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Velez Sarsfield vs. Fortaleza-EC Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Velez Sarsfield vs Fortaleza-EC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-19
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Jose Amalfitani, Buenos Aires, Argentina

Game Overview

This Copa Libertadores knockout phase match between Vélez Sarsfield and Fortaleza-EC is a critical encounter, with the first leg having ended 0-0, heightening the importance of home advantage. Vélez Sarsfield hosts the match in Buenos Aires aiming to leverage their stronger offensive metrics and home crowd support against Fortaleza who struggled to score consistently in recent fixtures.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vélez Sarsfield has shown a better attacking output this season with 1.83 goals per game and a stronger possession rate, though conceding at a modest 0.7 goals per game. Fortaleza EC has a lower scoring rate (0.79 goals/game) and concedes more (1.0 goal/game), reflecting their more defensive posture and less control of play. Recent form favors Vélez with a three-match unbeaten run compared to Fortaleza’s mixed results.
  • They have played one match already this season in this competition that ended in a 0-0 draw, indicating a closely matched clash in terms of direct encounters. The deadlock in the first leg sets a cautious tone for this return leg.
  • No specific injury data is currently available for either team ahead of this match, suggesting both sides may be close to full strength.
  • Playing at the Jose Amalfitani stadium gives Vélez Sarsfield a significant home advantage, including familiar pitch conditions and local support. Weather and travel fatigue for Fortaleza traveling from Brazil might slightly influence performance but no extreme conditions are reported.
  • With the first leg goalless, both teams are highly motivated; Vélez Sarsfield to capitalize on home advantage and avoid extra time or penalties, and Fortaleza to secure an away goal or better the result to keep their knockout hopes alive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fortaleza-EC: 360, Velez Sarsfield: -110, Draw: 225 Velez Sarsfield win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Fortaleza-EC +50: -108, Velez Sarsfield -0.5: -122 Velez Sarsfield -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2: -108, Under 2: -122 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Velez Sarsfield 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vélez Sarsfield is more likely to win given their superior home form, offensive efficiency, and the balanced nature of the first leg. A win by a one-goal margin is a probable outcome with Fortaleza expected to play cautiously and look for counter-attacking opportunities.

Predicted Score: Velez Sarsfield 1 – 0 Fortaleza-EC


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Fortaleza-EC vs. Velez Sarsfield Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fortaleza-EC vs Velez Sarsfield – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-12
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo, Fortaleza, Brazil

Game Overview

Fortaleza-EC hosts Vélez Sarsfield in the CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores group stage match. Both teams aim for crucial points to advance, with Fortaleza leveraging home advantage and Vélez Sarsfield bringing experience from Argentine competitions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fortaleza-EC has shown consistent form at home with strong defensive organization, while Vélez Sarsfield has a competitive record on the road but slightly less stability defensively. Fortaleza's recent matches feature disciplined play and moderate goal-scoring, whereas Vélez tends to engage in higher tempo matches with more risks.
  • Previous meetings between Fortaleza and Vélez are limited, with no recent significant head-to-head history, making predictive reliance on current season form and home advantage more critical.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side as of current known data, suggesting both teams can field their strongest lineups.
  • Playing in Fortaleza's home stadium provides altitude and climate conditions that may favor the home side. Travel and adaptation for Vélez Sarsfield could impact their performance.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points in this tightly contested Libertadores group stage. Fortaleza aims to capitalize on home support, while Vélez seeks an away result to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fortaleza-EC: 105, Velez Sarsfield: 285, Draw: 225 Fortaleza-EC win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Fortaleza-EC -0.5: 105, Velez Sarsfield +50: -135 Fortaleza-EC -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: -118, Under 2: -112 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fortaleza-EC 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fortaleza-EC at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The forecast favors Fortaleza-EC to win narrowly, leveraging home advantage and stable defense, though a draw remains a plausible outcome due to Vélez's competitive resilience.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Racing Club vs. Fortaleza-EC Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Racing Club vs Fortaleza-EC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-30
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón (Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires)

Game Overview

Racing Club, playing at home, is favored to win against Fortaleza-EC in the CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores match on May 30, 2025. Recent performances and home advantage suggest a strong position for Racing Club.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Racing Club has shown strong recent performances, including several wins in both domestic and international competitions. Fortaleza-EC's recent form is less consistent, with mixed results.
  • Limited recent head-to-head data is available, but Racing Club's home advantage is a significant factor.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • Weather conditions and other external factors do not appear to be significant.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points in the Copa Libertadores.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Racing Club: 100, Fortaleza-EC: 295, Draw: 205 Racing Club ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Racing Club: -0.5 102, Fortaleza-EC: 50 -132 Racing Club ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -122, Under: 2.25 -108 Under ★★☆☆☆ 40%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Racing Club -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Racing Club is predicted to win.

