Match Analysis: Fresno State Bulldogs vs Utah State Aggies – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
• Time: 3:30 AM UTC
• Location: Valley Children's Stadium, Fresno, California

Game Overview

Mountain West Conference matchup between the Fresno State Bulldogs (7-3, 4-2 MWC) hosting the Utah State Aggies (5-5, 3-3 MWC). Fresno State enters as significant favorites with a 59.5% implied probability of victory based on moneyline odds. This game carries playoff implications for the Bulldogs and represents a crucial conference contest for both teams.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fresno State has been dominant recently, winning their last 5 games and maintaining a 5-0 record in their most recent stretch. However, their 5-5 record against the spread suggests the market may be overvaluing them. Utah State has struggled to a 5-5 overall record but has impressed against the spread with an 8-2 ATS record this season, indicating they frequently exceed expectations. Offensively, Utah State averages 32.9 points per game (ranked 34th) compared to Fresno State's 25.9 PPG (ranked 83rd). Defensively, Fresno State is solid at 19.9 PPG allowed (ranked 25th) while Utah State struggles significantly at 29.7 PPG allowed (ranked 99th). Critically, Fresno State has significant turnover issues with 16 turnovers allowed (ranked 106th, worst in FBS) while Utah State has exceptional ball security with only 7 turnovers allowed (ranked 5th).
• Limited head-to-head data is available in the search results, but both teams are in the Mountain West Conference with similar conference records, suggesting competitive parity in direct matchups.
• No specific injury information is provided in the available search results.
• The game will be played at Valley Children's Stadium in Fresno, providing home-field advantage to the Bulldogs. Weather forecast shows 53°F with 0% rain chance and minimal wind, creating neutral playing conditions. The game will be broadcast on CBS Sports Network with live streaming available on Fubo.
• Both teams have playoff and bowl eligibility implications. Fresno State aims to maintain momentum and secure a higher seed, while Utah State seeks an upset win to strengthen their bowl positioning. Utah State's strong ATS record suggests they are well-coached and motivated despite their 5-5 record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fresno State -148 / Utah State +124	Fresno State to win	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Fresno State -3 (-105) / Utah State +3 (-115)	Utah State +3 (cover play)	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 50.5 (-110) / Under 50.5 (-110)	Over 50.5	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Fresno State Bulldogs 33%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 50.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fresno State will win the game, but this matchup presents significant value on Utah State as a cover play. The Bulldogs' critical turnover problem (worst in FBS) combined with Utah State's elite ball security creates a structural advantage for the Aggies. Utah State's 8-2 ATS record indicates they consistently outperform expectations. While Fresno State's recent 5-game winning streak is impressive, the market appears to overvalue them at -3, particularly given Utah State's defensive struggles may be partially mitigated by Fresno State's offensive limitations (ranked 83rd in PPG).

Predicted Score: Fresno State 27, Utah State 24

Match Analysis: Fresno State Bulldogs vs Wyoming Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 15, 2025
• Time: 3:30 AM UTC
• Location: Valley Children's Stadium, Fresno, California

