Genoa host Juventus in a Serie A clash where Juventus are clear favorites despite an away trip. Genoa have shown defensive solidity but have key attackers injured. Juventus seek to capitalize on their quality and experience to secure three points early in the season.
Key Factors to Consider
Genoa started the season with a defensive 0-0 draw away at Lecce, showing good coordination in defense but lacking attacking firepower due to injuries. Juventus have a stronger squad overall and look to improve after their opening fixtures.
Juventus have dominated recent encounters against Genoa historically, often winning comfortably. Genoa struggle to break down Juventus, who have superior individual talent.
Genoa are missing key attackers Caleb Ekuban and Sebastian Otoa, limiting their scoring options. Juventus appear to have no major injury concerns at this time.
The match is played at Genoaβs home stadium with possibly rainy conditions, which might aid Genoaβs defensive play but unlikely to disrupt Juventusβs overall quality.
Juventus are motivated to assert dominance early in the season and avoid dropped points. Genoa aim to secure points at home but face an uphill battle against a superior Juventus side.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Genoa: +340, Juventus: -114, Draw: +240
Juventus
β β β β β 75%
Spread
Genoa +50: -105, Juventus -0.5: -115
Juventus -0.5
β β β β β 70%
Over/under
Over 2.25: +108, Under 2.25: -128
Under 2.25
β β β ββ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Juventus 22%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 7%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Juventus at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Juventus to win on the moneyline, Juventus -0.5 on spread, Under 2.25 goals
Genoa is set to face Lecce in a Serie A matchup where Genoa has historically performed well against Lecce, particularly in recent head-to-head matches. Genoa is favored to win with odds reflecting their recent success. The under market is priced attractively, but the nature of both teams suggests a cautious approach.
Key Factors to Consider
Genoa has shown superior performance in recent meetings, winning all three recent H2Hs 2-1. Lecce's offensive struggles might impact the total score.
Genoa has a strong recent record against Lecce, winning all three recent matches 2-1.
No significant injury updates are noted in the search results.
There are no noted external factors affecting the game.
Both teams are likely motivated to secure early points in the season, but Genoa's historical edge may give them an added boost.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Genoa: -102, Lecce: 310, Draw: 232
Genoa
β β β β β 78%
Spread
Genoa: -0.5 -102, Lecce: 50 -118
Genoa
β β β β β 74%
Over/under
over: 2.25 105, under: 2.25 -125
Under
β β β ββ 68%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Genoa 19%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 8%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Genoa at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Genoa is predicted to outperform Lecce based on recent form and head-to-head results.
Genoa hosts Atalanta in a Serie A match. Genoa has struggled in recent encounters, winning only 8 out of 34 matches against Atalanta. Atalanta is in good form, having won 15 of these matches. The average goals scored in their direct matches is 2.76 per game.
Key Factors to Consider
Atalanta is performing better, with an average of 1.96 goals per match. Genoa averages 1.37 goals per match. Atalanta's away performance is strong, with 12 wins in their last away matches.
Atalanta leads with 15 wins, Genoa has 8 wins, and 11 draws. Recent matches have seen Atalanta dominate, including a 5-1 win in their last encounter.
No specific injury reports are available for this match.
Atalanta's superior form and recent results give them an edge. However, Genoa's home advantage might influence the outcome.
Atalanta will be highly motivated to win, maintaining their strong position in Serie A. Genoa, fighting to avoid relegation, also has strong motivation to secure points.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Atalanta: -150, Genoa: 400, Draw: 300
Atalanta to win
β β β β β 70%
Spread
Atalanta: -0.75 -118, Genoa: 75 -102
Atalanta to cover
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.5: -118, Under 2.5: -102
Over 2.5
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Atalanta BC 200%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 2%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Atalanta BC at 200% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 50% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Atalanta is likely to win due to their superior form and recent results against Genoa.
Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples, Italy
Game Overview
Napoli, currently atop the Serie A table, is set to face Genoa, who are ranked 13th. Napoli's strong form and home advantage make them favorites to win.
Key Factors to Consider
Napoli has been in excellent form, winning several recent matches. Genoa has shown inconsistency, with recent losses and wins.
Recent head-to-head data shows Napoli generally performing better against Genoa.
No specific injury reports are mentioned, but Napoli's squad depth is generally favorable.
Home advantage for Napoli could play a significant role.
Napoli's motivation is high to maintain their lead, while Genoa seeks to avoid relegation.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Napoli: -335, Genoa: 1000, Draw: 420
Napoli win
β β β β β 80%
Spread
Genoa: 1.5 -118, Napoli: -1.5 -102
Napoli to cover the spread
β β β β β 70%
Over/under
Over: 2.25 -122, Under: 2.25 102
Over 2.25 goals
β β β ββ 60%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Napoli -3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.25 0%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Napoli is likely to win this match based on their current form and home advantage.
Location: Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genoa, Italy
Game Overview
The upcoming Serie A match between Genoa and AC Milan presents an opportunity for Milan to gain points in the league as Genoa struggles to maintain consistency. Genoa ranks 13th, while Milan is in 9th position in the league standings.
Key Factors to Consider
Genoa has shown inconsistency with recent mixed results, while Milan has been striving to improve their position in the league. Milan's more balanced squad could give them an edge.
Historically, AC Milan often dominates these matches, but recent performances indicate a close contest could be anticipated.
As of now, specific injury reports are not detailed, but AC Milan has typically managed to field stronger squads despite injury challenges.
The home advantage could play a role for Genoa, but Milan's experience and squad depth are significant factors.
Both teams have motivation; Genoa seeks to move up the table, while Milan wants to solidify its position.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
AC Milan -130, Genoa 350, Draw 280
AC Milan
β β β β β 75%
Spread
AC Milan -0.75 100, Genoa 75 -120
AC Milan
β β β β β 70%
Over/under
Over 2.5 -112, Under 2.5 -108
Under 2.5
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
AC Milan 6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 25%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AC Milan might slightly edge this match due to their overall team strength and consistency, though the home field could make it a challenging win for Milan.
Hellas Verona and Genoa face each other in a Serie A match on April 13, 2025. Genoa is slightly favored in the match due to their better league standing, but Hellas Verona has a strong record at home.
Key Factors to Consider
Genoa has collected 38 points with a goal difference of -9, while Hellas Verona has 31 points with a goal difference of -29. Genoa's defensive performance has been better with 32.3% clean sheets compared to Verona's 22.6%.
Historically, in the last 30 meetings, Genoa won 11 times, Verona won 7 times, and there were 12 draws. Genoa has a slightly better head-to-head record but Verona is improving.
Specific injury reports for both teams are not detailed here, but any significant absences could impact the match.
Home advantage might favor Hellas Verona, though Genoa's recent form suggests they are competent away from home.
Both teams have strong motivations to win, as points are crucial in their respective battles in Serie A.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Genoa -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 9%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the current odds and team performances, Genoa is slightly favored due to better league standing and defensive performance.