Match Analysis: Genoa vs Lecce – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-23
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Luigi Ferraris stadium, Genova
Game Overview
Genoa, currently ranked 8th, will face Lecce, ranked 20th, in a Serie A match. Genoa has struggled with four losses recently, while Lecce seeks to improve their position.
Key Factors to Consider
- Genoa has had a mixed start to the season with recent losses, while Lecce is looking to escape the relegation zone.
- The head-to-head record between the two teams shows Genoa often fares better, but Lecce has moments of upset.
- No significant injury updates are available for either team.
- Fan support at Luigi Ferraris could favor Genoa, potentially influencing the match outcome.
- Both teams are highly motivated, with Genoa seeking to secure a top-half finish and Lecce aiming to avoid relegation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Genoa: -102, Lecce: 310, Draw: 232 | Genoa win | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Spread | Genoa: -0.5 -102, Lecce: 50 -118 | Genoa win by more than 0.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.25 105, Under: 2.25 -125 | Under 2.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Genoa -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 -1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Genoa at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Genoa is likely to win given their home advantage and past performances against Lecce.
Predicted Score: Genoa 2 – 0 Lecce