Match Analysis: Josh Hokit vs Guilherme Uriel – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-20
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Dana White's Contender Series – Heavyweight Division
Game Overview
Heavyweight division MMA bout between American Josh Hokit and Brazilian Guilherme Uriel on Dana White's Contender Series.
Key Factors to Consider
- Josh Hokit is heavily favored with a significant recent form advantage and dominant wrestling skills, while Guilherme Uriel has shown decent but less consistent results in previous LFA and Dana White contests.
- No recorded direct past matchups between the two fighters.
- No reported injuries for either fighter entering this bout; both are expected to compete at full health.
- Fight takes place under Dana White's Contender Series spotlight, providing high motivation especially for Hokit who has previously demonstrated strong performances in this environment.
- Josh Hokit appears highly motivated to leverage his wrestling and secure a win to advance his UFC prospects; Uriel may be motivated but is the underdog facing a tough stylistic matchup.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Josh Hokit: -450, Guilherme Uriel: +350 | Josh Hokit | ★★★★☆ 82% |
| Spread | Josh Hokit -1.5: -120, Guilherme Uriel +1.5: +100 | Josh Hokit -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5: +120, Under 1.5: -150 | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Josh Hokit -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 13% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Josh Hokit win. Spread: Josh Hokit by -1.5 rounds. Over/Under: Under 1.5 rounds.
Predicted Score: Josh Hokit wins by decision or late stoppage before round 2