Game Overview

The Fresno State Bulldogs (6-3, 3-2 MW) host the Wyoming Cowboys (4-5, 2-3 MW) in a Mountain West Conference matchup. Fresno State enters as significant favorites after dominating Boise State 30-7 in their last game. Wyoming arrives off an open week and has struggled with a 1-3 road record this season. This matchup features two teams with contrasting defensive strengths, with Fresno State boasting the 17th-ranked pass defense nationally compared to Wyoming's 25th-ranked pass defense. The game is expected to be a low-scoring, run-heavy affair with a point total of just 40.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fresno State has won their last four games and demonstrated defensive dominance in their recent 30-7 victory over Boise State at Boise. The Bulldogs feature a strong run defense that should contain Wyoming's primary offensive approach. Wyoming has struggled this season at 4-5 overall and particularly on the road at 1-3. The Cowboys come into this game fresh off an open week, which could provide recovery time but may also affect rhythm and preparation. Fresno State's home/away splits show they average 31.3 implied points at home compared to 28.2 on the road, suggesting home field advantage will be significant.
• In their most recent matchup on November 25, 2022 (historical data), Wyoming defeated Fresno State 30-0 at home as heavy favorites. However, this was nearly three years ago and does not reflect current team compositions or performance levels. The current 2025 matchup represents a dramatically different scenario with Fresno State in a much stronger position.
• Information regarding current player injuries or availability is not available in the provided data. Carson Conklin recently took over the starting quarterback role for Fresno State after EJ Warner was benched, having just won against Boise State though with limited passing statistics (10 for 21, 35 yards).
• Weather conditions at game time show 56°F with 46% rain chance and wind, which could impact passing games and favor the run-heavy approach expected from both teams. The low over/under of 40.5 points reflects expectations of a defensive, ground-focused game. Public betting shows overwhelming 95% of money on Fresno State, indicating sharp money agreement with the spread.
• Fresno State seeks to maintain momentum in conference play and improve their bowl positioning. Wyoming needs a win to avoid falling further in the standings and finish the season strong. Fresno State's home crowd advantage and recent form provide significant psychological advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fresno State -174 | Wyoming +146	Fresno State Bulldogs Win	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Fresno State -3.5 (-115) | Wyoming +3.5 (-105)	Fresno State -3.5 (Cover)	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 40.5 (-110) | Under 40.5 (-110)	Under 40.5	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Fresno State Bulldogs -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 40.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 40.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fresno State Bulldogs will defeat Wyoming Cowboys in a low-scoring, defensive battle. The Bulldogs' superior run defense, home field advantage, and recent dominant performance make them clear favorites. Wyoming's road struggles and lack of offensive firepower will make it difficult to keep pace. Expect a grinding game controlled by Fresno State's defense and ground game.

Predicted Score: Fresno State 24, Wyoming 17

Match Analysis: Boise State Broncos vs Fresno State Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-01
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho

Game Overview

The Boise State Broncos (6-2) host the Fresno State Bulldogs (5-3) in this Mountain West Conference matchup. Boise State enters as a strong favorite after recent dominant performances, while Fresno State has been less consistent and is considered a significant underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

• Boise State boasts a potent offense averaging 35.3 points per game and a robust defense allowing 23.3 points on average. They are undefeated in conference play (4-0). Fresno State has struggled recently, having lost their last game 23-0 and scoring fewer points overall, with a 5-3 record and a 2-2 conference record.
• Recent simulations give Boise State an 88-89% chance to win over Fresno State's 11-12%, indicating Boise State's historical and seasonal dominance. Projection models estimate Boise State winning by at least two touchdowns or more.
• No current significant injury reports or suspensions impacting either side have been identified from available data, indicating both teams may be near full strength.
• The game is played at Boise State's home stadium, giving them a strong home-field advantage. Weather conditions and other external factors appear neutral or typical for early November in Boise, Idaho.
• Boise State has strong motivation to maintain undefeated conference status and aim for a Mountain West championship game berth. Fresno State, as underdogs, are motivated to upset a top conference contender but face a challenging task.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Boise State Broncos: -950, Fresno State Bulldogs: 640	Boise State Broncos	★★★★☆ 89%
Spread	Boise State Broncos: -17.5 (-110), Fresno State Bulldogs: +17.5 (-110)	Boise State Broncos to cover -17.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over: 50.5 (-105), Under: 50.5 (-115)	Over 50.5 points	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Boise State Broncos -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 50.5 37%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Boise State is heavily favored to win this game, likely covering the large spread and pushing the total points over 50.5 given their superior offensive and defensive metrics, home advantage, and Fresno State's recent struggles.

Predicted Score: Boise State Broncos 33 – Fresno State Bulldogs 16

Match Analysis: Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Diego State Aztecs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-25
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Valley Children’s Stadium, Fresno, California

Game Overview

A key Mountain West Conference clash between Fresno State Bulldogs (5-2, 2-1 MWC) and San Diego State Aztecs (5-1, 2-0 MWC), both riding strong seasons with SDSU favored by a field goal on the road. The game features a matchup between SDSU's stingy defense (ranked 5th nationally in points allowed) and Fresno State's recent offensive form (over in 4 of last 6 games). The Aztecs rely more on the run game, while both teams have been defensively solid, suggesting a potentially lower-scoring affair.

