The Dolphins will face the South Sydney Rabbitohs in a Round 17 NRL match at Suncorp Stadium. Both teams are coming off consecutive losses, with the Dolphins sitting 9th on the ladder seeking to rebound and push into the finals, while the Rabbitohs, at 16th, aim to halt a poor run of form. This match carries added intrigue as it features Wayne Bennett coaching the Rabbitohs against his former team, the Dolphins, now led by his protege Kristian Woolf. Weather disruptions earlier in the season led to a venue switch and schedule reshuffle for these clubs. The game is the second of a double-header day at the venue, with fans advised to arrive early due to crowding and security measures.
Key Factors to Consider
The Dolphins have had a mixed season but remain just outside the top eight, battling to keep finals hopes alive. They recently lost to Newcastle Knights, reflecting some inconsistency. The Rabbitohs have struggled more significantly, with just 17 wins in their last 52 matches and a recent golden point loss to Melbourne showing some promise but ongoing challenges. The Dolphins have adapted well under Kristian Woolf, showing resilience despite injuries, while the Rabbitohs are still rebuilding under Bennett.
The two teams met in Round 1, with the Rabbitohs narrowly edging the Dolphins 16-14 in a hard-fought encounter at CommBank Stadium. Historically, the Rabbitohs have had the upper hand, but the Dolphins have been competitive since their introduction to the NRL. The current season’s first match was tightly contested, suggesting another close game is likely.
The Dolphins are missing Jack Bostock (ACL injury, season-ending), replaced by Junior Tupou on the wing. The Rabbitohs have been affected by injuries throughout the season but no new significant injury reports ahead of this match have been noted. Both teams are dealing with squad depth challenges but have named strong sides.
The match is now held at Suncorp Stadium due to Cyclone Alfred-related rescheduling. The venue is a home ground for the Dolphins, giving them a slight advantage. Two matches on the same day may affect crowd energy and player warmups, but both teams have had similar experience with these conditions. Weather appears stable for the match day.
The Dolphins are highly motivated to regain momentum and secure a vital win to bolster their finals chances. Facing their former coach adds an emotional edge. The Rabbitohs, despite a poor season so far, are driven to improve and gain confidence by upsetting a higher-ranked adversary, with key players like Alex Johnston aiming to continue personal milestones.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Dolphins: -162, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 140, Draw: 2100
Dolphins win
★★★★☆ 70%
Spread
Dolphins -3.5: -115, South Sydney Rabbitohs +3.5: -115
Dolphins to cover -3.5 points
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 49.5: -115, Under 49.5: -115
Under 49.5 points total
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Dolphins -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 49.5 3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Dolphins are favored to win due to home advantage, stronger recent form, and motivation to rebound, but the Rabbitohs will keep it competitive. Expect a closely contested match with the Dolphins prevailing by a narrow margin.
This NRL Round 17 match features St George Illawarra Dragons hosting Parramatta Eels at WIN Stadium. Both teams have demonstrated competitive form this season, with the Dragons favored to win at home. The game is expected to be closely contested with impactful plays from both sides, making it an exciting fixture for fans and bettors.
Key Factors to Consider
The Dragons have shown solid home form and consistent performances in recent rounds, while the Eels have been resilient on the road but marginally less consistent overall. St George Illawarra's defense and structured attack have been key strengths, whereas Parramatta's ability to capitalize on turnovers has improved lately.
Recent head-to-head meetings have been tight, with some wins shared between both teams. The last five matches show a near even split, including a close 23-22 win for Parramatta earlier in the season. This historical parity suggests the match could be decided by small margins.
No major injuries have been publicly disclosed affecting key starters for either team at this time, suggesting both sides can field near-full strength lineups.
The match being played at WIN Stadium gives the Dragons a home ground advantage with familiar conditions and fan support. Weather conditions are expected to be typical for Wollongong in late June, without adverse impacts.
St George Illawarra is motivated to consolidate their position in the mid-table standings and maintain winning momentum at home. Parramatta Eels aim to climb higher on the ladder and will be motivated by the chance to upset an in-form home team.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Parramatta Eels: 131, St George Illawarra Dragons: -150, Draw: 2000
St George Illawarra Dragons
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Parramatta Eels: 3.5 -115, St George Illawarra Dragons: -3.5 -115
St George Illawarra Dragons -3.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over: 47.5 -115, Under: 47.5 -115
Under 47.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
St George Illawarra Dragons -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 47.5 3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the home advantage and slightly better recent consistency, the prediction favors St George Illawarra Dragons to win a close match. Expect a tight contest with defense playing a major role.
