conditions which can be challenging for visiting teams like Botafogo, but Botafogo has previously shown resilience in away Libertadores matches.
  • Botafogo, as defending champions and with a streak of strong home performances, hold strong motivation to progress in the tournament. LDU Quito needs a positive home result to overturn the initial deficit and continue in the competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Home: 125, Away: 245, Draw: 220 Home (LDU Quito) win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread LDU Quito -0.25: -125, Botafogo +25: -105 Botafogo +0.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: 118, Under 2.5: -155 Under 2.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline LDU Quito 26%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: LDU Quito at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo to win (Moneyline), LDU Quito +0.25 goals (Spread), Under 2.5 goals (Over/Under)

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Botafogo vs. LDU Quito Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Botafogo vs LDU Quito – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-14
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Round of 16 Copa Libertadores match between Botafogo and LDU Quito, with Botafogo favored at home given recent form and strong lineup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo shows superior recent form and consistent results in domestic and international matches, while LDU Quito has struggled recently and is underdog here.
  • Limited recent direct encounters favor Botafogo, who have secured better results at home.
  • No major injuries reported for either side impacting starting lineup significantly.
  • Home advantage for Botafogo at Nilton Santos stadium and familiar conditions favor them; travel and altitude less favorable for LDU Quito.
  • Botafogo motivated to progress deep in Copa Libertadores and capitalize on home advantage; LDU Quito under pressure as underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Botafogo: -245, LDU Quito: 725, Draw: 360 Botafogo ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Botafogo -1.25: -118, LDU Quito +1.25: -112 Botafogo -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -120 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Botafogo -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo to win outright, covering the spread comfortably and the match to have under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 14, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 14, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Palmeiras-SP Prediction Palmeiras-SP 100 16%
Libertad Asuncion vs. River Plate Prediction River Plate -110 11%
Botafogo vs. LDU Quito Prediction Under 2.5 -120 10%

Combined Odds: +600 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $140

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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – August 14, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Palmeiras Palmeiras-SP Win 100 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Libertad Asuncion vs. River Plate Prediction River Plate Win -110 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)
Botafogo vs. LDU Quito Prediction Botafogo Win -245 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +438

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $107.53

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LDU Quito vs. Central Córdoba Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: LDU Quito vs Central Córdoba – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 29 May 2025
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito, Ecuador

Game Overview

This match is part of the CONMEBOL Libertadores, Group C, where LDU Quito hosts Central Córdoba. LDU Quito is currently ranked 2nd, while Central Córdoba leads the group.

Key Factors to Consider

  • LDU Quito has shown mixed results lately, with a recent loss to Flamengo. Central Córdoba, however, has been performing well, maintaining the top spot in the group.
  • There is limited head-to-head data available for this season, but Central Córdoba is favored due to their current group standing.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this matchup.
  • Home advantage could significantly favor LDU Quito, given Quito's high altitude.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points, but Central Córdoba's group lead may offer additional pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline LDU Quito: -140, Central Córdoba: 370, Draw: 265 LDU Quito to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread LDU Quito: -0.75 -115, Central Córdoba: 75 -115 LDU Quito to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -108, Under 2.5: -122 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline LDU Quito -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

LDU Quito is favored to win due to home advantage, but Central Córdoba's strong performance in the group stage complicates the prediction.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of LDU Quito


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Flamengo-RJ vs. LDU Quito Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Flamengo-RJ vs LDU Quito – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 16, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro

Game Overview

Flamengo-RJ hosts LDU Quito in the CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores on May 16, 2025. Flamengo is favored to win due to their strong home performance and recent victories. LDU Quito, however, has shown resilience in away matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo has been performing well in both Serie A and the Copa Libertadores, while LDU Quito has shown mixed results but won their last match 3-2 against Deportivo Táchira.
  • Their last match was on April 22, 2025, but specific details are not available. Historically, Flamengo has a strong record at home.
  • No significant injury reports are available for either team.
  • Home advantage is a significant factor for Flamengo.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure a win, especially Flamengo playing at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Flamengo -575, LDU Quito 1400, Draw 550 Flamengo win ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Flamengo -2 -110, LDU Quito +2 -120 Flamengo to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3 -108, Under 3 -122 Over 3 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo-RJ 950%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Flamengo-RJ at 950% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 67.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo is likely to win this match, given their home advantage and recent form.

Predicted Score: Flamengo 3, LDU Quito 1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 15, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 15, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Flamengo-RJ vs. LDU Quito Prediction Flamengo-RJ -575 950%
Club Atletico Talleres vs. Alianza Lima Prediction Club Atletico Talleres -155 197%
Getafe vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction Draw 175 46%

Combined Odds: +431 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $106.22

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