Key Factors to Consider

• San Diego State boasts a top-5 defense in points allowed (12.2 ppg) and ranks 21st in rush defense, but is below average in passing offense. Fresno State is on a 5-1 run straight up, with their offense trending over the total in recent games. Both teams are in the MWC title hunt, making this a high-stakes game.
• No recent head-to-head data is available in the search results. Historical context would typically be factored here for a complete analysis.
• No injury information is available in the search results. Updating with live injury reports would be critical for final wagering decisions.
• The game is at Fresno State, giving the Bulldogs a home-field advantage, but SDSU's defense travels well. Weather does not appear to be a major factor based on available data.
• Both teams are in contention for the MWC title. SDSU is unbeaten in conference play; Fresno State trails slightly but is playing at home. Expect high intensity from both squads.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fresno State +124, San Diego State -148	San Diego State (slight favorite)	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Fresno State +3 (-115), San Diego State -3 (-105)	Fresno State covers (+3)	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over 47.5 (-108), Under 47.5 (-112)	Under 47.5	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	San Diego State Aztecs 30%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 47.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: San Diego State Aztecs at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

San Diego State is the more complete team, especially on defense, and is a slight road favorite. However, Fresno State is hot lately and has home-field advantage. The lean is toward SDSU by a field goal in a lower-scoring, defensive battle, but Fresno State covering the spread is a live underdog play. The total is tight; recent Fresno State games suggest the over could hit, but SDSU's defense and low-paced offense tilt the under.

Predicted Score: San Diego State 24, Fresno State 21

Match Analysis: Colorado State Rams vs Fresno State Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-10
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium, Fort Collins, Colorado

Game Overview

The Mountain West Conference clash features the favored Fresno State Bulldogs (5-1) visiting the Colorado State Rams (1-4). Fresno State carries momentum with a strong 5-1 overall and 2-0 conference record, while Colorado State struggles at 1-4 overall and 0-1 in conference. Fresno State is known for balanced offense and solid defense, averaging 30.7 points scored and allowing 19.5 points against per game, whereas Colorado State has underperformed offensively this season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fresno State averages 196.3 passing yards and 171 rushing yards per game, ranking in the middle tiers nationally, with a stout defense allowing only 110 rushing yards and 19.5 points per game. Colorado State has struggled throughout the season, with a poor 1-4 record and difficulties both offensively and defensively against their Mountain West opponents.
• Historically, Colorado State is 6-3 straight up in the last 9 games facing Fresno State, but has a weaker ATS (against the spread) record of 2-4 in the last 6 matchups, indicating Fresno State covers more frequently in recent contests.
• No significant injury updates available as of current data; both teams appear to have their key players available.
• The game is played at Colorado State’s home stadium, which may provide slight advantage despite the underdog status. Weather and other environmental factors have not been reported as significant.
• Fresno State aims to continue strong conference play and improve to 3-0 in Mountain West, likely motivated to maintain pace for a conference title contention. Colorado State, facing a poor season start, is motivated to secure an upset for morale and bowl eligibility hopes.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Colorado State Rams: +198, Fresno State Bulldogs: -240	Fresno State Bulldogs	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Colorado State Rams: 6.5 -106, Fresno State Bulldogs: -6.5 -114	Fresno State Bulldogs -6.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over: 47.5 -110, Under: 47.5 -110	Under 47.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Fresno State Bulldogs -14%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 47.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Fresno State's current form, superior record, and Falcons being 6.5-point favorites, the prediction favors Fresno State to win by a margin consistent with the spread, reflecting their stronger overall team performance and momentum.

Predicted Score: Fresno State Bulldogs 27 – Colorado State Rams 19

Top EV Parlay for American Football – October 10, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
North Texas Mean Green vs. South Florida Bulls Prediction	Over 67.5	-110	18%
Washington Huskies vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights Prediction	Over 59.5	-105	17%
Colorado State Rams vs. Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction	Under 47.5	-110	15%

Combined Odds: +612 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $142.31

Match Analysis: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs Fresno State Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-21
• Time: 3:59 AM UTC
• Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Complex, Honolulu, HI

