Match Analysis: Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-10
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
Game Overview
Jacksonville State Gamecocks (2-3) visit Sam Houston State Bearkats (0-5), with the Gamecocks as a 7.5-point favorite. The Bearkats have struggled significantly this season, winless so far, while Jacksonville State is slightly better but coming off a loss.
Key Factors to Consider
- Jacksonville State holds a 2-3 record and lost their last game 42-25, showing offensive potential but some defensive weakness. Sam Houston State is 0-5 and lost 37-10 in their latest game, indicating poor offense and defense.
- No recent significant H2H data found, but current season form strongly favors Jacksonville State.
- No major injury reports publicly available for either team, suggesting both squads should be near full strength.
- Game played at Sam Houston's home Elliott T. Bowers Stadium in Huntsville, Texas, but home advantage appears minimal given Bearkats' poor home record and form.
- Jacksonville State looks motivated to improve conference standing with a positive 1-0 in CUSA play, while Sam Houston State is under pressure being winless and facing low morale.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +245, away: -300 | Jacksonville State | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Jacksonville State: -115, Sam Houston State: -105 | Jacksonville State -7.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Over/under | Over: -105, Under: -115 | Over 55.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Jacksonville State Gamecocks -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 55.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 55.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jacksonville State to win outright on the moneyline, cover the 7.5-point spread, and the game to go over the 55.5 total points.
Predicted Score: Jacksonville State 33 – Sam Houston State 21