Match Analysis: Florida International Panthers vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 8:30 PM UTC
• Location: Pitbull Stadium, Miami, Florida

Game Overview

This Conference USA matchup features the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (7-3, 6-0 CUSA) traveling to face the Florida International Panthers (5-5, 3-3 CUSA) on November 22, 2025. Both teams are trending toward bowl eligibility, with Jacksonville State leading the conference and FIU seeking a strong finish to their season. The game is expected to be competitive, with betting markets indicating a close contest and a high-scoring potential.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jacksonville State has been dominant in conference play, going 6-0 in CUSA and showing a balanced offense and defense. They have won five of their last six games, including close victories over Sam Houston and UTEP. FIU has been inconsistent, splitting their last six games, but they have shown offensive firepower, averaging 26.8 points per game. Their defense, however, ranks 101st nationally in points allowed (29.6 per game), which could be exploited by Jacksonville State's efficient attack.
• There is no recent head-to-head history between these two teams in the last five seasons. This will be a fresh matchup, with no clear psychological edge for either side.
• No major injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their starting lineups.
• The game will be played at Pitbull Stadium, FIU's home field, which could provide a slight advantage for the Panthers. Weather conditions are expected to be mild, with no significant impact on gameplay. The game will be televised on CBS Sports Network, adding to the visibility and potential pressure for both teams.
• Jacksonville State is aiming to maintain their undefeated conference record and secure a top spot in the CUSA standings. FIU is motivated to reach bowl eligibility and finish the season on a high note, especially with a chance to upset the conference leaders.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Florida International Panthers: -105, Jacksonville State Gamecocks: -115	Jacksonville State Gamecocks	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Florida International Panthers: 1.5 -115, Jacksonville State Gamecocks: -1.5 -105	Jacksonville State Gamecocks -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over: 55.5 -115, Under: 55.5 -105	Over 55.5	★★★★☆ 70%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jacksonville State Gamecocks 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 55.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 55.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jacksonville State is favored to win this matchup due to their superior conference record and recent form. However, FIU's home-field advantage and offensive capabilities make this a close contest. The game is likely to be high-scoring, with both teams capable of putting up points.

Predicted Score: Jacksonville State 31, Florida International 28

Match Analysis: Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Kennesaw State Owls – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-16
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: AmFirst Stadium, Jacksonville, Alabama

Game Overview

The Jacksonville State Gamecocks (6-3) host the Kennesaw State Owls (7-2) in a pivotal Conference USA matchup. Both teams are fighting for postseason positioning, with Kennesaw State favored by the oddsmakers. The game features contrasting offensive and defensive strengths, with Jacksonville State boasting a higher-scoring offense but a weaker defense, while Kennesaw State has a more balanced profile. The betting market is tight, with the Owls favored by 3 points and the total hovering around 54.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Kennesaw State averages 26.0 points per game (88th nationally) and allows 21.1 (30th), indicating a solid defensive foundation. Jacksonville State scores 29.9 (62nd) but concedes 26.0 (76th), suggesting vulnerability on defense. Kennesaw State has a 6-3-0 ATS record, while Jacksonville State is 4-5-0 ATS. The Owls have been consistent against the spread, while the Gamecocks have struggled, especially on the road.
• No recent head-to-head data is available for this specific matchup, but both teams have played similar competition within Conference USA. Kennesaw State’s defensive discipline may give them an edge in a close contest.
• No major injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their starting lineups.
• The game will be played at AmFirst Stadium, Jacksonville State’s home field. Weather is forecasted to be mild with no precipitation, favoring an outdoor game with minimal disruptions. The Gamecocks have a slight home-field advantage, but Kennesaw State has shown resilience on the road.
• Both teams are vying for a strong finish to the regular season, with postseason implications. Kennesaw State is looking to solidify its standing as a top team in the conference, while Jacksonville State aims to upset the Owls and boost its bowl eligibility chances.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jacksonville State Gamecocks: +142, Kennesaw State Owls: -170	Kennesaw State Owls	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Jacksonville State Gamecocks: +3 -102, Kennesaw State Owls: -3 -118	Kennesaw State Owls -3	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 54.5: -118, Under 54.5: -102	Under 54.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Kennesaw State Owls 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 54.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 54.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kennesaw State is favored due to its superior defense and consistency against the spread. Jacksonville State’s offense is potent, but its defensive weaknesses may be exploited. The game is expected to be close, with Kennesaw State likely to win by a narrow margin. The total is projected to stay under 54.5 points, as both teams have shown a tendency to keep games relatively low-scoring.

