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Gil Vicente vs. CF Estrela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Gil Vicente vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Game Overview

Gil Vicente, sitting 5th in the league, hosts struggling CF Estrela, who are near the bottom with just 7 points. Gil Vicente has recently begun to stabilize results after a period of inconsistency, while Estrela Amadora has shown little attacking threat and defensive fragility on the road. The historical matchup is close, but Gil Vicente’s home advantage and current form could prove decisive.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gil Vicente averages 1 goal scored and 1.52 conceded per game, showing inconsistency, but has collected 13 points to Estrela’s 7. Estrela Amadora averages just 0.83 goals scored and concedes 1.46 per game, with frequent goal droughts (11 failures to score in 24 games). Recent matches show Gil Vicente with 2 wins in last 5, Estrela 1 win in last 5. Gil Vicente has a better recent record in terms of points and clean sheets[1][2].
  • Direct H2H record is very close: last 8 meetings (all competitions since 2003) show 2 wins each, 4 draws[3]. However, in their last three meetings (since 2024), Gil Vicente won 1-0 at home, lost 0-1 away, and drew 1-1 at home[4]. Recent clashes suggest home advantage is meaningful, but away wins are still possible. Over 75% of these games have seen under 2.25 goals[3].
  • No major injury news reported for either side. Both teams have played with regular lineups recently.
  • No significant external factors (weather, travel, etc.) identified. Crowd support likely favors Gil Vicente at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos.
  • Gil Vicente is chasing a European spot with a chance to solidify their position. Estrela Amadora is fighting relegation, but their poor form and lack of potency away from home are major concerns. Motivation exists for both, but Estrela's recent performances suggest limited upside.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gil Vicente -146 | Estrela 415 | Draw 265 Gil Vicente ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Gil Vicente -0.75 -110 | Estrela +75 -110 Gil Vicente -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25 100 | Under 2.25 -120 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gil Vicente -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gil Vicente to continue their upward trend at home, leveraging their better squad depth and stronger recent results. Expect another low-scoring affair: under 2.25 goals is likely; any clear winner is likely to be Gil Vicente, though a draw is possible if Estrela defends resolutely.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Benfica vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Benfica vs Gil Vicente – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-26
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Game Overview

Benfica, currently 2nd in Liga Portugal, hosts Gil Vicente, a mid-table team with recent strong away performances. Benfica is in excellent form at home and boasts a historic dominance over Gil Vicente.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica has a strong recent form with 4 wins and 1 draw in last 5 matches, scoring an average of 3.4 goals per game. Gil Vicente showed solid away form with 2 wins in last 3 away games but averages only 1 goal per game.
  • Benfica has won 19 of the last 24 meetings and has outscored Gil Vicente 59 to 16 in these games. Recent meetings show dominant wins for Benfica, including a 5-1 home victory last year.
  • Benfica has 3 key injuries: Alexander Bah, Bruma, and Manu Silva. Gil Vicente has no unavailable players.
  • Match played at Benfica's home ground, where they have a strong winning history and higher average goal margin.
  • Benfica aims to solidify their position for UEFA Champions League qualification, providing strong motivation. Gil Vicente looks to maintain good form but motivation is lower by comparison.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -400, away: +1000, draw: +450 Home Win ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread home_-1.75: -102, away_+1.75: -118 Home -1.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over_2.75: -125, under_2.75: +105 Over 2.75 Goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica 725%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Benfica at 725% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 72.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 26, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 26, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Benfica vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Benfica -400 725%
Strasbourg vs. Marseille Prediction Strasbourg 240 53%
Bayern Munich vs. Werder Bremen Prediction Over 4.25 -115 31%

Combined Odds: +695 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $158.91

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Gil Vicente vs. Estoril Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Gil Vicente vs Estoril – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Game Overview

Gil Vicente hosts Estoril in a closely matched Primeira Liga game where Gil Vicente sit 6th with solid recent form, while Estoril are 10th but have shown strong attacking tendencies. Both teams have similar historical performances and average goals per match hover around 2.6.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gil Vicente have won 3 of their last 5 matches with a moderate scoring rate (~1 goal per match) but concede more, having not kept a clean sheet recently. Estoril are in better recent form offensively, winning 4 and drawing 1 of their last 5 and scoring 1.6 goals per game.
  • Historically, Estoril hold a slight edge in wins (10 to Gil Vicente’s 9) over 27 games since 2004. Recent encounters are balanced with 8 matches splitting 2 home wins, 3 away wins, and 3 draws. Last meeting ended 2-1 to Estoril away.
  • No notable injuries reported impacting starting lineups for either side.
  • The match is at Gil Vicente’s home ground, Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, which tends to provide home advantage. No unusual external conditions reported.
  • Gil Vicente aim to stabilize top-half position with home advantage motivating them. Estoril seek to climb from 10th with recent good form fueling confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gil Vicente: +129, Draw: +205, Estoril: +235 Gil Vicente ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Gil Vicente -0.25: -105, Estoril +25: -115 Gil Vicente -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: -130, Under 2: +110 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gil Vicente 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gil Vicente to win (Moneyline), Gil Vicente -0.25 spread, Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Braga vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Braga vs Gil Vicente – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga

