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Carlos Leal vs. Muslim Salikhov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Carlos Leal vs Muslim Salikhov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Game Overview

Carlos Leal and Muslim Salikhov meet in a welterweight MMA bout at UFC Abu Dhabi with contrasting styles and statistics. Leal is the heavy favorite with faster strike output, while Salikhov's defense and striking accuracy remain notable.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leal has a higher significant strike rate (9.65/min) and accuracy (50%) but takes more incoming strikes (7.73/min). Salikhov lands fewer strikes (3.38/min) but defends better, absorbing only 2.90 significant strikes/min and blocking 62%.
  • No direct head-to-head history between Leal and Salikhov available for this matchup, making form and style matchup critical.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Fight takes place in Abu Dhabi, neutral ground likely minimizing travel fatigue impacts. Both fighters compete professionally to advance welterweight rankings.
  • Leal is favored heavily and likely motivated to justify his status, while Salikhov as underdog aims to capitalize on defensive strengths and upset potential.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Carlos Leal -500 / Muslim Salikhov +375 Carlos Leal ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Not explicitly provided; implied -1.5 rounds for Leal Carlos Leal by more than 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds -145 / Under 1.5 rounds +115 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Carlos Leal -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Carlos Leal to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Carlos Leal wins by TKO in round 2


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Martin Buday vs. Marcus Buchecha Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Martin Buday vs Marcus Buchecha – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Undisclosed UFC venue

Game Overview

This UFC heavyweight matchup features Martin Buday, a rising striker with strong KO power and improving grappling, facing Marcus Buchecha, a decorated BJJ world champion transitioning to MMA with heavy submission skills and solid wrestling base.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Buday has shown finishing ability primarily via strikes but has mixed results against elite grapplers. Buchecha has undefeated momentum in MMA with several submission wins, showcasing his ground dominance and improving striking.
  • No previous MMA head-to-head encounters between Buday and Buchecha, making this a stylistic clash between striking power and grappling control.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the fight, both full health and training camps intact.
  • Fight location and timing neutral with no discernible home advantage. Both fighters motivated to cement UFC status in the heavyweight division.
  • Buchecha highly motivated to prove his transition from elite BJJ to MMA is legitimate at a high level. Buday motivated by knockout power and to establish striking dominance in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Marcus Buchecha: -300, Martin Buday: +250 Marcus Buchecha ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Marcus Buchecha -1.5 rounds: -150, Martin Buday +1.5 rounds: +130 Marcus Buchecha -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -122, Under 1.5 rounds: -108 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marcus Buchecha -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marcus Buchecha to win by submission

Predicted Score: Marcus Buchecha wins by submission in Round 2


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Ibo Aslan vs. Billy Elekana Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ibo Aslan vs Billy Elekana – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi

Game Overview

This UFC light heavyweight bout features Ibo Aslan, a Turkish knockout artist with high striking volume and solid defense, facing Billy Elekana, a precise striker and grappler from the USA. Aslan enters as the clear favorite with heavier volume and better defense, while Elekana is the underdog relying on precision and grappling.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ibo Aslan delivers 7.84 significant strikes per minute at 50% accuracy and defends 63% of incoming strikes. Billy Elekana connects fewer strikes (2.34 per minute) but with higher accuracy (71%) and defends only 33% of strikes against him.
  • No direct H2H matchups recorded between Aslan and Elekana, making other factors more critical in prediction.
  • No recent injury news reported for either fighter up to July 24, 2025.
  • Fight takes place at UFC Abu Dhabi, neutral ground. Both fighters appear equally acclimated with no major external influences reported.
  • Aslan seeks to rebound from his first UFC defeat to reassert dominance; Elekana aims to capitalize on underdog status with grappling skills and precision striking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ibo Aslan -258, Billy Elekana +218 Ibo Aslan ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds -115, Under 1.5 rounds -115 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ibo Aslan 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ibo Aslan wins by moneyline given striking volume, defensive edge, and favoritism in betting markets.

Predicted Score: Ibo Aslan wins via TKO/KO in Round 1 or early Round 2


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Asu Almabaev vs. Jose Ochoa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Asu Almabaev vs Jose Ochoa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Game Overview

