Match Analysis: Inter Miami CF vs Nashville SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale
Game Overview
This MLS playoff decider features Inter Miami CF hosting Nashville SC. Inter Miami leads the season series and has stronger recent form, making them slight favorites at home in a high-stakes match.
Key Factors to Consider
- Inter Miami holds a better season record (19-7-8) compared to Nashville (16-12-6) and won the latest matchup 2-1 on the road. Miami showed strong home performance this season and scores consistently.
- Recent meetings show high probability of both teams scoring, with Inter Miami narrowly ahead in results. Both teams scored in 9 of the last 10 encounters.
- No major injuries reported that would significantly impact starting lineups for either side.
- Match played at Inter Miami's home stadium, providing them home advantage with strong fan support. Weather expected to be favorable, no reported external disruptions.
- This playoff game is decisive; Inter Miami is motivated to leverage home advantage to avoid elimination, while Nashville aims to upset away but faces pressure as underdogs.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -197, away: 426, draw: 408 | Inter Miami CF | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | Inter Miami CF: -122, Nashville SC: 102 | Inter Miami CF -1 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: -102, Under: -118 | Over 3.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Inter Miami CF 4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3.5 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Inter Miami CF to win on the moneyline, with a spread bet on Inter Miami -1, and a prediction of over 3.5 goals scored in the match.
Predicted Score: 3-1