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Palmeiras-SP vs. LDU Quito Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Palmeiras-SP vs LDU Quito – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-31
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Parque, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

The 2025 Copa Libertadores semi-final second leg sees Palmeiras-SP hosting LDU Quito at Allianz Parque. Palmeiras face a daunting task overcoming a 3-0 first leg deficit suffered away at LDU Quito’s high-altitude home venue. Palmeiras are one of South America's richest clubs and recent multi-time champions, while LDU Quito shocked many by dominating the first leg emphatically.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras are the favorites on paper and at home but have struggled offensively against LDU’s disciplined defense. LDU Quito showed exceptional form in the first leg, winning 3-0 with strong attacking displays, particularly from Gabriel Villamil who scored twice. Palmeiras will need a strong attacking performance, but key players like Paulinho, Lucas Evangelista, and goalkeeper Weverton are still out injured. LDU's Bryan Ramirez is suspended for this match after his red card in the first leg.
  • This is a rare fixture, and the first leg was a decisive 3-0 win for LDU Quito. Historically, Palmeiras have had more success in Libertadores, but LDU’s recent form and first leg result tilt the current H2H in their favor.
  • Palmeiras are missing Paulinho, Lucas Evangelista, and goalkeeper Weverton. Anibal Moreno is doubtful. LDU Quito miss Bryan Ramirez (suspension), Alejandro Cabeza (injury), and the availability of Lisandro Alzugaray and Jeison Medina is uncertain.
  • Altitude and home support favored LDU Quito in the first leg. Now playing at Allianz Parque, Palmeiras will have home crowd support but feel pressure to overturn a large deficit. The pressure can impact Palmeiras’ mental approach. Weather and pitch conditions expected to favor Palmeiras.
  • Palmeiras are highly motivated to reach the final and defend their status as one of the strongest teams continentally. LDU Quito, having shocked Palmeiras and the continent, will aim to maintain composure and exploit defensive chances given Palmeiras’ need to press hard.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline LDU Quito: 1300, Palmeiras-SP: -480, Draw: 550 Palmeiras win (moneyline) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread LDU Quito: 2 -130, Palmeiras-SP: -2 100 Palmeiras to cover -2 spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -155, Under: 2.5 118 Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras-SP 880%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras-SP at 880% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 67.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras are predicted to push aggressively and likely dominate possession and chances at home, but overcoming a 3-goal deficit is challenging. Taking into account missing key players and LDU's solid defense, Palmeiras are likely to win the match but only by a margin of 1 or 2 goals, thus LDU Quito should progress on aggregate.

Predicted Score: Palmeiras-SP 2 – 0 LDU Quito


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LDU Quito vs. Palmeiras-SP Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: LDU Quito vs Palmeiras-SP – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-24
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito, Ecuador

Game Overview

This Copa Libertadores match pits LDU Quito against Palmeiras-SP in the semifinals, with the first leg taking place in Quito. LDU Quito will leverage their home advantage at high altitude, which historically impacts visiting teams. Palmeiras enters as the bookmakers' favorite, reflecting their strong recent form and depth in the squad.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras-SP has shown superior form in recent Libertadores matches, with strong attacking and defensive records. LDU Quito has been resilient at home but less prolific offensively. Palmeiras’s experience in continental competitions gives them an edge, while LDU's altitude advantage should not be underestimated.
  • Prior encounters between LDU Quito and Palmeiras in Copa Libertadores have been competitive but limited; no recent matches in 2025 are recorded prior to this fixture. Historical data suggests balanced contests with slight favor to Palmeiras in recent continental form.
  • Current injury updates for both teams are not fully disclosed, but no major injury reports have surfaced for key players affecting starting lineups significantly.
  • The match venue's altitude (Quito is approx. 2,850 meters above sea level) favors LDU Quito, potentially impacting Palmeiras physically. Weather and pitch conditions have not been reported as major issues.
  • As a semifinal first leg, both teams are highly motivated; Palmeiras aims to capitalize on their stronger squad to build a significant advantage, while LDU Quito looks to defend stoutly and exploit home conditions to keep the tie open for the second leg.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline LDU Quito: 210, Palmeiras-SP: 146, Draw: 194 Palmeiras win or draw ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread LDU Quito: 25 -132, Palmeiras-SP: -0.25 112 Palmeiras -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: -103, Under 2: -117 Under 2 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras-SP 40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras-SP at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras is favored to win or draw with a slight advantage, but the altitude and home advantage of LDU Quito suggest a closely contested match likely to end in a low-scoring draw or a narrow Palmeiras victory.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – October 23, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – October 23, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
LDU Quito vs. Palmeiras-SP Prediction Palmeiras-SP 146 40%
Nottingham Forest vs. Porto Prediction Nottingham Forest 157 25%
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Midtjylland Prediction FC Midtjylland 114 18%

Combined Odds: +1253 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $270.59

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Sao Paulo vs. LDU Quito Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs LDU Quito – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-25
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Morumbi Stadium, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

This is the second leg of the 2025 Copa Libertadores quarterfinals between São Paulo and LDU Quito. The first leg ended with LDU Quito securing a 2-0 victory at home. São Paulo must overcome a two-goal deficit in this away leg at Morumbi to advance, while LDU Quito can defend their aggregate lead to secure a semifinal spot.

