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Grêmio vs. Vitoria Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Vitoria – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena do Grêmio

Game Overview

Grêmio hosts Vitória in a Brasileiro Série A clash at Arena do Grêmio, with Grêmio favored by bookmakers but Vitória showing resilience in recent encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio shows moderate home form (4-5-3), recently inconsistent with a 6-7-9 overall record; Vitória struggles away (0-5-7) with a weaker overall form of 4-10-10.
  • Historically competitive but Vitória has not secured away victories recently against Grêmio, with draws and home wins dominating results.
  • No specific injury information available from data; assume standard squad availability for both teams.
  • Match at Grêmio’s home ground grants usual home advantage; no notable external disruptions reported.
  • Grêmio likely more motivated to secure points at home to improve standings; Vitória has motivation challenges on the road with a poor away record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Grêmio -127, Vitória +370, Draw +260 Grêmio ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Grêmio -0.75 103, Vitória +75 -123 Grêmio -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25 -115, Under 2.25 -105 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Grêmio 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Grêmio win; Spread: Grêmio -0.75; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Grêmio vs. Botafogo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Botafogo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-24
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena do Grêmio

Game Overview

A Brasileirão Serie A match featuring mid-table Grêmio hosting Botafogo, a slightly more in-form team struggling for consistency. The game is poised to be competitive with both sides capable of scoring but showing defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo holds a better recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 matches versus Grêmio's 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 7. Botafogo also has a more positive goal difference recently and better away resilience.
  • Recent H2H matches show an edge for Botafogo with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss against Grêmio in the last 5 meetings, including a recent away win. Matches tend to be low-scoring but competitive.
  • Grêmio has some key defensive absences which may weaken their back line, while Botafogo has a relatively fit squad with no major injuries reported.
  • The game is at Grêmio’s home Arena do Grêmio, potentially boosting their performance. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral with no significant impact.
  • Botafogo is slightly more motivated aiming for higher table positions and to consolidate form, while Grêmio is mid-table with less immediate pressure but inconsistent form may affect confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 155 Botafogo ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Botafogo 0 -125 Botafogo +0 (Draw No Bet) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25 102 Over 2.25 Goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Botafogo 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Botafogo at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo moneyline

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Internacional vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Internacional vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre, Brazil

Game Overview

This Brasileirão matchup sees local rivals Internacional and Grêmio face off at Estadio Beira-Rio, with both sides showing mid-table form and cautious, defensive styles in recent games. The fixture is typically tight, underscored by recent low-scoring results and closely contested encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Internacional has a slightly better seasonal record (7-6-9) and strong home form (5-2-4), while Grêmio struggles away (2-3-6). Both teams have similar points tally (27 vs 25). Both sides tend to play defensively, reflected in a trend toward under 2.5 goals in their recent matches.
  • Historically, matches between these teams tend to be tight, often low scoring, with no clear dominance. Recent H2H results do not indicate a strong edge for either team, increasing the probability of a close contest.
  • No significant injury updates impacting key starters reported for either side, suggesting both teams will field strong lineups.
  • The game is played at Internacional's home stadium, which should offer a slight advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be standard, with no adverse impacts foreseen.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their league standings; Internacional aims to capitalize on home advantage, whereas Grêmio seeks to rescue points from away challenges. The importance of local rivalry adds intensity but also caution.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Internacional: -116, Draw: +245, Grêmio: +325 Internacional ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Internacional -0.5: -115, Grêmio +50: -105 Internacional -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Internacional 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Internacional win; Spread: Internacional -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Grêmio vs. Mirassol Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Mirassol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Grêmio Home Stadium