Predicted Score: Racing Club 2, Fortaleza-EC 0


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Fortaleza-EC vs. Atlético Bucaramanga Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fortaleza-EC vs Atlético Bucaramanga – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-14
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Game Overview

This Copa Libertadores group stage match features Fortaleza-EC hosting Atlético Bucaramanga. The teams met recently on April 24, 2025, with a 1-1 draw, indicating competitive parity. Fortaleza-EC currently holds a home advantage at their stadium in Brazil, and both teams are motivated to secure points to advance in the tournament. The match is expected to be tactical, with Fortaleza showing slightly better control in possession in past encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fortaleza-EC has demonstrated better possession stats (68.1%) and shot control in recent matches compared to Atlético Bucaramanga, who have had more shots (17) but less possession (31.9%). Both teams have maintained discipline with no red cards recently, but Fortaleza has conceded more fouls (10) than Bucaramanga (7). Fortaleza also enjoyed a recent home victory while Bucaramanga has struggled away from home.
  • The most recent meeting ended in a 1-1 draw on April 24, 2025, showing a balanced matchup. In the Copa Libertadores group stage, neither side has dominated, suggesting this upcoming game could be closely contested.
  • No specific injury updates or notable absences have been reported for either team ahead of this match, suggesting both are likely to field strong lineups.
  • The match is played at Fortaleza's home ground, which gives them a significant home-field advantage. Weather or pitch conditions have not been indicated as limiting factors. Fan support and travel fatigue may slightly favor Fortaleza given Bucaramanga's travel from Colombia.
  • Fortaleza-EC is motivated to capitalize on home advantage to improve group standings and secure qualification. Atlético Bucaramanga is equally motivated to gain an away result to keep their advancement hopes alive, highlighting high stakes for both.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fortaleza-EC: -205, Atlético Bucaramanga: 600, Draw: 290 Fortaleza-EC win ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Fortaleza-EC -1: -122, Atlético Bucaramanga +1: -108 Fortaleza-EC covers -1 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -108, Under 2.25: -122 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fortaleza-EC -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fortaleza-EC is favored to win moderately due to home advantage, stronger possession control, and recent form. A close, tactical match with limited scoring is expected, but Fortaleza's edge should prevail.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Fortaleza-EC vs. Colo Colo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fortaleza-EC vs Colo Colo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 7, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Castelao, Fortaleza, BRA

Game Overview

Fortaleza hosts Colo Colo in a crucial CONMEBOL Libertadores Group E match. Both teams are level with 1 goal scored and 4 goals conceded in their Libertadores campaigns, seeking their first clean sheets of the tournament. Fortaleza's Deyverson (1 goal) and Colo Colo's Juan Correa (2 goals) are key attacking threats.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fortaleza and Colo Colo have identical defensive vulnerability (4 GA each) but Colo Colo shows marginally better attacking output (4 GF vs Fortaleza's 1 GF based on prior data interpretation, though current stats show 1 GF for Fortaleza)[1].
  • Recent H2H data unavailable beyond scheduling conflicts between sources (April 10-11 potential prior matchup referenced but not detailed)[3][4][5].
  • No injury data available in provided sources.
  • Fortaleza's home advantage at Estádio Castelão could prove decisive.
  • Both teams urgently need points for Libertadores progression given their defensive struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fortaleza 105 | Draw 215 | Colo Colo 285 Fortaleza ML ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Fortaleza -0.5 (+102) | Colo Colo +50 (-132) Fortaleza -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-102) | Under 2.25 (-128) Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fortaleza-EC 85%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fortaleza-EC at 85% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fortaleza to capitalize on home advantage with a narrow victory, though their defensive frailties suggest both teams will score.

