Match Analysis: Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-09
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Sam Houston State Home Stadium
Game Overview
The upcoming American college football game features Sam Houston State Bearkats hosting the Jacksonville State Gamecocks. Jacksonville State enters with a 2-3 overall record but 1-0 in conference play, while Sam Houston State is struggling at 0-5 overall and 0-2 in conference. Jacksonville State is favored due to their superior recent performance and conference standing.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sam Houston State has not won this season and is 0-5 overall, including 0-2 in Conference USA. Jacksonville State has a 2-3 overall record with a better conference start at 1-0, indicating stronger and more consistent play.
- No recent head-to-head results are clearly provided, but Jacksonville State's favored status and better conference record imply dominance in past or similar matchups.
- No specific injury data is available for either team in the current information, suggesting no major absences reported.
- The game is at Sam Houston State's home venue, which could slightly benefit them, but their poor season form and Jacksonville State's momentum outweigh this advantage.
- Jacksonville State's motivation is likely high to maintain a positive conference record, while Sam Houston, struggling to find any wins, is likely under pressure to improve but may be demoralized.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jacksonville State Gamecocks: -295, Sam Houston State Bearkats: 240 | Jacksonville State Gamecocks to win | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Spread | Jacksonville State Gamecocks: -7.5 -114, Sam Houston State Bearkats: 7.5 -106 | Jacksonville State to cover -7.5 spread | โ โ โ โโ 68% |
| Over/under | Over: 55.5 -105, Under: 55.5 -115 | Over 55.5 total points | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jacksonville State Gamecocks -12% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 55.5 17% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 55.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jacksonville State Gamecocks are predicted to win this match confidently, covering the 7.5-point spread. The total points are likely to exceed the 55.5 line, as Jacksonville State's offense is expected to outperform Sam Houston's defense significantly.
Predicted Score: Jacksonville State 35 – Sam Houston State 17