Game Overview

Grêmio hosts Mirassol in a Brazilian Campeonato clash featuring two teams with contrasting recent forms and injury challenges. Grêmio has struggled to maintain consistency at home, while Mirassol demonstrated stronger overall form this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio has 6 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses this season with a -6 goal difference, struggling defensively at home. Mirassol holds a better record with 7 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses and +10 goal difference, showing resilience especially on the road.
  • Recent H2H favors Mirassol, who won 4-1 at home earlier this year and have been generally more successful in past encounters this season.
  • Grêmio faces key absences including midfielders Villasanti (season out), Camilo (muscle injury), and Balbuena (broken ankle). Mirassol has less critical injury concerns, giving them an edge in squad depth and fitness.
  • No significant external factors such as weather or travel disruptions reported; Grêmio plays at home but their recent home form is weak.
  • Mirassol motivated to consolidate higher league standing while Grêmio fights to distance themselves from relegation-threatened positions, potentially increasing pressure on home side.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Grêmio +129, Mirassol +230, Draw +205 Mirassol ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Grêmio -0.25 -105, Mirassol +25 -115 Mirassol +0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.25 -110, Under 2.25 -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mirassol 39%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirassol at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mirassol Moneyline

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Flamengo vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Flamengo vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio do Maracana

Game Overview

Flamengo hosts Grêmio in the 22nd round of the Brazilian Serie A at Estadio do Maracana. Flamengo is in strong form at home with a potent offense and a tight defense, while Grêmio shows significantly weaker away stats and less scoring ability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo has scored 16 goals in their last 5 matches and kept the most clean sheets in the league (12). They average 2.3 goals per home game and concede only 0.47. Grêmio has scored 5 goals in the last 5 matches and averages just 1.0 goals per away match while having a weaker defensive record.
  • Historically, Flamengo leads with 22 wins vs 16 for Grêmio in 48 meetings. Recent form shows Flamengo winning 4/5, with strong defensive and offensive stats. The teams have had generally tight scoring affairs with Flamengo slightly dominant.
  • No significant injuries reported for Flamengo or Grêmio that strongly impact starting lineups or key players at this time.
  • Match played at Flamengo's home stadium, Maracana, known for strong home support and intimidating atmosphere for visitors. Scheduled kick-off favors teams well-prepared in the early evening.
  • Flamengo, fighting for a top league position, shows high motivation. Grêmio struggles on the road and is likely motivated to reduce the gap but is underdogs here.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Flamengo: -400, Grêmio: 1000, Draw: 460 Flamengo ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Flamengo -1.5: -120, Grêmio +1.5: 100 Flamengo -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.75: 102, Under 2.75: -122 Under 2.75 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo to win the match outright with a clean sheet and a relatively low scoring game under 2.75 total goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Grêmio vs. Ceará Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Ceará – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Brazil

Game Overview

Grêmio hosts Ceará in a Brasileirão Betano match where Grêmio currently ranks 15th and Ceará 10th. Recent encounters and their current standings show Ceará with a slight edge in form and points, but Grêmio plays at home, which is a strong factor.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio has 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses in their last 10 matches but a poor defense conceding 25 goals. Ceará has 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring 19 and conceding 19, indicating better balance and recent results.
  • Historical H2H is balanced with 6 wins each and 2 draws in 14 encounters, though Ceará won their last meeting 2-0. At home, Grêmio tends to perform better but has struggled defensively against Ceará.
  • There is no publicized major injury impacting either side significantly that would alter the core line-ups.
  • Playing at Arena do Grêmio provides a home advantage for Grêmio. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral and not favoring any side.
  • Both teams are mid-table with Ceará slightly better positioned, possibly giving Ceará more motivation to maintain or improve league standing; Grêmio aims to leverage home advantage to gather crucial points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Grêmio: 101, Draw: 212, Ceará: 305 Grêmio ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Grêmio -0.5: 102, Ceará +50: -122 Grêmio -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Grêmio 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Grêmio at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Grêmio win; Spread: Grêmio -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Atletico Mineiro vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Brazil

