Match Analysis: Josh Hokit vs Max Gimenis – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 10:25 PM UTC
• Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Josh Hokit and Max Gimenis meet in a heavyweight bout at UFC Vegas 111 on November 8, 2025. Hokit is debuting in the UFC undefeated at 6-0, coming off a TKO win in Dana White's Contender Series, showcasing strong striking and wrestling. Gimenis is also making his UFC debut with a 6-1 record but is primarily a grappler with limited MMA exposure and is considered the underdog in this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

• Josh Hokit has demonstrated dominance in his undefeated run with finishing ability and athleticism, particularly standing out in wrestling and striking capabilities. Max Gimenis, while a solid grappler with a 6-1 record, lacks the extensive MMA finishing experience that Hokit possesses, making his performance less consistent at this level.
• This is the first career meeting between Josh Hokit and Max Gimenis, so there is no direct head-to-head data available.
• No publicly reported injuries or issues affecting either fighter have been noted leading into this bout.
• The fight occurs at UFC APEX in Las Vegas, a familiar venue for debuting fighters, minimizing travel fatigue. Both fighters debut in UFC, which might place psychological pressure, but Hokit’s momentum from recent achievements may provide an edge.
• Josh Hokit has strong motivation to make a powerful impression in his UFC debut after earning his contract with a first-round TKO, increasing his confidence and drive. Max Gimenis aims to prove his grappling skills translate at the UFC level, though as the underdog, he faces a tough challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Josh Hokit: -425, Max Gimenis: 330	Josh Hokit win	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Josh Hokit: -1.5, Max Gimenis: +1.5	Hokit to win by at least 2 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over_1.5: 120, under_1.5: -154	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Josh Hokit -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Josh Hokit is favored to win by leveraging his wrestling and striking superiority, with a high probability of a TKO or decision victory over Max Gimenis, who may struggle to impose his grappling.

Predicted Score: Hokit wins by TKO in Round 2

Match Analysis: Josh Hokit vs Guilherme Uriel – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-20
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

The fight between Josh Hokit and Guilherme Uriel is a heavyweight main card bout scheduled for Dana White's Contender Series on August 20, 2025. Both fighters are undefeated or nearly undefeated prospects with contrasting fighting styles and records, making the match highly competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

• Josh Hokit holds a perfect 5-0 record with 60% of his wins by submission and 40% by knockout, showing a balanced finishing ability in grappling and striking. Guilherme Uriel is 6-1, with a higher proportion of KO/TKO wins (three) alongside three submission victories, indicating a strong finishing skill set and slightly more experience.
• The fighters have not faced each other before, making this an intriguing first encounter lacking prior direct matchup data. Both stand at 185 cm with identical reach, leveling physical advantages.
• There is no available information on any current injuries for either Josh Hokit or Guilherme Uriel heading into the fight.
• The fight is staged on the prestigious Dana White's Contender Series platform which adds motivation for both fighters to impress for potential UFC contracts. The event date and timing are firm with no disruptions announced.
• Josh Hokit, fighting out of the Jackson Wink MMA Academy and undefeated, aims to maintain his perfect record and advance his career. Guilherme Uriel, with one loss but more professional bouts, looks to cement his status as an elite prospect by defeating a rising undefeated fighter.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Josh Hokit: -450, Guilherme Uriel: 350	Josh Hokit	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Josh Hokit -1.5 rounds: -200, Guilherme Uriel +1.5 rounds: +160	Josh Hokit -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: 120, Under 1.5 rounds: -150	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Josh Hokit -15%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Josh Hokit is favored to win given his undefeated status, balanced finishing ability, and recent form, although Guilherme Uriel’s slight experience edge and finishing power make it a competitive bout.

Predicted Score: Josh Hokit wins via submission in round 2

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Manuel Exposito vs. Jose Delano Prediction	Jose Delano Win	-425	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Louis Lee Scott vs. Kaushil Saikumar Prediction	Louis Lee Scott Win	-145	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Josh Hokit vs. Guilherme Uriel Prediction	Josh Hokit Win	-450	★★★★☆ 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +155

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $51.02

Match Analysis: Josh Hokit vs Ezekiel Latu – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-07
• Time: 4:00 AM UTC
• Location: Palms Casino Resort, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Game Overview

Josh Hokit, undefeated at 3-0, faces Ezekiel Latu, who holds a 5-3 record. Hokit's recent performances show strong submission skills, while Latu's experience could pose a challenge.

Key Factors to Consider

• Josh Hokit has demonstrated impressive submission skills in his victories, while Ezekiel Latu brings more experience to the bout.
• There is no recorded head-to-head match between Josh Hokit and Ezekiel Latu.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place in Las Vegas, which may not significantly favor either fighter due to both being from the United States.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Hokit looking to maintain his undefeated record and Latu seeking an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ezekiel Latu: 1200, Josh Hokit: -3300	Josh Hokit	★★★★☆ 85%

Predicted Outcome

Josh Hokit is likely to win due to his strong grappling background and recent performance.

Predicted Score: Josh Hokit wins via submission in Round 2.