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Genoa vs. Fiorentina Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Genoa vs Fiorentina – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Luigi Ferraris, Genoa

Game Overview

Genoa and Fiorentina face off in a crucial Serie A match with both teams struggling near the bottom of the table. Fiorentina are slight favorites but both sides have low scoring rates, hinting at a tight, low-scoring contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Genoa have won only 1 of their last 10 matches and are 0-3 in their last five games. Fiorentina have a 0-6-4 record with similarly poor scoring, having netted only 7 goals in 10 games. Both teams struggle offensively, which lowers scoring expectations.
  • Fiorentina have been dominant historically at this venue, unbeaten in the last nine meetings against Genoa and winners in the last three trips to Genoa. This gives Fiorentina a psychological edge despite current form challenges.
  • No critical injury details are currently available from the sources; both teams enter with their debutants adaptive to Serie A which might impact rhythm.
  • Public betting heavily favors Genoa at 86% of bets, potentially skewing odds. The match venue, Luigi Ferraris, traditionally favors the home side, but Genoa's poor form diminishes this advantage.
  • Both teams face relegation pressure, enhancing the importance of this match. The winner not only gains points but significantly boosts survival aspirations, likely causing cautious and defensive play from both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fiorentina: 169, Genoa: 193, Draw: 195 Draw ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Fiorentina: -120, Genoa: 100 Genoa +0 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -115, Under 2 goals: -105 Under 2 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 37%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 0-0


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Sassuolo vs. Genoa Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sassuolo vs Genoa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-03
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore

Game Overview

Sassuolo hosts Genoa in a Serie A fixture where Sassuolo is in better form and playing at home, while Genoa struggles both offensively and defensively, anchored at the bottom of the table.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sassuolo has won 3 of their last 5 matches and shows solid tactical discipline, particularly at home, while Genoa has lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring just 4 goals in 9 matches and struggling on the road.
  • Recent encounters favor Sassuolo, including a recent 2-1 away win against Genoa, indicating their capability to break down Genoa’s defense.
  • No major injury updates were highlighted in the sources, suggesting both teams should be near full strength, maintaining their typical tactical setups.
  • Playing at Mapei Stadium provides Sassuolo with home advantage, supported by local fan presence and familiar pitch conditions.
  • Genoa is under significant pressure to avoid relegation, but current poor morale and recent results reduce their chances, while Sassuolo aims to consolidate a strong mid-table position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sassuolo +145, Genoa +220, Draw +200 Sassuolo ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Sassuolo -0.25 +108, Genoa +25 -128 Sassuolo -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2 -118, Under 2 -102 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sassuolo 35%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sassuolo at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sassuolo moneyline win; Sassuolo -0.25 spread; Under 2.5 goals total

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Genoa vs. Cremonese Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Genoa vs Cremonese – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-29
  • Time: 7:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Game Overview

Genoa hosts Cremonese in a Serie A clash where both teams have struggled for form, but Genoa have home advantage with a solid defensive style, while Cremonese have been underdogs and less consistent.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Genoa are 0-3 in their last 5 matches and 1-4 against the spread, but have been stronger at home showing defensive discipline; Cremonese have poor form overall and lower scoring rates.
  • Recent encounters have been tight, with low scoring margins and both teams showing defensive tendencies, suggesting no high-scoring blowouts likely.
  • No recent significant injury reports for key players that would drastically alter team strengths.
  • Home crowd at Luigi Ferraris favors Genoa; midweek fixture may favor home team accustomed to stadium atmosphere.
  • Genoa has stronger motivation to avoid further losses at home, while Cremonese are likely focused on damage limitation and a disciplined defensive approach.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Genoa -115, Cremonese +385, Draw +220 Genoa moneyline ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Genoa -0.5 -115, Cremonese +50 -105 Genoa -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2 -120, Under 2 +100 Under 2 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Genoa 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Genoa to win on the moneyline, with the match to produce under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Torino vs. Genoa Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Torino vs Genoa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Game Overview

Torino and Genoa meet in a Serie A clash with Torino favored after recent strong home performances and a morale-boosting victory over Napoli, against a struggling Genoa side still winless this season and scoring very few goals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Torino has shown resilience with wins against Roma and Napoli, though mostly against top teams, their form at home is promising. Genoa remains in poor form with no wins and just 3 goals in 7 matches, lacking a threat offensively.
  • Recent head-to-head encounters favor Torino who tend to win or draw, while Genoa has struggled to score and create chances against Torino at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino.
  • No significant injury updates affecting key players for either side have been noted, implying both teams are near full strength.
  • The game is at Torino’s home stadium, giving them a home advantage with strong local support. Genoa’s low morale and poor away record further intensify this.
  • Both sides need points to climb the table, but Torino’s recent win and mid-table positioning provide stronger confidence and motivation compared to Genoa’s relegation-threatened position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Torino: 128, Draw: 195, Genoa: 260 Torino ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Torino -0.25: -108, Genoa +25: -112 Torino -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2: 100, Under 2: -120 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Torino 30%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Torino at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Torino to Win; Spread: Torino -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Genoa vs. Parma Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Genoa vs Parma – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-19
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa

