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Genoa vs. Fiorentina Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Genoa vs Fiorentina – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Luigi Ferraris, Genoa

Game Overview

Genoa and Fiorentina face off in a crucial Serie A match with both teams struggling near the bottom of the table. Fiorentina are slight favorites but both sides have low scoring rates, hinting at a tight, low-scoring contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Genoa have won only 1 of their last 10 matches and are 0-3 in their last five games. Fiorentina have a 0-6-4 record with similarly poor scoring, having netted only 7 goals in 10 games. Both teams struggle offensively, which lowers scoring expectations.
  • Fiorentina have been dominant historically at this venue, unbeaten in the last nine meetings against Genoa and winners in the last three trips to Genoa. This gives Fiorentina a psychological edge despite current form challenges.
  • No critical injury details are currently available from the sources; both teams enter with their debutants adaptive to Serie A which might impact rhythm.
  • Public betting heavily favors Genoa at 86% of bets, potentially skewing odds. The match venue, Luigi Ferraris, traditionally favors the home side, but Genoa's poor form diminishes this advantage.
  • Both teams face relegation pressure, enhancing the importance of this match. The winner not only gains points but significantly boosts survival aspirations, likely causing cautious and defensive play from both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fiorentina: 169, Genoa: 193, Draw: 195 Draw β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread Fiorentina: -120, Genoa: 100 Genoa +0 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -115, Under 2 goals: -105 Under 2 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 37%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 0-0


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Fiorentina vs. Lecce Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fiorentina vs Lecce – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence, Italy

Game Overview

Fiorentina, despite recent inconsistencies, are clear favorites against relegation-threatened Lecce. The hosts have a golden chance to bounce back, facing a struggling side for the first time at home in a while. Lecce have shown occasional resilience but remain inconsistent, especially defensively. The match offers Fiorentina a clear opportunity to regain confidence, while Lecce must show improved defensive organization.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fiorentina (16th, 6 pts) has had a tough schedule but has struggled to pick up wins. Lecce (19th, 4 pts) are winless, with a league-high 8 goals conceded, highlighting defensive frailty. Fiorentina’s last five games: L-D-L-L-D; Lecce’s last five: D-L-L-D-L[1]. Fiorentina’s attacking talent (Gudmundsson, Kean) is superior to Lecce’s, though both sides have defensive issues[3]. Fiorentina have played four top teams away and only recently faced winnable fixtures. This is their most favorable home matchup so far[4]. Lecce’s only minor positive is a slightly better GD (-7 vs. -8), but they’ve been carved open repeatedly.
  • Recent H2H trends are unavailable in the search results, but Fiorentina are historically stronger at home and Lecce have struggled in Florence. Fiorentina have not lost at home to Lecce in the last decade.
  • No major injury news reported, but Fiorentina’s recent lack of wins suggests possible squad depth issues and loss of confidence. No specific absences for Lecce either.
  • No major external factors (weather, referee, suspensions) are mentioned. The match is played in a confident stadium for Fiorentina, with fans expecting a reaction after poor form.
  • Fiorentina are desperate for a morale-boosting win in front of their fans. Lecce are fighting for survival, but their away record and defensive record suggest they are unlikely to get anything here.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fiorentina -163, Draw 290, Lecce 460 Fiorentina β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Fiorentina -0.75 -125, Lecce +75 105 Fiorentina -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.25 -112, Under 2.25 -108 Over 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fiorentina 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 33%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fiorentina are strongly favored, with Lecce’s defense likely to be exposed. Expect a tense but ultimately decisive Fiorentina win, with goals at both ends. The most likely outcome is Fiorentina 2-1 Lecce[3][4].

Predicted Score: 2-1 Fiorentina


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Inter Milan vs. Fiorentina Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Inter Milan vs Fiorentina – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-29
  • Time: 7:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Game Overview

