Match Analysis: Colorado State Rams vs Fresno State Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-10
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium, Fort Collins, Colorado

Game Overview

The Fresno State Bulldogs (5-1) visit the Colorado State Rams (1-4) in a Mountain West match-up where Fresno State is favored both on the moneyline and the spread. Fresno State has a strong defense and balanced offensive production, whereas Colorado State has struggled significantly this season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fresno State is in strong form with a 5-1 record, averaging 30.7 points per game while allowing just 19.5 points on defense. Colorado State has struggled at 1-4, facing challenges on both sides of the ball and has lost their last several games.
• Recent head-to-head data favors Fresno State, who have been the more consistent team in the Mountain West this season, with Colorado State failing to establish dominance at home.
• No major injuries reported for Fresno State. Colorado State has some minor injuries but no key starters reported out, although overall team depth is a concern.
• The game is at Colorado State’s home stadium, but the elevation advantage is outweighed by Fresno State's momentum and superior stats. Weather conditions expected to be neutral.
• Fresno State looks motivated to maintain their strong Mountain West record and push for a conference title. Colorado State is desperate for a win to avoid falling deeper in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Colorado State Rams: +198, Fresno State Bulldogs: -240	Fresno State Bulldogs	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Colorado State Rams +6.5: -106, Fresno State Bulldogs -6.5: -114	Fresno State Bulldogs -6.5	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 47.5: -110, Under 47.5: -110	Under 47.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Fresno State Bulldogs -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 47.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fresno State on the moneyline, Fresno State to cover the -6.5 spread, and the game to stay under 47.5 total points.

Predicted Score: Fresno State 27 – Colorado State 17

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Toronto Argonauts Prediction	Saskatchewan Roughriders -10.5	-115	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Colorado State Rams vs. Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction	Fresno State Bulldogs Win	-240	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
North Texas Mean Green vs. South Florida Bulls Prediction	South Florida Bulls Win	-115	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +395

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $99.03

Match Analysis: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs Fresno State Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-21
• Time: 3:59 AM UTC
• Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

Game Overview

This Mountain West conference matchup features two teams with identical 3-1 records so far this season. Fresno State comes in as a slight favorite both on the moneyline and spread, while the Hawks are hosting the game in Hawaii. Both teams have shown solid offensive capabilities but Fresno State has the statistical edge and better ATS performance as favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fresno State is 3-1 overall with a clean 3-1 record ATS including a 1-0 record as a favorite of 2.5 points or more, showing strong performance under pressure. Hawaii is also 3-1 but 0-1 ATS as underdogs of 2.5 or more points, showing less consistency when expected to be the underdog.
• Recent H2H data is limited but Fresno State generally has edged Hawaii in recent matchups, benefiting from stronger defense and more balanced offense. The teams have had close contests, but Fresno State's ability to cover short spreads has been superior.
• No major injuries reported for either team affecting key starters, so both squads will likely field their usual starters without significant handicaps.
• Hawaii is playing at home which provides some advantage due to travel fatigue for Fresno State and local crowd support. However, Fresno State's road performances have been stronger in recent seasons than Hawaii's home resilience.
• Both teams enter the game motivated with identical 3-1 starts, but Fresno State being the slight favorite has more to prove to maintain momentum and validate odds; Hawaii looks to use home advantage to upset the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fresno State -142, Hawaii +120	Fresno State Bulldogs	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Fresno State -3 -105, Hawaii +3 -115	Fresno State Bulldogs -3	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 47.5 -115, Under 47.5 -105	Under 47.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Fresno State Bulldogs -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 47.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fresno State Bulldogs to win on the moneyline, cover the 3-point spread, and the game to finish under the total points line of 47.5.

Predicted Score: Fresno State 24 – Hawaii 17

Match Analysis: Fresno State Bulldogs vs Southern University Jaguars – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Valley Children's Stadium

Game Overview

The Fresno State Bulldogs host the Southern University Jaguars in a Week 3 NCAA football matchup. Fresno State is a strong favorite at home with a 2-1 start, while Southern is struggling with a 1-2 record and poor road form. The Bulldogs' defense and consistent home success heavily favor them.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fresno State has a powerful offense and rank well defensively, with a strong record at home in September, having won 9 of their last 10 such games. Southern is 0-18 on the road and 0-14 in September games, showing consistent struggles away from home.
• Fresno State decisively beat Southern 42-14 earlier in the 2025 season, demonstrating superiority and confidence going into this rematch.
• Fresno State's tight end B. Lium is questionable with an undisclosed injury, which may slightly impact red-zone efficiency but is unlikely to change the dominant outlook.
• No significant external factors reported. Game is at Fresno State's home stadium with typical conditions favorable for the Bulldogs.
• Fresno State is motivated to maintain home dominance and improve to 3-1, while Southern aims to break their poor road stretch though likely faces a difficult task against a superior opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fresno State -3500, Southern +1200	Fresno State	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Fresno State -35.5 -110, Southern +35.5 -110	Fresno State -35.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 48.5 -110, Under 48.5 -110	Under 48.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 48.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fresno State to cover the -35.5 spread

Predicted Score: Fresno State 42 – Southern 7

Match Analysis: Oregon State Beavers vs Fresno State Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-06
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR

Game Overview

Oregon State Beavers host Fresno State Bulldogs in a key early season matchup. Oregon State is slight favorite at home after a heavy opening loss, while Fresno State arrives off a strong season-opening win.