Predicted Score: Kennesaw State 29, Jacksonville State 23

Match Analysis: UTEP Miners vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Sun Bowl, El Paso, Texas

Game Overview

Conference USA rivals UTEP Miners and Jacksonville State Gamecocks meet in a pivotal late-season matchup. Jacksonville State enters with a 5-3 overall record and a perfect 4-0 in conference play, while UTEP sits at 2-6 overall and 1-3 in CUSA. The Gamecocks are favored by a narrow margin, indicating a close contest is expected. The over/under is set at 49.5 points, suggesting a moderate scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jacksonville State boasts a strong rushing attack, ranking 5th nationally with 259.4 rushing yards per game, but their passing game is weak (129th, 149.9 yards per game). Defensively, they allow 25.9 points per game (82nd) and are vulnerable against the pass (99th). UTEP has struggled offensively, averaging just 20.0 points per game, and defensively, they allow 29.5 points per game. Their most recent loss was 33-20 to Kennesaw State, while Jacksonville State narrowly won 24-21 over Middle Tennessee. Jacksonville State’s balanced offense and superior rushing attack give them a clear edge, but UTEP’s home-field advantage at the Sun Bowl could play a role.
• No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup, but both teams are in the same conference, suggesting familiarity with each other’s style of play.
• Jacksonville State has several key players listed with undisclosed injuries, including WRs Aghogho Eyafe, Colton Pitchford, Nabi Hoyt, Aramoni Rhone, and Jaden Smith, as well as RB Kam Thomas (knee), TE Judah Ezinwa, and TE Cash Cheeks (ankle). UTEP’s injury report is not detailed in available sources, but the absence of key receivers and a running back for Jacksonville State could impact their offensive production.
• The game will be played at the Sun Bowl in El Paso, Texas, which is UTEP’s home stadium. Weather conditions are expected to be mild, with no significant impact on play. The game will be broadcast on ESPN+, providing national exposure.
• Jacksonville State is fighting for a strong conference finish and potential bowl eligibility, while UTEP is looking to salvage pride after a disappointing season. Jacksonville State’s motivation to maintain their conference lead is likely higher, but UTEP will be eager to end their losing streak at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jacksonville State Gamecocks: -115, UTEP Miners: -105	Jacksonville State Gamecocks	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Jacksonville State Gamecocks: -1.5 -102, UTEP Miners: 1.5 -118	Jacksonville State Gamecocks -1.5	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	over: 49.5 -105, under: 49.5 -115	Over 49.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jacksonville State Gamecocks 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 49.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jacksonville State is favored due to their superior rushing attack and better overall record, but UTEP’s home-field advantage and Jacksonville State’s injury concerns make this a close contest. The Gamecocks are likely to win, but by a narrow margin. The total points line suggests a moderate scoring game, with both teams capable of putting up points but also showing defensive vulnerabilities.