Flyweight UFC main card fight between veteran grappler Asu Almabayev and rising prospect Jose Ochoa.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Almabayev holds a strong 21-3 record with a grappling-heavy, control-oriented style, averaging over 13 minutes per fight indicating a grind approach. Ochoa is an up-and-coming fighter fresh from a dominant KO win, with a more aggressive, fast-start style.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups; this is their first encounter, making styles and adaptability crucial.
  • No reported injuries for either athlete leading into the fight; both appear fully healthy and ready.
  • Fight takes place in a hot, dry environment (98°F forecast) in Abu Dhabi which could favor the more experienced, pace-controlling fighter used to longer fights.
  • Ochoa is highly motivated as a rising prospect aiming to make a statement, while Almabayev seeks to maintain veteran status and control the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Asu Almabayev -125, Jose Ochoa +105 Asu Almabayev ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Almabayev -3.5 -195, Ochoa +3.5 +140 Asu Almabayev -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 -195, Under 2.5 +150 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Asu Almabaev 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 50%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Asu Almabayev to win; Spread: Asu Almabayev to cover -3.5; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Almabayev wins by decision after controlling pace and grappling dominance


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Amanda Ribas vs. Tabatha Ricci Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Amanda Ribas vs Tabatha Ricci – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi

Game Overview

Amanda Ribas faces Tabatha Ricci in a UFC women's flyweight bout. Ribas has a clear physical and technical edge with a 5-inch reach advantage and better strike defense, while Ricci relies heavily on grappling but struggles against top-level wrestlers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ribas has lost three of her last four but shows strong striking accuracy (39%) and defense (stops 60% of strikes). Ricci lands a similar strike rate but absorbs significantly more (5.29/min). Ricci's recent wins were largely through wrestling, which may be neutralized by Ribas' excellent takedown defense.
  • No direct past matchups between Ribas and Ricci; Ricci's closest fight against a fighter of Ribas' caliber ended in TKO loss, suggesting difficulty handling elite opponents like Ribas.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter impacting this bout.
  • Fight takes place at UFC Abu Dhabi in Etihad Arena; no known travel or acclimatization issues for either fighter.
  • Ribas is motivated to rebound from recent losses against high-level competition, whereas Ricci aims to prove she can handle elite opponents but may be overmatched here.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ribas -200, Ricci +170 Amanda Ribas ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread No explicit -1.5 round spread odds available, inferred from fight style and odds Amanda Ribas to win by 2+ rounds clear ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -550, Under 2.5 rounds +400 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Amanda Ribas 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 250%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 250% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 62.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Amanda Ribas to win by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Amanda Ribas wins by KO/TKO in Round 2


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Da'Mon Blackshear vs. Davey Grant Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Da'Mon Blackshear vs Davey Grant – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi

Game Overview

Da'Mon Blackshear and Davey Grant meet at UFC Abu Dhabi in a bantamweight bout where Blackshear enters as a strong favorite based on recent odds and performance metrics. The fight is expected to be competitive but with a likely finish under 3 rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Blackshear (16-7) has a slight edge in significant strikes landed per minute (4.70) versus Grant (5.25) but lands a higher percentage (46% vs 44%). Grant also has better strike defense (55% deflection vs Blackshear 52%). Both fighters show durability with similar strikes absorbed per minute.
  • No direct historical matchup between the two, making form and style matchup key in analysis.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full capacity physically.
  • Fighting at home-favored venue Abu Dhabi's Etihad Arena may favor Blackshear with crowd support. The pressure to perform as the heavy favorite may affect Blackshear's approach.
  • Blackshear is motivated to justify favorite billing and progress in rankings, while Grant, as underdog, may seek an upset to revitalize career momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Da'Mon Blackshear: -330, Davey Grant: +270 Da'Mon Blackshear ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Not listed explicitly; implied -1.5 rounds favoring Blackshear Blackshear -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5 -130, Under 2.5 +100 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Da'Mon Blackshear -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Da'Mon Blackshear to win by decision

Predicted Score: Da'Mon Blackshear wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Steven Nguyen vs. Mohammad Yahya Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Steven Nguyen vs Mohammad Yahya – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Game Overview

Featherweight UFC bout between surging favorite Steven Nguyen and tough underdog Mohammad Yahya. Bookmakers strongly favor Nguyen, but expected high pace and Yahya's durability could make it a competitive fight.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Steven Nguyen is heavily favored, reflecting strong recent performances and a higher profile in the division. In contrast, Mohammad Yahya faces a steep climb as a clear underdog, though he is known for his toughness and often makes fights competitive.
  • No direct head-to-head data available. This is the first meeting between the two.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • The fight takes place in Abu Dhabi, which can introduce variables like travel, time zone, and environment, but there is no clear home edge for either fighter. Both are accustomed to international bouts.
  • Both fighters are likely highly motivated—Nguyen to solidify his contention status, and Yahya as a significant underdog looking to make a statement.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nguyen -400 / Yahya +300 Steven Nguyen ★★★★☆ 82%
Over/under Over 1.5 -200 / Under 1.5 +160 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Steven Nguyen -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 61% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Steven Nguyen wins by decision after a hard-fought, high-paced contest. Yahya’s durability keeps him in the fight, but Nguyen’s technical edge and volume earn the nod from the judges.