Predicted Score: 2-1 to Fortaleza


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 6, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 6, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Fortaleza-EC vs. Colo Colo Prediction Fortaleza-EC 105 85%
Alianza Lima vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Sao Paulo 130 51%
Atlético Bucaramanga vs. Racing Club Prediction Racing Club 130 37%

Combined Odds: +984 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $216.89

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Atlético Bucaramanga vs. Fortaleza-EC Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atlético Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza-EC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-24
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Américo Montanini, Bucaramanga, Colombia

Game Overview

Atlético Bucaramanga will host Fortaleza-EC in the CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group E match set for April 24, 2025. The game promises a competitive clash as both sides seek to advance in the prestigious South American tournament. The fixture will be played at Bucaramanga's home ground where Atlético Bucaramanga has the home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Bucaramanga recently demonstrated strong home form with a 4-0 win over Fortaleza CEIF in a domestic league match, highlighting solid attacking and defensive capabilities. Fortaleza-EC, meanwhile, has had mixed results including a recent 2-1 away loss to Vitória but remains an experienced Libertadores competitor with competitive squad depth.
  • There are no recent direct matches recorded between Atlético Bucaramanga and Fortaleza-EC in Copa Libertadores or major competitions. Historically, Atlético Bucaramanga has shown dominance over less prominent Fortaleza teams in domestic contests but this Libertadores encounter is a first competitive meeting against Fortaleza-EC.
  • No specific injury updates are currently available for either team ahead of the match. Both sides are expected to have their key players fit and ready to participate, maintaining their usual squad selections.
  • The match will be played at high altitude in Bucaramanga which may give the home side a physical edge. Additionally, Fortaleza-EC faces travel fatigue and adjustment to local conditions, potentially impacting their performance. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be typical for the region, with no adverse effects forecasted.
  • Both teams are motivated by Copa Libertadores group stage progression ambitions. Atlético Bucaramanga aims to leverage home advantage to secure valuable points, while Fortaleza-EC looks to assert their continental experience to win away from home and strengthen their group standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Bucaramanga: 190, Fortaleza-EC: 155, Draw: 200 Fortaleza-EC to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Atlético Bucaramanga: 0 at +100, Fortaleza-EC: 0 at -130 Fortaleza-EC on spread ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -115, Under 2 goals: -115 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fortaleza-EC 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fortaleza-EC at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on recent form, home advantage, and odds analysis, Atlético Bucaramanga is slightly favored but this match is poised to be closely contested with a high chance of a draw or narrow win either side.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Colo Colo vs. Fortaleza-EC Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Colo Colo vs Fortaleza-EC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 11, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Monumental David Arellano, Santiago

Game Overview

This CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group E match features Colo Colo hosting Fortaleza-EC. Both teams are looking to improve their standings in the competition.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Colo Colo has shown mixed results lately, while Fortaleza has had inconsistent performances as well. Both teams are motivated to secure valuable points.
  • Limited head-to-head data is available, so past performances in other matches are more influential.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for this match.
  • Playing at home could provide an advantage for Colo Colo, but Fortaleza might benefit from underdog odds.
  • Both teams are highly motivated due to the competitive nature of the Libertadores.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence EV Pick
Moneyline Colo Colo -140, Fortaleza-EC +205, Draw +200 Colo Colo ★★★☆☆ 55% Colo Colo -100%
Spread Colo Colo -0.25 +102, Fortaleza-EC +25 -132 Colo Colo ★★★☆☆ 52% Colo Colo -100%
Over_under Over 2 -135, Under 2 +105 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 58% Under 2 -100%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Colo Colo 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Colo Colo is slightly favored due to home advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-1 Draw


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Fortaleza-EC vs. Racing Club Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fortaleza-EC vs Racing Club – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 2, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo (Fortaleza, Ceará)

Game Overview

The match between Fortaleza-EC and Racing Club is part of the CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group E. Both teams are looking to secure crucial points in their campaign.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fortaleza has experienced varied performances, with some recent losses and draws, while Racing Club has shown consistency in away wins but struggled at home.
  • This match is their first head-to-head encounter in the 2025 Copa Libertadores.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • Weather and crowd support may favor Fortaleza, being the home team.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to advance in the tournament, but Fortaleza's home advantage could be a significant motivator.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fortaleza-EC: 115, Racing Club: 245, Draw: 215 Fortaleza-EC ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Fortaleza-EC: -0.25 -122, Racing Club: 25 -108 Fortaleza-EC ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under Over: 2.5 -110, Under: 2.5 -120 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Fortaleza-EC is favored due to home advantage.

Predicted Score: Fortaleza-EC 1, Racing Club 0


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