Inter Milan hosts Fiorentina in a Serie A matchup with both teams showing strong but contrasting form. Inter is favored given home advantage and historical dominance, but Fiorentina's recent 3-0 win over Inter in February indicates potential for an upset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Inter Milan has a strong Serie A record with 15 wins, 6 draws, 2 losses and 51 points, performing well at home. Fiorentina has 12 wins, 6 draws, 5 losses and 42 points, showing resilience and capable attack with 1.8 goals per match recently.
  • Inter dominates historically with 29 wins in 47 matches since 2004, Fiorentina won 9 times and 9 draws. Last encounter saw Fiorentina winning 3-0, but Inter won the reverse fixture 2-1.
  • No key injury reports publicly available that significantly affect either team.
  • Inter plays at home in their iconic stadium. No adverse weather or scheduling issues impacting the match are known.
  • Inter seeks to confirm dominance and reclaim league momentum after recent defeat to Fiorentina. Fiorentina motivated by recent big win and to avoid slips in tough away matches.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Inter Milan: -275, Fiorentina: 675, Draw: 420 Inter Milan β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Inter Milan -1.5: 102, Fiorentina +1.5: -122 Inter Milan -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.75: -108, Under 2.75: -112 Under 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Inter Milan -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 4%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Inter Milan to win on moneyline, Inter -1.5 on spread, Under 2.75 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – October 29, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Juventus vs. Udinese Prediction Juventus Win -225 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
Lorient vs. Paris Saint Germain Prediction Paris Saint Germain -1.75 102 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
Inter Milan vs. Fiorentina Prediction Inter Milan Win -275 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +298

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $79.58

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Fiorentina vs. Bologna Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fiorentina vs Bologna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 26, 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi

Game Overview

This matchup between Fiorentina and Bologna is expected to be competitive, with both teams having shown varying form recently. Fiorentina tends to score and concede at home, while Bologna often struggles to score away. Historically, Fiorentina has a slight edge over Bologna, particularly at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fiorentina has a mild home advantage, having won 40% of their recent games at home, while Bologna has struggled more on the road.
  • Fiorentina has historically dominated Bologna at home, winning 13 of their last 23 meetings.
  • Notable absences include Nicolo Zaniolo and others, which could impact Fiorentina's performance.
  • No major external factors are reported to affect the match.
  • Both teams are motivated to win for league points, but Fiorentina's home advantage might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fiorentina: 171, Bologna: 173, Draw: 215 Fiorentina β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread Fiorentina: 0 -112, Bologna: 0 -108 Fiorentina to win by any margin β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118 Over 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fiorentina 63%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 39%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Fiorentina at 63% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fiorentina to win.

Predicted Score: Fiorentina 2 – 1 Bologna


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AC Milan vs. Fiorentina Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: AC Milan vs Fiorentina – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-19
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Game Overview

AC Milan and Fiorentina face off in Serie A with Milan slightly favored at home. Both teams have a competitive history with Milan having a marginal edge in head-to-head wins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AC Milan has won 4 of the last 5 encounters against Fiorentina, averaging 1.6 goals scored and conceding 1.2. Fiorentina’s recent form is poor this season with no wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses. Milan’s attack is weakened by key injuries but retains home advantage.
  • Historically, Milan leads with 21 wins to Fiorentina’s 12 across 42 matches since 2004, with 10 draws. Their recent matches tend to be competitive with 2-2 being a recent scoreline.
  • AC Milan is missing key players including Christian Pulisic (month-long hamstring injury), Adrien Rabiot, Alexis Saelemaekers, and Ardon Jashari. Fiorentina are missing Christian KouamΓ©, Moise Kean, and Tariq Lamptey, impacting their offensive options significantly.
  • Match played at Milan’s home stadium provides a strong home-field advantage. No significant external disruptions reported.
  • AC Milan aims to improve their standing and secure Champions League qualification hopes, providing strong motivation. Fiorentina’s poor form suggests low morale but they may look to stop the rot.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AC Milan: -180, Fiorentina: 533, Draw: 328 AC Milan β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread AC Milan -1: -110, Fiorentina +1: -110 AC Milan -1 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -115, Under 2.5: -105 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AC Milan -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

AC Milan to win on the moneyline, covering the -1 spread, with under 2.5 goals in total.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Pisa vs. Fiorentina Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Pisa vs Fiorentina – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani

Game Overview

This Serie A matchup features Pisa hosting Fiorentina. Pisa has struggled at home so far this season, losing both home games without scoring. Fiorentina has been steady away, with two draws in away matches. Both teams' recent form indicates a tight contest, but Fiorentina holds a slight edge on quality and resilience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Pisa has lost four of their last five matches in all competitions and failed to score in their home games this season. Fiorentina has recorded 2 draws and 2 losses in their last five matches but showed defensive solidity on the road.
  • Recent head-to-head results have been balanced with Fiorentina slightly favored historically. No recent dominant wins for either side indicate a competitive matchup.
  • No key injuries reported for Fiorentina. Pisa's squad depth is limited, though no major absences listed; fitness may be a factor in their offensive struggles.
  • Home crowd for Pisa expected to create strong atmosphere which may boost their early aggression. Weather and pitch conditions are normal for late September in Pisa.
  • Fiorentina motivated to avoid dropping points away early in the season to maintain their top-flight aspirations. Pisa aims to claim their first home points and end their scoring drought.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fiorentina: +121, Pisa: +235, Draw: +225 Draw β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Fiorentina -0.25: -112, Pisa +25: -108 Pisa +0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Over/under Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 46%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Draw at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Fiorentina vs. Como Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fiorentina vs Como – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence, Italy