Game Overview

Mountain West Conference matchup featuring Fresno State Bulldogs (3-1) traveling to face the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (3-1). Both teams have identical records and are looking to capitalize early in the conference season. Fresno State boasts a balanced attack with a slightly superior rushing game and a top-25 third-down offense, while Hawaii has been solid at home with a physical defense and effective ground game. The game is expected to be competitive with both teams motivated to start conference play strong.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fresno State ranks 66th in total offense (392 ypg) and 61st in total defense (323.8 ypg), with an effective rushing attack (202.5 ypg, 36th) and average passing offense (189.5 ypg, 96th). The Bulldogs average 35.3 points per game (51st) and allow 19.8 points (62nd). Hawaii is similarly balanced but tends to play tighter defense at home. Both teams have 3-1 records, indicating good form but some vulnerability. Fresno State's turnover margin is poor (-5), which could be a deciding factor if they can protect the ball better on the road.
• Recent head-to-head data is limited, but both teams have competed closely in past Mountain West matchups, often decided by single digits. Considering home-field advantage, Hawaii tends to be tougher at Clarence T.C. Ching Complex, giving them a slight edge in direct competition.
• No critical injury information is currently available for either team, suggesting both squads will have close to full-strength rosters.
• Travel fatigue could impact Fresno State somewhat due to the Hawaii trip, along with time zone adjustment. Weather conditions are typically warm and humid in Honolulu, which can affect the tempo and stamina. However, Fresno State has shown the ability to handle travel well in recent seasons.
• Both teams start Mountain West conference play with identical strong 3-1 records, heightening motivation. Hawaii seeks to defend home turf and establish dominance early in the conference. Fresno State wants to assert itself on the road and secure a critical road win to boost its resume.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fresno State Bulldogs: -155, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: 130	Fresno State Bulldogs to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Fresno State Bulldogs: -3 -110, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: 3 -110	Fresno State Bulldogs -3	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 46.5 -110, Under: 46.5 -110	Over 46.5 points	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Fresno State Bulldogs 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 46.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fresno State is slightly favored due to a more potent offensive balance and efficiency, especially in third-down situations. However, Hawaii's home advantage and ability to control the game tempo keep this match tight. Expect a close game with Fresno State edging out a victory by a touchdown.

Predicted Score: Fresno State Bulldogs 27, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 20

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Match Analysis: Fresno State Bulldogs vs Southern University Jaguars – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Valley Children's Stadium, Fresno, CA

Game Overview

The Fresno State Bulldogs face the Southern University Jaguars in their first-ever meeting, part of the 2025 NCAA regular season. Fresno State is hosting the game at their home stadium, Valley Children's Stadium. Fresno State comes into this game with a stronger start to the season and a higher overall team strength than Southern University, which has had a mixed early season performance.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fresno State Bulldogs hold a 2-1 record so far this season, coming off a two-game winning streak, indicating good momentum. Southern University Jaguars have a 1-2 record with recent inconsistency and lost their last game before this match. Fresno State's offense and defense are showing more balance and effectiveness, while Southern University has struggled against stronger competition.
• This is the first-ever meeting between the Fresno State Bulldogs and Southern University Jaguars, so there is no historical head-to-head data to inform predictions.
• No clear injury information is currently available for either team, indicating no major known absences that would impact the match significantly.
• The game is played at Fresno State’s home for their 2025 season opener against Southern, giving the Bulldogs home-field advantage with potential crowd support. Weather conditions or other external events have not been reported to impact the game.
• Fresno State is motivated to maintain its early season momentum and prove dominance at home. Southern University aims to improve their poor start and capitalize on an underdog opportunity, though a large point spread may affect team morale.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fresno State Bulldogs: -110, Southern University Jaguars: -110	Fresno State Bulldogs to win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Fresno State Bulldogs: -35.5 -110, Southern University Jaguars: +35.5 -110	Fresno State Bulldogs to cover the -35.5 spread	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over: 48.5 -110, Under: 48.5 -110	Over 48.5 points total	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 48.5 -99%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fresno State is predicted to dominate this matchup due to superior team performance, momentum, home advantage, and a significant quality gap. Southern University is expected to struggle defensively and offensively to keep pace.