Predicted Score: St George Illawarra Dragons 24 – Parramatta Eels 20
The upcoming NRL match between Brisbane Broncos and New Zealand Warriors is set at Suncorp Stadium with the Broncos looking to extend their winning streak at home, having scored 78 points in back-to-back wins. The Warriors, ranked 4th, are slightly ahead in the table compared to the Broncos in 5th. Both teams have recent success at this venue, with the Warriors having claimed three of their last four games at Suncorp but not defeating the Broncos there since 2018. Key players such as Reece Walsh and Payne Haas are influential for the Broncos, while the Warriors welcome back Kurt Capewell following injury. The match is anticipated to be highly competitive, featuring solid performances and tactical adjustments from both sides.
Key Factors to Consider
The Broncos have strong momentum, scoring 78 points over their last two home games and successfully overcoming a 16-point deficit against the Sharks recently. Reece Walsh’s return from injury has significantly boosted their attack, and Payne Haas continues to lead their forward pack effectively. The Warriors have won three of their last four games at Suncorp, showing capacity to challenge at this ground, although they have not beaten the Broncos there since 2018. Lineup changes favor the Warriors with Queensland State of Origin star Kurt Capewell returning, and key players like Rocco Berry and Edward Kosi coming back from injury, potentially strengthening their second-row and wings.
Historically, the Warriors have struggled to defeat the Broncos at Suncorp Stadium, failing to win there since 2018. However, they have won three of their past four encounters at this venue in recent times, indicating a more competitive edge than in past years. Their last season meetings demonstrated balanced try counts, with Warriors scoring four tries and Broncos three in one match during Round 7 2025.
The Warriors are missing Dallin Watene-Zelezniak due to an ankle injury sidelining him for four to six weeks, but have regained Moala Graham-Taufa and welcomed back Kurt Capewell. The Broncos have maintained a consistent lineup with no major changes reported ahead of the match, signaling squad stability. Both teams have deep reserves available on the interchange bench to manage any injuries during the match.
The match day features a unique schedule with a double-header at Suncorp Stadium, which may influence atmosphere and pitch conditions slightly. Weather and travel fatigue do not appear to be major concerns as both teams are accustomed to playing at this venue. Referee Adam Gee, experienced in high-stakes games, will officiate, potentially ensuring a well-controlled match environment.
The Broncos are motivated to secure their third consecutive home victory and maintain momentum in the competition. The Warriors are driven to rebound strongly from a recent unexpected loss to the Panthers and will look to leverage their recent good form at Suncorp Stadium. Both teams are placed closely in the standings (4th vs 5th), adding competitive tension for valuable table points.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Brisbane Broncos: -186, New Zealand Warriors: 158, Draw: 2100
Brisbane Broncos
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Brisbane Broncos -5.5: -125, New Zealand Warriors +5.5: -105
Brisbane Broncos -5.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 48.5: -115, Under 48.5: -115
Over 48.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Brisbane Broncos -3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 48.5 8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the Broncos’ strong recent home performances and the Warriors’ mixed history against them at Suncorp, the Broncos hold a slight advantage. Expect a closely contested match with the Broncos edging out the Warriors by a narrow margin, leveraging home ground momentum and key player form.
Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 26 – 20 New Zealand Warriors
Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago, Illinois, United States
Game Overview
The PFL 2025 World Tournament Middleweight Semifinal between Dalton Rosta and Aaron Jeffery is a high-stakes rematch. Dalton Rosta, a highly explosive and technically evolved fighter known for his ground-and-pound and recent submission skills, seeks redemption after his sole career loss to Aaron Jeffery in 2023. Jeffery demonstrated superior takedown defense and clinch striking in their prior bout, neutralizing Rosta's aggressive style. This fight represents a crucial career milestone, with the winner advancing to contend for the world title.
Key Factors to Consider
Dalton Rosta holds a strong 10-1 record, including a recent impressive submission win via brabo choke, showing growth and adaptability. Aaron Jeffery is experienced at 16-5, with excellent takedown defense and clinch control, having previously stopped Rosta's momentum effectively.
