Match Analysis: Sergey Bilostenniy vs Karl Williams – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-21
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Chicago, Illinois, United States
Game Overview
A PFL World Tournament 7 semifinal light heavyweight MMA bout between Sergey Bilostenniy and Karl Williams.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sergey Bilostenniy enters the bout with strong recent form and consistent performances in the PFL circuit, showing effective striking and grappling balance. Karl Williams, while competitive, has demonstrated more variability in outcomes and less consistency against top-tier opponents.
- No direct head-to-head records available between Sergey Bilostenniy and Karl Williams, making matchup styles and recent performance trends pivotal.
- No reported injuries or recent layoffs for either fighter leading into this match, indicating both are at full strength.
- Fighting at a neutral venue in Chicago likely minimizes travel or altitude impacts. Both have adequate preparation time with no scheduling conflicts reported.
- Both fighters are highly motivated as this is a semifinal bout in a major tournament, but Bilostenniy’s steady rise and odds favoring him suggest higher confidence and momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Karl Williams: +150, Sergey Bilostenniy: -185 | Sergey Bilostenniy | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Bilostenniy -3.5: -120, Williams +3.5: +100 | Bilostenniy -3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: +110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sergey Bilostenniy -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Sergey Bilostenniy at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Sergey Bilostenniy to win; Spread: Sergey Bilostenniy by -3.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds
Predicted Score: Sergey Bilostenniy wins by third round TKO