Predicted Score: Jacksonville State 27, UTEP 24

Match Analysis: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-29
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, Tennessee

Game Overview

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-6, 0-2 CUSA) will host the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (4-3, 3-0 CUSA) in a Conference USA matchup. Jacksonville State is currently the stronger team, favored by around 6 points, with a better overall record and conference standing. The Blue Raiders have struggled this season with a 1-6 record, while the Gamecocks have shown solid offensive and defensive metrics especially in rushing, ranking in the top 3 nationally in rushing yards. The over/under is set at 54.5 points, reflecting moderately high scoring expectations.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jacksonville State has a strong rushing offense ranking 3rd nationally with 276 yards per game and scores about 30.7 points per game, while Middle Tennessee ranks poorly with a 1-6 record and has lost its last four games. Jacksonville State also has a 3-0 conference record, indicating strong performance in CUSA play. Middle Tennessee has struggled defensively, allowing significant rushing yards and points.
• No recent direct head-to-head history is explicitly detailed, but Middle Tennessee owns a historical home record with strong performance generally. This will be the first time they've met since Jacksonville State joined CUSA and the 2025 season.
• There is no specific information on injuries available for either team in the current sources.
• The game is played at Middle Tennessee’s home stadium, which could provide a slight home-field advantage despite their poor record. Weather or other disrupting external factors are not provided and presumably standard for late October in Tennessee.
• Jacksonville State is motivated to maintain conference dominance with a 3-0 record while Middle Tennessee is looking to avoid further losses at home to improve their poor record (1-6). Jacksonville State has edge as they are coming off more recent wins and better season momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jacksonville State Gamecocks: -220, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: 184	Jacksonville State Gamecocks to win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Jacksonville State Gamecocks: -5.5 -115, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: 5.5 -105	Jacksonville State to cover -5.5	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Over: 54.5 -110, Under: 54.5 -110	Over 54.5 points	★★★☆☆ 65%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jacksonville State Gamecocks -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 54.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 54.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jacksonville State Gamecocks are predicted to win, covering the spread of -5.5 points with strong confidence due to superior rushing offense, better recent form and better conference performance.

Predicted Score: Jacksonville State 34 – Middle Tennessee 24

Match Analysis: Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Delaware Blue Hens – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-15
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: AmFirst Stadium, Jacksonville

Game Overview

A midweek clash in the NCAAF featuring the Delaware Blue Hens (3-2) visiting the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (3-3), both teams seeking to solidify a winning record. Delaware brings a more consistent offense, while Jacksonville State has shown the ability to score but struggles with defensive stops. Public betting leans toward Delaware, but Jacksonville State has outperformed expectations at home in recent weeks. The game is expected to be close, making live odds tracking crucial.

Key Factors to Consider

• Delaware is 3-2, with a notable offensive performance against FIU (358 total yards, 11-of-16 on third downs). Their defense, however, ranks near the bottom in Quality Drives allowed, which could be exploited by Jacksonville State's top-35 Offensive Finishing Drives. Jacksonville State is 3-3, with a 2-3 record in their last five games but a strong home offensive showing. Their defense has been inconsistent, with the totals going OVER in 3 of the last 5 games[1][2].
• No direct historical head-to-head data available in the provided sources, but both teams have comparable records and recent form, suggesting a competitive matchup.
• No significant injury updates found in the provided sources for either team. Monitor for late-breaking news, as absence of key players could swing the game[3].
• Game is played on a Wednesday night, which can affect team preparation and public betting volume. Weather is clear (73°F, 0% rain), so field conditions should be optimal[1].
• Both teams are .500 or better and have postseason aspirations—Delaware wants to avoid a third loss, while Jacksonville State aims to get above .500. Expect high effort from both squads.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Delaware -118, Jacksonville State +102	Delaware	★★★☆☆ 53%
Spread	Delaware -2.5 (-105), Jacksonville State +2.5 (-115)	Jacksonville State (+2.5)	★★★☆☆ 51%
Over/under	Over 57.5 (-105), Under 57.5 (-115)	Over 57.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Delaware Blue Hens -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 57.5 -0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 57.5 at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Delaware’s offensive consistency and slightly better record make them a narrow favorite, but Jacksonville State’s home-field advantage and offensive efficiency in the red zone mean they can’t be overlooked. The game is likely to be decided by a field goal or less, with the over being a reasonable play given both teams' recent scoring trends. Delaware wins a close, high-scoring affair, 31–28.