Predicted Score: Steven Nguyen by unanimous decision (29-28 x3)


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Marcus McGhee vs. Petr Yan Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Marcus McGhee vs Petr Yan – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi

Game Overview

This bantamweight UFC main card fight features Petr Yan, a switch fighter with a record of 18-5, against Marcus McGhee, an orthodox fighter holding a 10-1 record. Yan is a precise and aggressive striker known for a high volume and efficiency of significant strikes, while McGhee offers superior reach and slightly higher strike output but with lower accuracy. Both fighters are in prime physical condition with no notable injuries reported. The matchup is expected to be competitive with Yan as the heavy favorite due to experience and defensive capabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Petr Yan averages 5.11 significant strikes landed per minute with a 54% accuracy and defends 58% of strikes; Marcus McGhee lands more strikes per minute at 6.06 but only connects at 48%, defending 64%. Yan has fought and won more high-level fights, showing consistency in performance and adaptation.
  • No prior encounters between Yan and McGhee, making this a fresh matchup where stylistic analysis is critical.
  • No current injuries reported for either fighter, both entering fight in peak condition.
  • Fight held at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, a neutral venue with no home advantage, but Yan has previously performed well internationally. No weather or travel concerns impacting performance.
  • Yan is motivated to reestablish dominance in the bantamweight division following recent high-profile bouts. McGhee aims to make a statement with a major upset to accelerate his rising career trajectory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Marcus_McGhee: +300, Petr_Yan: -380 Petr Yan ★★★★☆ 76%
Spread Marcus_McGhee +3.5: -105, Petr_Yan -3.5: -125 Petr Yan -3.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5: -330, Under 2.5: +240 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Petr Yan -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 104%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 104% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 43.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Petr Yan to win by decision

Predicted Score: Petr Yan wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Industree Group Stadium, Gosford

Game Overview

The Rabbitohs, mired in a seven-game losing streak and struggling with injuries and defensive frailties, host the Sharks, who are pushing for a top-four finish and have rediscovered form with Nicho Hynes leading their charge. The neutral venue removes any home ground advantage, but Cronulla’s superior recent form, attacking output, and defensive solidity make them heavy favorites despite South Sydney’s desperation[1][3].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla’s attack is averaging almost 6 points more per game and their defense is significantly better, while South Sydney’s season has been derailed by injuries, especially in key spine positions, and defensive lapses[1][3].
  • Cronulla has dominated recent meetings and comes in with a stronger head-to-head record, both in terms of results and statistical matchups[1][3].
  • South Sydney’s roster has been ravaged by injuries, notably in their spine, which has compounded their on-field struggles[3].
  • Neutral venue (Gosford) and weather is not reported as a major factor; travel is not expected to impact either team significantly[1][3].
  • Cronulla is chasing a top-four finish and has clear motivation, while South Sydney is fighting for pride but lacks tangible upside in the standings[1][3].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla -435, Souths +350, Draw +2500 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread Cronulla -12.5 (-110), Souths +12.5 (-120) South Sydney Rabbitohs +12.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 47.5 (-125), Under 47.5 (-105) Under 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks are expected to win by a double-digit margin, but not in a blowout. Expect a lower-scoring, grinding game with Cronulla’s defense stifling South Sydney’s attack[1][3].

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 20 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 10


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Penrith Panthers vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

Penrith Panthers enter as strong favorites against Wests Tigers, with bookmakers heavily pricing a Panthers win. However, statistical models and recent form suggest a closer contest with a likely low scoring, defensive game given wet conditions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Panthers exhibit strong home performance with structured, clinical play, but Tigers have shown improving form and possess attacking unpredictability. Panthers average a slight edge in attack and defense but the margin is narrower than expected.
  • Panthers have dominated recent meetings, yet the Tigers remain competitive with power rankings close (Panthers 8.83 vs Tigers 10.67) and Tigers capable of challenging defensively.
  • No significant injury news reported that materially impacts either team's core lineup.
  • Match played at CommBank Stadium, a familiar venue to Panthers who treat it as a second home; weather conditions expected wet, favoring a defensive style and potentially lowering scoring.
  • Panthers aim to maintain premiership form while Tigers are motivated to upset a top-tier team and continue demonstrating improvement against strong opponents.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Penrith -420, Wests Tigers 335, Draw 2500 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Penrith -13.5 (-120), Wests Tigers +13.5 (-110) Penrith Panthers -13.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 46.5 (-125), Under 46.5 (-105) Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to win outright, cover the -13.5 spread, and the match to total under 46.5 points.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 22 – Wests Tigers 18


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