In their 2023 matchup, Aaron Jeffery defeated Dalton Rosta by effectively defending takedowns and scoring points in the clinch. Rosta was undefeated then (8-0) but was outmaneuvered tactically by Jeffery.
No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the June 28 fight, both appear fully prepared and in peak condition.
The match is held at Wintrust Arena in Chicago, with both fighters motivated for a semifinal victory. Rosta is under pressure to avenge his only loss, while Jeffery aims to maintain his upper hand. The bout is a main card event with high visibility on ESPN and ESPN+.
Dalton Rosta is highly motivated seeking redemption and progression toward a world title, reflected in his intensive preparation and recent improvements. Aaron Jeffery aims to prove his previous victory was no fluke and to advance to the finals, capitalizing on his tactical advantages.
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Home 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Dalton Rosta is favored to win based on his evolution since their last fight and recent submission success, but Aaron Jeffery's superior takedown defense and clinch effectiveness ensure a highly competitive bout. The prediction leans toward Rosta by late-round submission or decision, with Jeffery likely to push for control and point accumulation early.
Predicted Score: Dalton Rosta wins via late submission or unanimous decision after three or more rounds.
The bout between Biaggio Ali Walsh and Ronnie Gibbs is a lightweight showcase fight in the 2025 PFL World Tournament 7: Semifinals. Biaggio Ali Walsh, the grandson of boxing legend Muhammad Ali, enters with a perfect 2-0 record, while Ronnie Gibbs is less experienced with a 1-0 record.
Key Factors to Consider
Biaggio Ali Walsh has had a strong start to his career, leveraging his family's boxing legacy to gain attention and support. Ronnie Gibbs is relatively new and has less exposure, which might affect his performance under pressure.
There is no head-to-head history between the two fighters.
No recent reports of injuries for either fighter.
Biaggio Ali Walsh may have an advantage due to his family name and the support from the Muslim community, which could provide psychological motivation.
Both fighters are highly motivated, but Biaggio Ali Walsh's family legacy might give him an edge in terms of external pressure and support.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-1100 for Biaggio Ali Walsh, +700 for Ronnie Gibbs
Biaggio Ali Walsh to win
★★★★☆ 80%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Biaggio Ali Walsh -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Biaggio Ali Walsh at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Biaggio Ali Walsh is likely to win based on his family legacy and the support he receives.
Predicted Score: Biaggio Ali Walsh to win by TKO in the early rounds.
Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago, Illinois, United States
Game Overview
The heavyweight semifinal bout between Valentin Moldavsky (14-4) and Alexander Romanov (19-3) is part of the 2025 PFL World Tournament 7: Semifinals event. Moldavsky, with a solid PFL record (2-1) and previous experience, faces Romanov, a former UFC contender who impressed in his PFL debut. The match is highly competitive with both fighters bringing strong grappling and submission skills to the cage.
Key Factors to Consider
Moldavsky has demonstrated consistent performance in the PFL, with a strong wrestling base and strategic pacing in fights. Romanov boasts a high finishing rate with dominant grappling and submission capability, coming off a successful UFC tenure and a strong start in PFL.
This appears to be the first competitive match between Moldavsky and Romanov, with no known previous head-to-head records.
No public or reported injuries affecting either fighter have been noted leading up to the fight.
The fight takes place in a high-stakes PFL semifinal setting at a well-known venue which can impact fighter motivation and pressure. No other external factors such as travel issues or recent controversies affect either fighter.
Both fighters have strong motivation to win, with a $500,000 prize and championship belt at stake in the tournament finals. Romanov’s recent entry and success in PFL adds extra incentive, while Moldavsky aims to maintain his steady progress and claim the title.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Alexander Romanov: 145, Valentin Moldavsky: -175
Alexander Romanov to win
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Valentin Moldavsky -1.5 rounds
Valentin Moldavsky to cover the spread
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over 2.5 rounds -120, Under 2.5 rounds +100
Under 2.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Valentin Moldavsky 54%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Valentin Moldavsky at 54% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Alexander Romanov is favored to win this bout by a methodical grappling and submission strategy, though Moldavsky’s wrestling and fight experience make it a close contest. Romanov’s momentum and finishing skills give him a slight edge in probability of victory.
Predicted Score: Romanov wins by submission in round 2