Predicted Score: Delaware 31, Jacksonville State 28

Match Analysis: Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-09
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Sam Houston State Home Stadium

Game Overview

The upcoming American college football game features Sam Houston State Bearkats hosting the Jacksonville State Gamecocks. Jacksonville State enters with a 2-3 overall record but 1-0 in conference play, while Sam Houston State is struggling at 0-5 overall and 0-2 in conference. Jacksonville State is favored due to their superior recent performance and conference standing.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sam Houston State has not won this season and is 0-5 overall, including 0-2 in Conference USA. Jacksonville State has a 2-3 overall record with a better conference start at 1-0, indicating stronger and more consistent play.
• No recent head-to-head results are clearly provided, but Jacksonville State's favored status and better conference record imply dominance in past or similar matchups.
• No specific injury data is available for either team in the current information, suggesting no major absences reported.
• The game is at Sam Houston State's home venue, which could slightly benefit them, but their poor season form and Jacksonville State's momentum outweigh this advantage.
• Jacksonville State's motivation is likely high to maintain a positive conference record, while Sam Houston, struggling to find any wins, is likely under pressure to improve but may be demoralized.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jacksonville State Gamecocks: -295, Sam Houston State Bearkats: 240	Jacksonville State Gamecocks to win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Jacksonville State Gamecocks: -7.5 -114, Sam Houston State Bearkats: 7.5 -106	Jacksonville State to cover -7.5 spread	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over: 55.5 -105, Under: 55.5 -115	Over 55.5 total points	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jacksonville State Gamecocks -12%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 55.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 55.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jacksonville State Gamecocks are predicted to win this match confidently, covering the 7.5-point spread. The total points are likely to exceed the 55.5 line, as Jacksonville State's offense is expected to outperform Sam Houston's defense significantly.

Predicted Score: Jacksonville State 35 – Sam Houston State 17

Top EV Parlay for American Football – October 9, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Sam Houston State Bearkats vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks Prediction	Over 55.5	-105	17%
Tulane Green Wave vs. East Carolina Pirates Prediction	Under 53.5	-108	16%
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Prediction	Under 45.5	-110	15%

Combined Odds: +618 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $143.57

Match Analysis: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: M.M. Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, Mississippi

Game Overview

The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles face the Jacksonville State Gamecocks in a closely contested NCAAF matchup where both teams enter with 2-2 records. Southern Miss is the home favorite by 4 points with the over/under set at 54.5. Southern Miss recently lost 30-20 to Louisiana Tech, while Jacksonville State secured a strong 45-10 victory over Murray State in their most recent games.

Key Factors to Consider

• Southern Miss has struggled slightly with a recent loss, while Jacksonville State's convincing win shows they can produce high offensive output. Both teams are 2-2 overall but Southern Miss has a slight edge at home.
• There is limited recent head-to-head data available, but odds and predictions suggest Southern Miss as a modest favorite due to home advantage.
• No significant injury reports were found for either team impacting this game.
• Weather at kickoff is favorable with 80°F and 0% rain forecasted, minimizing environmental impact. Southern Miss has 100% public betting backing on the moneyline, indicating strong public confidence.
• Jacksonville State is motivated to defy odds as 4-point underdogs and build on recent momentum, while Southern Miss aims to rebound from a recent defeat on home turf.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jacksonville State Gamecocks: +154, Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles: -185	Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Jacksonville State Gamecocks: +4 (-110), Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles: -4 (-110)	Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles -4	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 54.5 (-115), Under: 54.5 (-105)	Over 54.5 points	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 54.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 54.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles win narrowly by covering the spread due to home field advantage, but Jacksonville State’s strong recent offensive showing suggests a competitive, moderately high-scoring game.

