Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Prediction NFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-07
  • Time: 8:25 PM UTC
  • Location: Lambeau Field

Game Overview

The Green Bay Packers host the Detroit Lions in Week 1 of the 2025 NFL season in a divisional NFC North clash. Green Bay is favored at home despite the Lions' recent success against them, including two wins last season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Green Bay shows moderate preseason form with a 2-1 record and balanced offense and defense metrics. Detroit is coming off a strong season with a 1-3 preseason but showed ability to dominate Green Bay in key moments last season.
  • Detroit won both 2024 regular season matchups against Green Bay, including a notable halftime lead and a last-second field goal win. This suggests a competitive edge for the Lions despite Packers' home advantage.
  • No significant injury reports affecting starters for either team were reported; key players like Jordan Love, Rashan Gary, and Xavier McKinney remain healthy for Green Bay, with Aidan Hutchinson returning for Detroit.
  • Playing at historic Lambeau Field provides Green Bay a classic home-field advantage. Weather conditions in early September likely mild, minimizing environmental impacts.
  • Detroit aims for a third consecutive NFC North title and their first Super Bowl, driving high motivation. Green Bay seeks to reassert dominance after last year’s losses to the Lions, also highly motivated to start strong.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Detroit Lions: +114, Green Bay Packers: -134 Green Bay Packers ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Detroit Lions: -118, Green Bay Packers: -104 Green Bay Packers -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 47.5: -110, Under 47.5: -110 Under 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Green Bay Packers 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Green Bay Packers moneyline

Predicted Score: Green Bay Packers 24 – Detroit Lions 20


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