Key Factors to Consider

  • LDU Quito currently holds a strong advantage with a 2-0 away win in the first leg, having scored early through Bryan Ramírez and secured the result with Michael Estrada. São Paulo has shown attacking potential but failed to convert chances in the first leg. São Paulo is favored by bookmakers at home but is under pressure to overturn the deficit.
  • The recent head-to-head in the quarterfinal first leg was a 2-0 win for LDU Quito. Historical matchups between these teams in Libertadores show competitive encounters, but LDU Quito's current dominance is evident.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match. Both teams are expected to field their strongest possible lineups for this critical knockout fixture.
  • São Paulo has home advantage in this leg at the Morumbi stadium, boosting their chances. The Brazilian sector is known for passionate supporters which may influence momentum. LDU Quito's altitude and tactical discipline have been key in the first match.
  • LDU Quito is highly motivated to maintain their aggregate lead and reach the semifinals, potentially one of their best continental runs. São Paulo needs to overcome the tough deficit at home to avoid elimination, driving them to attack aggressively.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline LDU Quito: 7.75, São Paulo: -2.45, Draw: 3.5 São Paulo win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread LDU Quito: -1.25 @ -122, São Paulo: +1.25 @ -108 São Paulo +1.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: 1.15, Under 2.5: -1.5 Over 2.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 399%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 46%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 399% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 51.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

São Paulo is likely to push hard at home but faces a difficult challenge to overturn the 2-0 deficit. A high-intensity match with goals is expected, but LDU Quito's defensive resoluteness and tactical discipline suggest at least a draw on the night, securing progression on aggregate.

Predicted Score: São Paulo 2 – 1 LDU Quito


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 25, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 25, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Sao Paulo vs. LDU Quito Prediction Sao Paulo -245 399%
Ferencváros TC vs. Viktoria Plzeň Prediction Ferencváros TC 140 46%
Young Boys vs. Panathinaikos FC Prediction Young Boys 129 42%

Combined Odds: +674 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $154.79

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LDU Quito vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: LDU Quito vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-18
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito, Ecuador

Game Overview

The Copa Libertadores quarter-final first leg between LDU Quito and São Paulo is scheduled on September 18, 2025, at Rodrigo Paz Delgado stadium. LDU Quito enters this match as the home side and favorites according to betting odds. São Paulo comes off a recent positive form run but faces a tough away challenge in altitude and passionate home crowd.

Key Factors to Consider

  • LDU Quito leads in their domestic league (LigaPro Ecuador) and generally performs strong at home with altitude advantage. São Paulo has been inconsistent but holds resilience in continental fixtures, with recent matches showing an ability to avoid heavy defeats and scoring key away goals.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings favor LDU Quito with narrow wins, including a 1-0 victory last recorded in August 2023 and other matches where results were close, indicating a competitive but slightly LDU Quito-favored rivalry.
  • No specific injury reports are available from the data provided, suggesting both teams may field their strongest squads for this critical knockout match.
  • Altitude in Quito is a significant factor that generally benefits LDU Quito due to acclimatization. São Paulo may struggle with endurance and tempo due to this condition.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with LDU Quito aiming to progress further on home soil and São Paulo looking to gain a crucial away goal to leverage in the second leg.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline LDU Quito: -110, São Paulo: 340, Draw: 230 LDU Quito win ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread LDU Quito -0.5: -122, São Paulo +50: -108 LDU Quito -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2: -118, Under 2: -112 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline LDU Quito 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: LDU Quito at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

LDU Quito is favored to win the first leg at home, with a predicted close match but an edge due to home advantage and recent positive form. São Paulo is expected to fight hard, possibly allowing a goal but aiming to keep the scoreline manageable for the away leg.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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LDU Quito vs. Botafogo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: LDU Quito vs Botafogo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-21
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito, Ecuador

Game Overview

This is the second leg of the 2025 Copa Libertadores round of 16 between LDU Quito and Botafogo. Botafogo currently leads 1-0 on aggregate after a narrow away victory in the first leg, with a lightning-fast goal early in the match. The game will be played at LDU Quito's home venue, offering them a chance to overturn the deficit in front of their home fans.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo, reigning Brazilian and Copa Libertadores champions, have shown solid defensive organization and quick attacking transitions, highlighted by their early first-leg goal. LDU Quito has struggled to create consistent chances away but tends to perform better at home and will need a strong offensive response.
  • Recent direct matchups favor Botafogo with the 1-0 win from the first leg. Historical head-to-head data for these exact teams is limited for this season, but Botafogo's current form and status as champions provide psychological advantage.
  • No specific significant injury reports are available for either team prior to this match.
  • Playing at altitude in Quito gives LDU a physical advantage they may try to exploit. Climate and travel fatigue could impact Botafogo. Motivation is high for both sides due to the knockout nature of the fixture in an elite South American competition.
  • LDU Quito must win or draw with sufficient goal margin to advance, spurring an aggressive approach. Botafogo aims to defend their aggregate lead and capitalize on counterattacks, motivated by their defending champion status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Botafogo: 2.45, LDU Quito: 1.25, Draw: 2.2 LDU Quito win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Botafogo +25: -105, LDU Quito -0.25: -125 LDU Quito -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: 1.18, Under 2.5: -1.55 Under 2.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline LDU Quito 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: LDU Quito at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

