Match Analysis: Josh Hokit vs Guilherme Uriel – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-20
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Dana White's Contender Series
Game Overview
The fight between Josh Hokit and Guilherme Uriel is a heavyweight main card bout scheduled for Dana White's Contender Series on August 20, 2025. Both fighters are undefeated or nearly undefeated prospects with contrasting fighting styles and records, making the match highly competitive.
Key Factors to Consider
- Josh Hokit holds a perfect 5-0 record with 60% of his wins by submission and 40% by knockout, showing a balanced finishing ability in grappling and striking. Guilherme Uriel is 6-1, with a higher proportion of KO/TKO wins (three) alongside three submission victories, indicating a strong finishing skill set and slightly more experience.
- The fighters have not faced each other before, making this an intriguing first encounter lacking prior direct matchup data. Both stand at 185 cm with identical reach, leveling physical advantages.
- There is no available information on any current injuries for either Josh Hokit or Guilherme Uriel heading into the fight.
- The fight is staged on the prestigious Dana White's Contender Series platform which adds motivation for both fighters to impress for potential UFC contracts. The event date and timing are firm with no disruptions announced.
- Josh Hokit, fighting out of the Jackson Wink MMA Academy and undefeated, aims to maintain his perfect record and advance his career. Guilherme Uriel, with one loss but more professional bouts, looks to cement his status as an elite prospect by defeating a rising undefeated fighter.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Josh Hokit: -450, Guilherme Uriel: 350 | Josh Hokit | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Josh Hokit -1.5 rounds: -200, Guilherme Uriel +1.5 rounds: +160 | Josh Hokit -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds: 120, Under 1.5 rounds: -150 | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Josh Hokit -15% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 -0% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Josh Hokit is favored to win given his undefeated status, balanced finishing ability, and recent form, although Guilherme Uriel’s slight experience edge and finishing power make it a competitive bout.
Predicted Score: Josh Hokit wins via submission in round 2