Match Analysis: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
Game Overview
The Jacksonville Jaguars host the Los Angeles Chargers in a pivotal AFC matchup on November 16, 2025. Both teams are in the thick of the playoff race, with the Chargers leading the AFC West and the Jaguars fighting for a wild card spot. The game is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with both offenses capable of putting up points but also showing vulnerabilities on defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Chargers enter the game with a 7-3 record, boasting a balanced offense led by Justin Herbert and a defense that has improved over the season. The Jaguars are 5-4, with a strong running game and a defense that has struggled at times, particularly against the pass. Both teams have shown the ability to win close games, but the Chargers have been more consistent.
- The Chargers have won the last two meetings between these teams, including a close victory in 2024. Historically, the Chargers have a slight edge in the series, but the Jaguars have been competitive in recent matchups.
- Both teams are relatively healthy, with no major injuries reported. The Chargers' offensive line has been solid, while the Jaguars' secondary has some depth concerns.
- The game will be played in Jacksonville, where the Jaguars have a strong home-field advantage. The weather is expected to be mild, with no significant impact on the game.
- The Chargers are motivated to maintain their lead in the AFC West, while the Jaguars are fighting for a playoff spot. Both teams have a lot at stake, which could lead to a high-intensity game.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jacksonville Jaguars: 130, Los Angeles Chargers: -155 | Los Angeles Chargers | โ โ โ โ โ 70% |
| Spread | Jacksonville Jaguars: 3 -118, Los Angeles Chargers: -3 -102 | Los Angeles Chargers -3 | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 43.5 -115, Under: 43.5 -105 | Over 43.5 | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Los Angeles Chargers -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 43.5 3% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 43.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Chargers are favored to win this game, but the Jaguars are capable of pulling off an upset at home. The game is expected to be close, with the Chargers' offense having the edge.
Predicted Score: Los Angeles Chargers 27, Jacksonville Jaguars 24