LDU Quito is likely to push hard for goals at home, but Botafogo's defensive solidity and aggregate lead make a draw or narrow Botafogo away win most probable. The match could be tight and tactical, with low scoring.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Botafogo vs. LDU Quito Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Botafogo vs LDU Quito – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-14
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Botafogo Home Stadium (likely Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro)

Game Overview

This is the first leg of the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 between Brazilian Botafogo and Ecuadorian LDU Quito. Botafogo enters as the favorite based on domestic form and home advantage. This knockout stage match is critical for both sides aiming for continental success, with Botafogo strong in Brazil's Serie A and LDU Quito showing mixed recent form internationally.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo is 2nd in the Brazilian Serie A and stable in form, which reflects competitive strength. LDU Quito has had mixed results recently with some wins and draws, but also losses. Their form indicates potential inconsistency, especially away from home. Both teams have shown solid defensive capabilities but Botafogo has a slight edge at home.
  • Recent head-to-head in Copa Libertadores shows no very recent direct meetings within the season, but historically these clubs have played close matches, including draws and narrow wins. The last recorded matches showed Botafogo winning at home and some tight scorelines, indicating competitive balance but a home edge for Botafogo.
  • No specific live injury updates are available from the data provided for either team, indicating possibly full or near-full squads for this match.
  • The match is in Brazil at Botafogo's home ground, giving Botafogo a clear home advantage with familiar conditions and crowd support. Travel and acclimatization could slightly challenge LDU Quito, an Ecuadorian team.
  • As the first leg of a knockout round, both teams are highly motivated. Botafogo will aim to secure a strong home win to ease the pressure in the second leg. LDU Quito will target a defensively solid performance to seek a valuable away goal or draw.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline botafogo: -245, ldu_quito: 725, draw: 360 Botafogo to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread botafogo_-1.25: -118, ldu_quito_+1.25: -112 Botafogo -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over_2.5: -110, under_2.5: -120 Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Botafogo -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo is expected to win narrowly at home due to home advantage and stronger recent form. A 2-1 victory is likely, with Botafogo controlling the game but LDU Quito challenging defensively.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 14, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 14, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Palmeiras-SP Prediction Palmeiras-SP 100 164%
Libertad Asuncion vs. River Plate Prediction Under 2 108 14%
Botafogo vs. LDU Quito Prediction Over 2.5 -110 11%

Combined Odds: +694 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $158.84

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LDU Quito vs. Central Córdoba Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: LDU Quito vs Central Córdoba – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-29
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito, Ecuador

Game Overview

The Copa Libertadores Group C match between LDU Quito and Central Córdoba represents a crucial fixture late in the group stage. LDU Quito, playing at home, hold the 2nd position in the group, while Central Córdoba are top of the standings. Both teams have had mixed recent form in domestic and international play, with LDU Quito showing resilience at home but Central Córdoba having secured important results to lead the group. The match is set in Quito's high altitude stadium, a notable factor for the visiting Central Córdoba.

Key Factors to Consider

  • LDU Quito's recent results include draws and wins at home with competitive displays in the Ecuadorian Liga Pro and Copa Libertadores, though they've suffered losses against strong teams like Flamengo. Central Córdoba have mixed results but managed to secure important group points, including a win over LDU in the previous meeting earlier in the season. LDU appears stronger at home, while Central Córdoba have demonstrated fighting qualities throughout the group stage.
  • This is the second meeting this season between LDU Quito and Central Córdoba, with Central Córdoba winning the first encounter. This gives Central Córdoba a psychological edge, but the home advantage for LDU Quito at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado is significant. Historically, their encounters have been tightly contested.
  • No specific injury information is reported for either team at this time, suggesting both squads are likely to field strong lineups for this important clash.
  • The match will be played at high altitude in Quito, which typically favors the home side due to acclimatization issues for visiting teams. Weather conditions and travel fatigue could also impact Central Córdoba’s performance.
  • With the group stage concluding, both teams are highly motivated to secure maximum points for progression. LDU Quito aims to leverage home advantage to overturn the previous defeat, while Central Córdoba looks to consolidate their top spot to ensure qualification.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline LDU Quito: -140, Central Córdoba: 370, Draw: 265 LDU Quito to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread LDU Quito: -0.75 -115, Central Córdoba: +75 -115 LDU Quito -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -108, Under 2.5: -122 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline LDU Quito -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering the home advantage, altitude effect, and the urgency for LDU Quito to respond after their earlier loss to Central Córdoba, a narrow home win is favored. However, given the competitive balance and Central Córdoba's strong motivation, a competitive and close match is expected.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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