Game Overview

Sporting Braga hosts Gil Vicente in a tightly contested Ligue Portugal fixture, with Braga currently ranked 6th and Gil Vicente close behind at 7th. Braga has stronger historical dominance in head-to-head matches, whereas Gil Vicente shows mixed form recently.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Braga has won 2 and drawn 2 in their last 4 matches, conceding very few goals (0.4 goals conceded per match). Gil Vicente has won 2, lost 1, and drawn 1 recently, scoring less and conceding more (1.4 goals conceded per match).
  • Braga has a dominant record over Gil Vicente in past meetings: 18 wins in 32 matches, including 15 wins in their last 24 encounters. Braga scores on average 1.7 goals per game against Gil Vicente’s 0.7 and concedes only 0.7 compared to Gil Vicente’s 1.7.
  • No significant injury reports identified that would affect starting lineups for either side.
  • The match is played at Braga’s home ground, giving them a home advantage. Both teams are similarly motivated given their close league positions but Braga’s home advantage is a key factor.
  • Braga aims to solidify their position in the top 6 to challenge for European spots, whereas Gil Vicente looks to climb higher in the table. Braga’s slightly better recent form and stronger past results suggest higher motivation to secure a win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Braga: -213, Gil Vicente: 575, Draw: 320 Braga ★★★★☆ 76%
Spread Braga -1: -122, Gil Vicente +1: 102 Braga -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -110 Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Braga -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Braga to win on the moneyline, covering the -1 spread with a moderate expectation for a low-scoring game under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – September 14, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Juventude vs. Flamengo Prediction Flamengo Win -250 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
AC Milan vs. Bologna Prediction AC Milan Win -113 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Braga vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Braga Win -213 ★★★★☆ 76% (76%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +288

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $77.56

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Gil Vicente vs. Moreirense FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Gil Vicente vs Moreirense FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-29
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Game Overview

The matchup features Gil Vicente as home favorites against Moreirense FC, both teams with mixed recent form and a history of close encounters. Moreirense has a slight upper hand in recent H2H results and a stronger start to the current season. Gil Vicente displays a tendency for low-scoring games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gil Vicente has 4 points from 3 matches with no wins in last two games and a poor run at season end; Moreirense started with 100% wins historically this season and holds a better recent league position.
  • In last 10 meetings, Moreirense leads with 5 wins vs Gil Vicente’s 2 and 3 draws. Historically, matches are tight and often low-scoring with common results 1-1 and 2-1.
  • Gil Vicente has no reported injury concerns currently; Moreirense status less clear but no major injury flags reported.
  • Home advantage for Gil Vicente at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos; weather or other external conditions not specified but no known adverse impact.
  • Moreirense's perfect winning record this season suggests higher motivation; Gil Vicente looking to break a winless streak and improve league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 138 (Gil Vicente), 240 (Moreirense), 185 (Draw) Gil Vicente ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Gil Vicente -0.25 (102), Moreirense +25 (-122) Gil Vicente -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2 -110, Under 2 -110 Under 2 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gil Vicente 31%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gil Vicente to win on the moneyline, with cautious confidence due to home advantage and slightly favourable odds, despite Moreirense’s form.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 29, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 29, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Leicester City vs. Birmingham City Prediction Leicester City 139 31%
Gil Vicente vs. Moreirense FC Prediction Gil Vicente 138 31%
Hamburger SV vs. FC St. Pauli Prediction Hamburger SV 138 31%

Combined Odds: +1254 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $270.76

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Famalicão vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Famalicão vs Gil Vicente – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Game Overview

Famalicão hosts Gil Vicente in a Liga Portugal match. Famalicão has shown strong form at home, while Gil Vicente struggles on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Famalicão has a recent win rate advantage and strong home performance.
  • Historical data suggests familiarity and competitiveness between the teams.
  • No significant injury reports available to impact the match outcome.
  • Home advantage could be crucial for Famalicão.
  • Famalicão aims to continue its winning streak, while Gil Vicente seeks to improve its away record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Famalicão: +117, Gil Vicente: +265, Draw: +200 Famalicão ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Famalicão: -0.25 (-118), Gil Vicente: 25 (-102) Famalicão ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: 2 (-115), under: 2 (-105) Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Famalicão 30%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Famalicão at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Famalicão is favored to win based on recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Famalicão


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Gil Vicente vs. FC Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Gil Vicente vs FC Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-18
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Gil Vicente Home Stadium

Game Overview

Gil Vicente hosts FC Porto in a Primeira Liga clash where historically Porto dominates but recent results show some competitive balance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gil Vicente has shown resilience at home with a recent notable 3-1 win over Porto earlier this year; Porto has mixed recent form with some draws and losses and scored about 1.2 goals per recent match.
  • Out of 28 meetings, Porto has won 21, Gil Vicente 4, with 3 draws. However, Gil Vicente won the latest home match 3-1 and the teams have traded wins recently, showing some recent H2H volatility.
  • No specific injury reports available; assume no major absences affecting starting lineups significantly.
  • No weather or other external disruptions noted; Gil Vicente's home advantage is notable.
  • Porto likely motivated to assert dominance after recent mixed results and Gil Vicente will seek to leverage home momentum and recent psychological edge from their last home win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gil Vicente: 500, Draw: 355, FC Porto: -214 FC Porto ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread FC Porto -1: -125, Gil Vicente +1: 105 Gil Vicente +1 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -110 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Porto to win on the moneyline but potentially by a narrow margin on the spread; total goals slightly leaning toward under 2.5 based on teams' recent scoring and defensive patterns.

Predicted Score: Gil Vicente 1 – 2 FC Porto


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