Key Factors to Consider

• Oregon State is 0-1 with a 19-point loss at home, struggling in third-down efficiency and committing multiple turnovers. Fresno State is 1-1, coming off a strong 28-point victory with positive momentum.
• The teams met once in 2022 with Oregon State narrowly winning 35-32 on the road. The game was high scoring and close.
• No major injuries reported impacting key starters for either team.
• Weather expected to be mild (69°F) with minimal rain and light wind. Home crowd expected to back Oregon State strongly.
• Oregon State is motivated to rebound from season-opening loss especially at home, while Fresno State looks to continue momentum from their big win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Oregon State: -148, Fresno State: 124	Oregon State	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Oregon State: -3 -108, Fresno State: +3 -112	Oregon State -3	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over: 45.5 -108, Under: 45.5 -112	Under 45.5	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Oregon State Beavers 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 45.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oregon State -3 spread

Predicted Score: Oregon State 24 – Fresno State 18

Match Analysis: Fresno State Bulldogs vs Georgia Southern Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-30
• Time: 1:30 AM UTC
• Location: Valley Children's Stadium, Fresno, CA

Game Overview

The Fresno State Bulldogs host the Georgia Southern Eagles in an intriguing College Football matchup. Fresno State aims to rebound after a heavy opening loss while Georgia Southern, slight favorites, look to leverage their recent stable form and defensive strengths.

Key Factors to Consider

• Georgia Southern finished last season 8-5, averaging 28.0 PPG offensively and allowing 27.6 PPG defensively. Fresno State ended 6-7 and opened 2025 with a 31-7 loss to Kansas.
• Recent direct matchups show competitive but limited meetings, with Georgia Southern holding a slight edge historically, yet home advantage favors Fresno State.
• No significant injury reports affecting starting lineups for either team at game time; squads appear near full strength.
• Game is at Fresno’s home venue, which provides favorable crowd support and reduces travel fatigue for Fresno State; kickoff timing is standard with no weather issues expected.
• Fresno State is motivated to avoid consecutive losses starting the season and defend home turf. Georgia Southern looks to continue positive momentum from last season and open with a statement win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fresno State Bulldogs: +102, Georgia Southern Eagles: -122	Georgia Southern Eagles	★★★☆☆ 66%
Spread	Fresno State Bulldogs +1.5: -108, Georgia Southern Eagles -1.5: -112	Georgia Southern Eagles -1.5	★★★☆☆ 61%
Over/under	Over 51.5: -105, Under 51.5: -115	Over 51.5	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Georgia Southern Eagles -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 51.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Georgia Southern to win narrowly, covering the spread in a moderately high-scoring game.

Predicted Score: Georgia Southern 28 – Fresno State 24

Match Analysis: Kansas Jayhawks vs Fresno State Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-23
• Time: 10:30 PM UTC
• Location: David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium, Lawrence, KS

Game Overview

Kansas Jayhawks host Fresno State Bulldogs in an opening-week NCAA football game, with Kansas as strong favorites based on current betting odds and recent team trajectories.

Key Factors to Consider

• Kansas finished 2024 with notable improvements and high expectations in 2025, showing stronger offensive and defensive metrics compared to Fresno State, who ended 2024 at 6-7 and are rebuilding after losing 70% of their offensive production.
• Limited recent matchups with no strong dominance; Kansas's home advantage and stronger roster this season tilt the H2H edge.
• Fresno State reported some undisclosed injuries among key receivers (TE Jake Tarwater, WR Luke Jones, WR Jaden Nickens), potentially weakening their passing game. Kansas has no major reported injuries impacting their core units.
• Game at Kansas home stadium favors Jayhawks with local crowd support; kickoff in prime time slot nationally broadcast on FOX which adds motivation for home team to perform well.
• Kansas aims to start the season strong in front of home fans to build momentum; Fresno State faces challenges replacing lost offensive talent diminishing their motivation against a favored opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Kansas Jayhawks: -455, Fresno State Bulldogs: 350	Kansas Jayhawks	★★★★☆ 82%
Spread	Kansas Jayhawks -12.5: -112, Fresno State Bulldogs +12.5: -108	Kansas Jayhawks -12.5	★★★★☆ 77%
Over/under	Over 50.5: -112, Under 50.5: -108	Over 50.5	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Kansas Jayhawks -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 50.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kansas Jayhawks moneyline win, cover the 12.5 point spread, and game total over 50.5 points.

Predicted Score: Kansas Jayhawks 34 – Fresno State Bulldogs 17

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Toronto Argonauts vs. BC Lions Prediction	BC Lions Win	-178	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction	Kansas Jayhawks -12.5	-112	★★★★☆ 77% (77%)
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Sam Houston State Bearkats Prediction	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Win	-410	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +268

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $73.55