Game Overview

Atletico Mineiro hosts Grêmio in a high-stakes Brasileirão Serie A clash. Both teams have a rich history with Grêmio historically holding a slight edge in head-to-head wins. Atletico Mineiro is mid-table but playing at home with a strong defensive record recently, while Grêmio fights to climb from a lower position and has been unbeaten in their last five matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atletico Mineiro has 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and conceding 1.0 per game. Grêmio is unbeaten in their last 5 with 2 wins and 3 draws, scoring and conceding roughly 1.4 goals per match each.
  • Historically, Grêmio leads with 19 wins vs 13 for Atletico Mineiro in 39 meetings, though recent seasons are more balanced with Grêmio 14 wins, Atletico 10, and 6 draws in 30 matches. Neither team has drawn in their last 7 meetings, suggesting a decisive result is probable.
  • Predicted lineups are not yet available, but no significant injuries have been reported affecting key players for either side before this matchup.
  • Match is played at Atletico Mineiro's modern Arena MRV, giving them a home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are not expected to be adverse.
  • Atletico Mineiro sits mid-table needing points to push for a higher finish, while Grêmio is motivated to escape the lower ranks and could play aggressively to secure a positive away result.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro: -139, Grêmio: 390, Draw: 260 Atletico Mineiro ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Atletico Mineiro -0.75: -105, Grêmio +75: -115 Atletico Mineiro -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -105 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atletico Mineiro to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.75 handicap, with a moderately low scoring game under 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Grêmio vs. Sport Recife Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Sport Recife – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Grêmio's home stadium

Game Overview

This Campeonato Brazil matchup features Grêmio hosting Sport Recife. Grêmio has a marginally stronger recent form at home with slightly better defensive stats, while Sport Recife has shown resilience with a solid recent winning record and a low rate of conceding goals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio's recent form shows moderate attacking power with an average of ~1.32 goals scored and a solid defense conceding around 0.68 per match. Sport Recife averages 1.6 goals scored and only about 0.8 conceded in their recent matches, indicating a balanced team performance.
  • Across about 24 to 25 previous encounters, Grêmio has won approximately 7-8 matches while Sport Recife has won around 10. The teams tend to have moderately high scoring games (~2.9 goals per match historically). Recent H2H is fairly balanced with slight edge to Sport Recife in wins.
  • No specific recent injury data available for key players on either side, so full-strength line-ups are assumed.
  • Match played at Grêmio's home ground, giving them home advantage. No unusual external factors impacting match conditions have been reported.
  • Both teams are motivated to gain points in the league; Sport Recife has been on a better recent streak which could boost confidence, while Grêmio aims to leverage home advantage to recover points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -115, away: 340, draw: 250 Grêmio ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Grêmio -0.5: -115, Sport Recife +50: -105 Grêmio -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over 2.25: 105, under 2.25: -125 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Grêmio 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Grêmio to win moneyline and cover -0.5 spread with under 2.25 goals total.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Fluminense vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-03
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Fluminense hosts Grêmio in a Brasileirão Betano clash with both teams showing mixed form but Fluminense holding home advantage and a higher league standing (6th vs 11th). Historically, Grêmio has more wins in direct encounters but recent results show close competitive matches with a trend of draws lately.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fluminense averages 1.60 goals per match at home, with 76.19% of home games having over 1.5 goals; Grêmio averages 1.44 goals per match away, with 82.35% of away games over 1.5 goals. Overall scoring suggests a moderately attacking game.
  • Across 52 matches, Grêmio leads with 25 wins to Fluminense's 13, while 14 ended in draws. Recent streak shows two consecutive draws, indicating closely matched contests.
  • No specific injury data provided, but assume typical squad availability for both sides given current information.
  • Playing at Maracanã gives Fluminense a strong home support advantage; weather and pitch conditions are standard for Rio in August.
  • Fluminense, being higher in the table, has motivation to secure points at home to maintain or improve league standing, whereas Grêmio may be motivated to upset higher-ranked opponents and climb from 11th

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fluminense: -125, Draw: 250, Grêmio: 370 Fluminense ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Fluminense -0.5: -120, Grêmio +50: 100 Fluminense -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fluminense 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fluminense at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fluminense to win on the moneyline and cover the -0.5 spread; expect a moderately high scoring game over 2 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – August 2, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Mirassol vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Mirassol Win 100 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)
Fluminense vs. Grêmio Prediction Fluminense Win -125 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Sport Recife vs. Bahia Prediction Bahia Win 145 ★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +782

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $176.4

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