Game Overview

Genoa hosts Parma in a Serie A clash between two struggling teams at the lower end of the table. Genoa has slightly better form and historical edge, while Parma struggles for wins and goals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Genoa sits 14th with 5 points from 6 matches (1W-2D-3L), showing marginally better performance than Parma at 19th with 2 points (0W-2D-4L). Recent form favors Genoa but neither team is in strong shape.
  • In 28 matches, Genoa leads slightly with 9 home wins vs Parma's 10 away wins overall; recent fixtures show tight affairs with Genoa winning last meeting 1-0 and historically low scoring games averaging 2.64 goals per match.
  • No specific injury reports indicate major absences, suggesting fairly full squads from both sides, maintaining balanced contest conditions.
  • The match is held at Genoa’s home ground Luigo Ferraris with potential home advantage amidst pressure to improve league standing.
  • Genoa has better motivation to halt a negative streak (0-3 last 5 games) and gain crucial points at home, while Parma seeks their first league win but faces challenging away form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Genoa +114, Parma +302, Draw +213 Genoa ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Genoa -0.25 -126, Parma +25 +106 Genoa -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2 -118, Under 2 -102 Under 2 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Genoa 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Genoa Win; Spread: Genoa -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Genoa vs. Lazio Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Genoa vs Lazio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-29
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genova, Italy

Game Overview

Lazio enters as slight favorites over Genoa in this Serie A matchup, reflecting Lazio's marginally better form and higher squad quality. However, Genoa's home advantage and current defensive resilience suggest a tightly contested game likely to have limited scoring.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lazio currently hold a 1-0-3 record, sitting 13th with 3 points and a goal difference of 0; Genoa is 16th with 2 points from 0-2-2, scoring 2 and conceding 4, but showing defensive effort with a 69.2% save rate.
  • Historically, Lazio have 10 wins to Genoa's 4 in 15 meetings, indicating Lazio's upper hand. Recent encounters suggest a competitive balance but with Lazio favored.
  • Genoa lack key attackers like Maxwel Cornet and Fabio Miretti; Lazio are missing Mattia Zaccagni and Nuno Tavares, both impacting offensive creativity and width respectively.
  • The game is at Genoa's home ground, which offers some psychological and tactical edge; no adverse weather or significant external disruptions reported.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their early-season standings; Lazio’s slight points edge and better form provide a psychological advantage, but Genoa's home fans could bolster motivation to avoid a home losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Genoa: +200, Lazio: +155, Draw: +200 Lazio ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Genoa: +110, Lazio: -130 Genoa +0 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over: -128, Under: +108 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lazio 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lazio moneyline win, Genoa +0 spread, Under 2 goals total

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 29, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 29, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Genoa vs. Lazio Prediction Lazio 155 22%
Sao Paulo vs. Ceará Prediction Under 2 102 17%
Arouca vs. FC Porto Prediction Over 2.75 -105 17%

Combined Odds: +906 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $201.13

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Bologna vs. Genoa Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bologna vs Genoa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna, Italy

Game Overview

Bologna hosts Genoa in an early Serie A fixture with Bologna favored but both teams showing uneven recent form and injury concerns.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bologna has a weaker recent form (draws and losses) and sits low in league standings with 3 points from 3 matches; Genoa slightly better motivated with 2 points but also inconsistent results.
  • Historically close, with Genoa holding a slight edge in wins (6 to Bologna's 5) over 13 matches; previous season's meeting ended 3-1 in Genoa's favor away.
  • Bologna missing key defensive players such as Charalampos Lykogiannis and Jhon Lucumi; Genoa lineup appears relatively stable though specific injury reports are limited.
  • Game at Bologna's home ground gives them slight advantage; no significant weather or travel issues reported.
  • Both teams are early in season seeking points; Bologna motivated to bounce back home after poor start, Genoa aiming to capitalize on recent positive momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bologna -120, Genoa +380, Draw +235 Bologna ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Bologna -0.5 -120, Genoa +50 +100 Bologna -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.0 -120, Under 2.0 +100 Under 2.0 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bologna -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bologna to win the match narrowly with under 2.5 goals total

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Como vs. Genoa Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Como vs Genoa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-15
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como, Italy

Game Overview

Como hosts Genoa in a Serie A clash where both teams have shown modest scoring this season and Como holds a slight edge in recent form and historical matchups.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Como has a slightly better recent record with 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss in last three games, showing a more consistent performance compared to Genoa's 1 draw and 1 loss. Both teams have struggled to score prolifically this season.
  • Historically, matches between Como and Genoa tend to be low-scoring and closely contested, with Como having a narrow upper hand at home.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side that would significantly affect the starting XI or tactical approach.
  • Como enjoys home advantage and motivation to capitalize on their home support; Genoa's away form is weak, especially as underdogs.
  • Como is motivated to secure maximum points early in the season to climb the Serie A standings, while Genoa faces pressure to improve results away from home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Como: -154, Genoa: +475, Draw: +265 Como ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Como -0.75: -120, Genoa +75: +100 Como -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -105 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Como -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Como to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.75 spread, with total goals under 2.25

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 15, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 15, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Hellas Verona vs. Cremonese Prediction Hellas Verona 146 40%
Como vs. Genoa Prediction Under 2.25 -105 21%
Espanyol vs. Mallorca Prediction Espanyol 117 17%

Combined Odds: +942 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $208.44

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