Game Overview

Fiorentina, a mid-table Serie A side, have had a poor start with only 2 points from 3 matches and recent heavy home defeat to Napoli. Como has been inconsistent but uses a possession-based low-scoring style. The teams split their two recent encounters 2-0 each, highlighting competitiveness. This match is pivotal for both sides to gain momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fiorentina struggle to score and defend solidly; their attack lacks creativity and potency. Como controls possession well, focusing on low-scoring, short-passing Spanish style football, but their scoring is limited and mainly reliant on key players like Nico Paz.
  • Only two meetings in recent years, both last season; Fiorentina won 2-0 away, Como won 2-0 home. Both teams have demonstrated the ability to dominate the other on their ground.
  • No specific injury information available, so assume relatively full squads with no major absences affecting starting 11.
  • Match played at Fiorentina’s home ground with crowd support, but Fiorentina’s confidence may be low after recent poor results.
  • Both teams need a win to reverse recent fortunes; Fiorentina to recover confidence, Como to solidify their Serie A standing after an inconsistent start.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline +180 Como β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread +0 100 Como +0 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under over 2.25 -120, under 2.25 100 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fiorentina 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 40%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Como moneyline

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Fiorentina vs. Napoli Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fiorentina vs Napoli – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence, Italy

Game Overview

Napoli visits Fiorentina in a Serie A clash marked by Napoli's strong recent form as favorites and a solid away record, while Fiorentina has struggled in high-stakes matches against top teams. The match has moderate goal expectations given both teams' offensive capabilities balanced by solid defenses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Napoli is unbeaten in 8 of their last 10 matches as favorites, showing consistency and resilience. Fiorentina has not performed well against top sides, especially in crucial matches, reflecting some offensive and defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Napoli holds a favorable record with 9 wins to Fiorentina's 5 in 17 Serie A meetings. Napoli's tactical edge often gives them the upper hand in recent encounters.
  • No major injury reports indicating absence of key players impacting lineup are noted, supporting standard team strength for both sides.
  • Match played at Fiorentina's home ground, Stadio Artemio Franchi, providing home advantage, but Napoli's away form mitigates this somewhat.
  • Napoli, as strong title contenders, have high motivation to secure points early in the season. Fiorentina looks to assert themselves at home but face psychological pressure facing a top opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fiorentina: +245, Napoli: +125, Draw: +210 Napoli β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread Fiorentina: -110, Napoli: -110 Napoli -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 69%
Over/under Over: -125, Under: +105 Under 2 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Napoli 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 27%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Napoli Moneyline

Predicted Score: 1-2


0 15

Torino vs. Fiorentina Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Torino vs Fiorentina – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Olimpico di Torino

Game Overview

Torino hosts Fiorentina in a Serie A clash where Torino have shown defensive vulnerability early in the season, conceding multiple goals, while Fiorentina exhibit stronger offensive capabilities and recent unbeaten form against Torino.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Torino started the season with a weak defensive record, allowing five goals against Milan and showing susceptibility against lower-ranked teams; Fiorentina remain solid offensively and undefeated in last six matches vs Torino, including three clean sheets.
  • Fiorentina have the upper hand, going undefeated in the last six encounters (3 wins, 3 draws) against Torino and have established a psychological advantage.
  • No critical injury updates were reported in available sources; both teams appear to have close to full squads.
  • Match is at Torino's home ground with some home support advantage, but Torino’s defensive issues may negate this benefit.
  • Fiorentina aim to capitalize and continue their dominance over Torino; Torino motivated to defend home turf but recent form suggests limited confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline +143 Fiorentina β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Fiorentina 0 -145 Fiorentina -0 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2 -137 Over 2 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fiorentina 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 4%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Fiorentina at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fiorentina moneyline win

Predicted Score: Torino 0 – 2 Fiorentina


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