Predicted Score: Fresno State Bulldogs 42 – Southern University Jaguars 10

Match Analysis: Oregon State Beavers vs Fresno State Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-06
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, Oregon

Game Overview

The Oregon State Beavers, coming off a 0-1 start with a 15-34 home loss to California, host the Fresno State Bulldogs, who are 1-1 and coming off a 28-point victory. Oregon State is favored by 3 points at home, with a total points over/under set near 45-48 points. The Beavers struggled offensively and against the spread last season, while Fresno State has shown positive momentum and betting value as a small underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

• Oregon State is 0-1 with a heavy loss and inefficiency in passing and penalties, while Fresno State is 1-1 with a strong recent win and better spread performance. Oregon State’s defense has some sack ability but no interceptions. Fresno State demonstrated strong momentum and positive betting trends recently.
• The last meeting in 2022 saw Oregon State win 35-32 on the road, with the game going over the point total but Oregon State failing to cover the spread. The rivalry is fairly balanced with slight edge to Oregon State historically but Fresno State shows promise this season.
• No significant injury updates available prior to the match.
• The game is at Reser Stadium with mild weather expected (71°F, no rain, light wind). Oregon State’s public betting support stands at 100%, indicating strong home confidence.
• Oregon State seeks to rebound from a losing start, playing at home. Fresno State aims to maintain momentum after a decisive win and beat the spread as underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Oregon State Beavers: -148, Fresno State Bulldogs: 124	Oregon State Beavers	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Oregon State Beavers: -3 -108, Fresno State Bulldogs: +3 -112	Fresno State Bulldogs +3	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over: 45.5 -108, Under: 45.5 -112	Under 45.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Oregon State Beavers -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 45.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oregon State is favored narrowly with a 3-point line at home, but Fresno State’s recent form and ATS strength keep the game close. Given Oregon State's home advantage and Fresno State’s momentum, the prediction leans towards a tight Oregon State win by a small margin.

Predicted Score: Oregon State Beavers 24 – Fresno State Bulldogs 21

Match Analysis: Fresno State Bulldogs vs Georgia Southern Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-30
• Time: 1:30 AM UTC
• Location: Valley Children's Stadium, Fresno, CA

Game Overview

The Fresno State Bulldogs (0-1) host the Georgia Southern Eagles (0-0) on August 30, 2025, in a matchup featuring two teams looking to start their seasons strong. Fresno State comes off a heavy 31-7 loss to Kansas and aims to rebound, while Georgia Southern enters as a slight favorite after finishing last season 8-5 and losing their bowl game. Oddsmakers have Georgia Southern as a narrow moneyline and spread favorite, with a total points over/under set at 51.5.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fresno State struggled in their opener with a lopsided 31-7 defeat, indicating offensive and defensive issues early in the season. Georgia Southern showed balanced stats last year with an average of 28 points per game offensively but conceded nearly 28 points per game on defense, demonstrating a moderately vulnerable defense. The Eagles’ ground game was strong in last season's final game, running effectively but allowing high passing completion rates to opponents.
• No recent direct head-to-head data was provided, but the teams are closely matched given the tight odds and small spread, indicating a competitive matchup historically or by roster comparison.
• No specific injury reports were found in the search results; therefore, injury impact cannot be assessed with the available data.
• The game is played at Fresno State’s home venue, Valley Children's Stadium, which can provide a home-field advantage. Television coverage is on FS1, indicating wide visibility and possibly increased motivation. The season opener status might cause either team to play cautiously or aggressively.
• Fresno State is motivated to recover from a heavy opening loss to avoid falling into an early deficit in the season. Georgia Southern aims to capitalize on last season's winning record and bowl appearance to start with momentum, holding a slight psychological edge from being early favorites.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fresno State Bulldogs: +102, Georgia Southern Eagles: -122	Georgia Southern Eagles	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Fresno State Bulldogs: +1.5 -108, Georgia Southern Eagles: -1.5 -112	Georgia Southern Eagles -1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 51.5 -105, Under: 51.5 -115	Under 51.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Georgia Southern Eagles 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 51.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Georgia Southern Eagles are predicted to win a close game with a small margin, supported by their slight moneyline and spread favorite status and more balanced recent performance. The game is expected to be competitive, with moderate scoring near the over/under line.

Predicted Score: Georgia Southern Eagles 27 – 24 Fresno State Bulldogs