Predicted Score: Southern Mississippi 31 – Jacksonville State 27

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Match Analysis: Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Murray State Racers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 11:07 PM UTC
• Location: AmFirst Stadium, Jacksonville, AL

Game Overview

The NCAA College Football game between Jacksonville State Gamecocks and Murray State Racers is set at AmFirst Stadium. Jacksonville State is heavily favored, showing stronger performance metrics and home advantage, while Murray State enters as a significant underdog in this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jacksonville State holds a 1-2 season record but has demonstrated solid performances with a 9-4 ATS record over their last 13 games, evidencing consistent competitiveness. Murray State is 0-3 this season and has struggled both overall and against the spread.
• Recent direct matchups have favored Jacksonville State decisively, with the Gamecocks winning comfortably and covering large spreads, highlighting a historical dominance in this pairing.
• No significant injuries reported for either team affecting starters or key rotational players entering this game.
• The game is at Jacksonville State’s home venue, AmFirst Stadium, likely providing crowd support and familiar conditions. Weather conditions are mild, approximately 69°F, not expected to impact play significantly.
• Jacksonville State aims to rebound from a current 1-2 record and capitalize on home advantage, while Murray State looks to salvage an unbeaten confidence but faces a motivational challenge due to the current form gap.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jacksonville State: -50000, Murray State: +5500	Jacksonville State Win	★★★★★ 98%
Spread	Jacksonville State: -35.5 -122, Murray State: +35.5 100	Jacksonville State to cover -35.5 points spread	★★★★★ 90%
Over/under	over: 60.5 -110, under: 60.5 -110	Under 60.5 points total	★★★★☆ 70%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 60.5 -99%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jacksonville State is strongly favored to win by a large margin, expected to dominate Murray State given disparities in team quality, form, and home advantages.

Predicted Score: Jacksonville State 31 – Murray State 8

Match Analysis: Georgia Southern Eagles vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Allen E. Paulson Stadium, Statesboro, Georgia

Game Overview

The Georgia Southern Eagles (0-2) host the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (1-1) in an early-season FCS matchup. Georgia Southern enters as a 3.5-point favorite, looking to rebound from a heavy loss to USC, while Jacksonville State comes off a victory over Liberty. The contest is expected to be competitive with a moderately high total projected.

Key Factors to Consider

• Georgia Southern is 0-2, having suffered a notably lopsided 59-20 loss to USC in their last game, indicating struggles on both sides of the ball. Jacksonville State is 1-1, coming off a solid 34-24 win against Liberty, showing a more effective offense and better recent form.
• While specific historical head-to-head data is limited in current sources, the home field advantage at Allen E. Paulson Stadium typically benefits Georgia Southern. The teams appear evenly matched but Georgia Southern’s home status and FBS heritage could be factors.
• No explicit injury updates are available from the provided sources, suggesting no major known absences impacting starters for either team at this time.
• Game played at Georgia Southern’s home stadium with family weekend and 'Little Eagles Day' celebrations likely boosting home crowd motivation. Broadcast on ESPN+ with good visibility.
• Georgia Southern looks to avoid an 0-3 start and regain confidence after a heavy defeat, increasing their urgency. Jacksonville State aims to upset and build momentum with a second consecutive win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Georgia Southern: -175, Jacksonville State: 145	Georgia Southern to win	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Georgia Southern: -3.5 (-108), Jacksonville State: +3.5 (-112)	Georgia Southern to cover -3.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 58.5 (-115), Under: 58.5 (-105)	Under 58.5	★★★☆☆ 57%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Georgia Southern Eagles 54%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 58.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Georgia Southern Eagles at 54% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Georgia Southern is favored to win narrowly given home field advantage and FBS status despite a rough start, but Jacksonville State’s recent performance makes an upset plausible. Expect a moderately close game with a final in the mid to high 20s for both.

Predicted Score: Georgia Southern 27 – Jacksonville State 24