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LDU Quito vs. Flamengo-RJ Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: LDU Quito vs Flamengo-RJ – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-22
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito, Ecuador

Game Overview

Copa Libertadores Group C clash where Flamengo (3rd place, 1W-0D-1L) faces LDU Quito (1st place, 2W-1D-0L) in a critical match for group standings. LDU's home advantage and superior current form could challenge Flamengo's individual quality.

Key Factors to Consider

  • LDU Quito leads Group C with 7 points (+2 GD), showing defensive solidity and home-pitch proficiency. Flamengo sits 3rd with 3 points (0 GD), needing redemption after inconsistent group-stage performances.
  • Historical H2H data shows competitive matchups, including a 2-2 draw in their most recent Libertadores meeting (May 2021)[2]. No recent conclusive dominance from either side.
  • Flamengo's Matías Viña (defender) confirmed injured[5], weakening their left defensive flank. No reported injuries for LDU Quito.
  • High-altitude conditions (Quito at 2,850m) favor home side's adaptation. Recent Copa Libertadores results suggest tactical discipline from both teams.
  • LDU seeks group leadership consolidation; Flamengo must win to avoid early elimination risks. Strong motivational parity despite differing table positions.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline LDU 225 | Draw 205 | Flamengo 130 Value bet on Draw ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Flamengo -0.25 (-108) | LDU +25 (-122) LDU +0.25 covers ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2 (-125) | Under 2 (-105) Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo-RJ 46%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Flamengo-RJ at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tactical draw (1-1) with Flamengo controlling possession and LDU countering effectively. The altitude factor neutralizes Flamengo's technical advantage, while LDU's organized defense limits goal opportunities.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – April 22, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – April 22, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
LDU Quito vs. Flamengo-RJ Prediction Flamengo-RJ 130 46%
Barcelona vs. Mallorca Prediction Over 3.25 -102 23%
Colo Colo vs. Racing Club Prediction Racing Club 145 23%

Combined Odds: +1016 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $223.19

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LDU Quito vs. Deportivo Táchira Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: LDU Quito vs Deportivo Táchira – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-10
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito, Ecuador

Game Overview

This CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group C matchup sees LDU Quito facing off against Deportivo Táchira. LDU Quito is favored given their strong home performance, but Deportivo Táchira has shown resilience in past matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • LDU Quito has recently shown strong home form, winning several matches convincingly. Deportivo Táchira has struggled, losing multiple games.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited, but historically, LDU Quito tends to perform better in home matches.
  • No significant injury reports have been mentioned for either team.
  • Weather and travel could affect Deportivo Táchira's performance, as they travel from Venezuela to Ecuador.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points in the group stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence EV Pick
Moneyline -385 for LDU Quito, 1000 for Deportivo Táchira, 440 for Draw LDU Quito ★★★★☆ 75% LDU Quito -12%
Spread -1.75 for LDU Quito, 1.75 for Deportivo Táchira LDU Quito to win by more than 1 goal ★★★☆☆ 65% LDU Quito to win by more than 1 goal -100%
Over_under Over 2.75 -115, Under 2.75 -115 Over 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 60% Over 2.75 -100%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline LDU Quito -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

LDU Quito is likely to win the match given their strong home performance and Deportivo Táchira's recent losses.

Predicted Score: LDU Quito 3, Deportivo Táchira 0


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – April 9, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
LDU Quito vs. Deportivo Táchira Prediction LDU Quito Win -385 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Swansea City vs. Plymouth Argyle Prediction Swansea City Win -155 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Coventry City vs. Portsmouth Prediction Coventry City -0.75 -120 ★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +280

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $75.99

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Central Córdoba vs. LDU Quito Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Central Córdoba vs LDU Quito – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-03
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades, Santiago del Estero, Argentina

Game Overview

Central Córdoba will host LDU Quito in a key Copa Libertadores match at the Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades. Central Córdoba is favored due to home advantage and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Central Córdoba recently won against Tigre in the Argentine Primera Division, while LDU Quito last played a competitive match in August against Lanus in the Copa Sudamericana. Central Córdoba's squad has an average age of 25.11, which might give them an edge in terms of energy and pace.
  • There is limited head-to-head data available between Central Córdoba and LDU Quito, making recent form more critical for predictions.
  • No specific injury reports have been highlighted for either team.
  • Home advantage should significantly benefit Central Córdoba, as they are more accustomed to their stadium conditions.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, as this match can significantly impact their position in the Copa Libertadores group stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Central Córdoba: +125, LDU Quito: +240, Draw: +195 Central Córdoba ★★★☆☆ 54%
Spread Central Córdoba -0.25 -112, LDU Quito 25 -118 Central Córdoba -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 54%
Over_under Over 2.0: -125, Under 2.0: -105 Under 2.0 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Central Córdoba is likely to win given their home advantage and recent competitive matches.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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