Match Analysis: North Texas Mean Green vs South Florida Bulls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-10
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: DATCU Stadium, Denton, TX
Game Overview
The North Texas Mean Green (5-0) host the South Florida Bulls (4-1) in a key American Athletic Conference matchup. North Texas is undefeated and showing strong defensive capabilities, while South Florida is a strong contender on the road. This game is pivotal for conference standings, with both teams coming off strong starts.
Key Factors to Consider
- North Texas is undefeated at 5-0 with a solid defense. They have a 4-1 ATS record and have mostly seen games go over the total line recently. South Florida holds a 4-1 record, with strong offensive moments but must improve on the road where they are 1-1 ATS historically.
- Recent public betting leans slightly towards North Texas with 59% bets and money, but traditionally this matchup is close. No recent game results are explicitly provided, so head-to-head trends remain balanced with a defensive edge to North Texas.
- No specific injury information is available for either team in the provided data.
- Game will be played at North Texas' DATCU Stadium with an expected temperature of 82ยฐF, no rain, and mild winds. Home field advantage likely benefits North Texas.
- Both teams have strong incentive to win in this conference game. North Texas is protecting an undefeated season, while South Florida aims to establish dominance on the road and improve their conference standing.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | North Texas Mean Green: -105, South Florida Bulls: -115 | North Texas Mean Green | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
| Spread | North Texas Mean Green: 1.5 -115, South Florida Bulls: -1.5 -105 | South Florida Bulls -1.5 | โ โ โ โโ 55% |
| Over/under | over: 67.5 -110, under: 67.5 -110 | Over 67.5 | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | North Texas Mean Green 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 67.5 18% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 67.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
North Texas Mean Green are favored to win a close game due to their undefeated record, strong defense, and home advantage. Expect a competitive high-scoring affair with North Texas edging South Florida by a narrow margin.
Predicted Score: North Texas Mean Green 35 – South Florida Bulls 32